Abstract:
:Rising sea levels will have overwhelmingly negative impacts on coastal communities globally. With previous research focused on how sea-level rise (SLR) affects storm-induced flooding, we show that SLR will also increase both the frequency and the intensity of tsunami-induced flooding, another significant coastal hazard associated with sea-level extremes. We developed probabilistic tsunami inundation maps for Macau, a densely populated coastal city located in the South China Sea, under current sea-level, 0.5-m SLR, and 1-m SLR conditions, using an extensive Monte Carlo tsunami inundation simulation. Our results indicate that conservative amounts of SLR of 0.5 m (by 2060) and 1 m (by 2100) would dramatically increase the frequency of tsunami-induced flooding incidences by a factor of 1.2 to 2.4 and 1.5 to 4.7, respectively.
journal_name
Sci Advjournal_title
Science advancesauthors
Li L,Switzer AD,Wang Y,Chan CH,Qiu Q,Weiss Rdoi
10.1126/sciadv.aat1180subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2018-08-15 00:00:00pages
eaat1180issue
8issn
2375-2548pii
aat1180journal_volume
4pub_type
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