Abstract：
:Aging in a given individual can be characterized by the number of deficits (symptoms, signs, laboratory abnormalities, disabilities) that they accumulate. The number of accumulated deficits, more than their nature, well characterizes health status in individuals - the proportion of deficits present in an individual to deficits considered is known as a frailty index. While on average deficits accumulate with age, individual trajectories in the number of deficits is highly dynamic. Transitions in the number of deficits over a fixed time interval can be represented by the Poisson law, with the Poisson mean dependent on the deficit numbers at baseline. Here we present an extension of the model to make possible predictions for any given time period. Using data from the Canadian National Population Health Survey of people aged 55 and over (n=4330), followed during 7cycles being the baseline and 6cycles of follow-up every 2years, we found that the transition in the number of deficits during any time period can be approximated using a time dependent Poisson distribution with the Poisson mean tending to decelerate over time, according to square-root-of-time kinetics characteristic for stochastic processes (e.g. diffusion, Brownian motion ) while the probability of death shows a pattern of time acceleration with a high degree of precision, "explaining" over 98% of variance. The model predicts a variety of changes in health status including the possibility of health improvement indicating the repair/remodeling abilities of the organism. The model is valuable for estimating how changes in health can influence mortality across the life course from late middle age.
journal_name
Exp Gerontoljournal_title
Experimental gerontologyauthors
Mitnitski A,Song X,Rockwood Kdoi
10.1016/j.exger.2012.06.015subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2012-12-01 00:00:00pages
893-9issue
12eissn
0531-5565issn
1873-6815pii
S0531-5565(12)00188-Xjournal_volume
47pub_type
杂志文章abstract：:The aim of the present study was to compare the effects of water-based aerobic training and water-based resistance training on muscular strength and cardiorespiratory fitness in older women. Sixty-nine individuals were randomized into the following three groups: the water-based aerobic training (WA, n = 23) group, the...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2018.04.022
更新日期：2018-07-15 00:00:00
abstract：BACKGROUND:Awareness of physical ability may impact fall risk during everyday tasks. Therefore, we investigated perceived reach (PR; estimation of furthest reach distance), maximal reach (MR) and reach judgement error (RJE), and their relationships with neuropsychological and physical performance, and falls in older pe...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2018.10.020
更新日期：2018-12-01 00:00:00
abstract：BACKGROUND:Epidemiological and objective studies report an association between sedentary time and lower risk of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its risk factors in young and middle-age adults. To date, there is a lack of objective data on the association between sedentary time and MetS among older adults. METHODS:Th...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2015.06.018
更新日期：2015-10-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Diseases of the elderly, including neurodegenerative and cardiovascular disorders and cancer, may develop through the accumulation of "hits" composed of genetic and epigenetic risk factors. The "iceberg" buildup of these hits over time may exceed the tolerance threshold of a particular tissue, thus precipitating disea...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/s0531-5565(96)00156-8
更新日期：1997-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Ethanol ingestion has been implicated in accidental hypothermia of the elderly, but there is no prior data on the relative sensitivity to alcohol of aged homeotherms that might account for disproportionate dysthermia in this age group. To assess their sensitivity, ethanol (0.5-2.0 g/kg) or H20 was given by gavage to s...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/0531-5565(83)90047-5
更新日期：1983-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The goal of these experiments was to determine if the increased longevity characteristics of our genetically selected long lived line of Drosophila could be attributed to metabolic differences. The data shows an inverse relationship between life span and temperature for both the long lived (L) and normal (R) strains; ...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/0531-5565(88)90020-4
更新日期：1988-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Studying the changes of serum N-glycome during mouse aging is beneficial to explore the molecular basis behind the alterations reported in human. However, such studies remainscarce and lack some information such as sialylation due to the method limitation. Here, we introduced Bionic Glycome method to quantify the seru...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2020.111098
更新日期：2020-11-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Degeneration of tongue muscles with aging may contribute to swallowing deficits observed in elderly people. However, the capacity for tongue muscle stem cells (SCs) to regenerate and repair the aged tongue and improve tongue strength following tongue exercise (a current clinical treatment) has never been examined. We ...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2020.111104
更新日期：2020-12-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Temporal discounting occurs when a greater delayed reward is forsaken for a smaller immediate reward, and has been associated with a number of financial and health care outcomes important for older adults. Using resting-state fMRI and seed regions of interest in the left and right fronto-insular (FI) cortices, we expl...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2013.10.003
更新日期：2013-12-01 00:00:00
abstract：OBJECTIVES:To evaluate lean mass index (LMI) measured by bioimpedance (BIA) and anthropometry compared to densitometry (DXA) in elderly outpatients from a tertiary care hospital. METHODS:Participants were over 60-year-old men, presenting no dementia or disability, from a tertiary geriatric ambulatory. LMI obtained by ...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2020.111020
更新日期：2020-09-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Since the reproducible production of microscope objectives was enabled by the lens calculations of Ernst Abbe in 1872, various attempts have been made to further increase the resolution of light microscopes. Apart from the improvements on the optical side, especially the introduction of fluorescence methods, the use o...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/s0531-5565(01)00087-0
更新日期：2001-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Histological surveys of the hearts of guppies Poecilia reticulatus throughout their lifespan showed no aging changes until the fish were three years old. In younger fishes the hearts were healthy, even in three individuals with "wasting" disease, where there was considerable loss of muscle throughout the body. There w...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/0531-5565(84)90048-2
更新日期：1984-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Atrophy of the thymus, the primary site of T lymphocyte generation, is a hallmark of the aging immune system. Age-associated thymic atrophy results in diminished output of new, naïve T cells, with immune sequelae that include diminished responses to novel pathogenic challenge and vaccines, as well as diminished tumor ...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2017.12.022
更新日期：2018-05-01 00:00:00
abstract：:In muscles, sarcopenia, the loss of muscle mass, is the major cause of aging-related functional decline and frailty. Several factors are correlated with sarcopenia during aging, including contraction-related cellular injury, oxidative stress, endocrine changes and reduced regenerative potential. However the involvemen...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2005.12.004
更新日期：2006-03-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Since,D-galactose (D-gal) overload model has been used as a premature aging model, we hypothesized that it may also lead to accelerated aging in the inner ear. Furthermore, though the mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) 4834 bp deletion mutation has been considered as the marker of aging, there is no information available in th...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2006.04.008
更新日期：2006-06-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Estrogens are potent and efficacious neuroprotectants both in vitro and in vivo in a variety of models of neurotoxicity. We determined the structural requirements for neuroprotection in an in vitro assay using a panel of >70 novel estratrienes, synthesized to reduce or eliminate estrogen receptor (ER) binding. We obse...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2016.10.013
更新日期：2017-08-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The study examined the influence of sex on the alterations occurring with ageing in rat lymph node (LN) T cell compartment. In female and male rats the decrease in LN T cell counts was followed by a shift in CD4+/CD8+ T cell ratio towards CD8+ T cells, which was more prominent in males than in females. With ageing, in...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2020.111140
更新日期：2020-12-01 00:00:00
abstract：:This study investigated the effects of two training programmes of 6 weeks combining strength and balance exercises in different proportions. One training programme [n=10; 71.4 (6.3) years] consisted mainly of strength exercises (ST) and the other programme [n=8; 71.4 (6.4) years] included a majority of balance exercis...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2014.11.013
更新日期：2015-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:In the present study we investigated the age-related response of Phytohemaglutinin (PHA)-activated S phase human lymphocytes isolated from peripheral blood from donors of four different age groups, namely young (25-30 years), mid-aged (40-45 years), senior (60-65 years) and elderly (80-95 years) on the induction of th...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2003.12.014
更新日期：2004-04-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Aromatase inhibitors have become the standard of care for the adjuvant treatment of postmenopausal, hormone-sensitive breast cancer. Meanwhile, more and more breast cancer patients who are treated with aromatase inhibitors as adjuvant therapies often experience arthralgias and musculoskeletal aching, in some cases, ha...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2009.03.003
更新日期：2009-06-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Alzheimer's disease is one of the most devastating neurodegenerative diseases. The exact cause of the disease is still not known although many scientists believe in the beta amyloid hypothesis which states that the accumulation of the amyloid peptide beta (Aβ) in brain is the initial cause which consequently leads to ...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2017.12.019
更新日期：2018-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) is involved in obesity-induced insulin resistance. Since aging is accompanied by increased iNOS expression, the effect of iNOS gene deletion on aging-associated insulin resistance was investigated in 7-month-old (adult) and 22-month-old (old) iNOS knockout and wild-type mice usin...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2010.05.004
更新日期：2010-09-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Advances in our understanding of tau-mediated neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's disease (AD) are moving this disease pathway to center stage for the development of biomarkers and disease modifying drug discovery efforts. Immunoassays were developed detecting total (t-tau) and tau phosphorylated at specific epitopes (p-...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2009.10.010
更新日期：2010-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：BACKGROUND:Homocysteine (Hcy) high levels are associated with fractures, bone resorption and an early onset of osteoporosis in elderly persons; a relationship between Hcy and bone formation has also been suggested but is still controversial. Frailty, an independent predictor of fractures and decreased bone mineral dens...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2018.04.019
更新日期：2018-07-15 00:00:00
abstract：:According to the free radical theory of aging, free radicals are involved in the production of changes in cellular metabolism that lead to a time-dependent functional decline in all living beings. Consequently, antioxidant and/or free radicals scavengers may retard the aging process. We explored the effect of melatoni...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/s0531-5565(01)00229-7
更新日期：2002-05-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Apoptosis plays an important role in atrophy and sarcopenia in skeletal muscle. Recent evidence suggests that insufficient heat shock proteins (HSPs) may contribute to apoptosis and muscle wasting. In addition, long-term caloric restriction (CR) and lifelong wheel running exercise (WR) with CR provide significant prot...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2015.06.007
更新日期：2015-09-01 00:00:00
abstract：OBJECTIVES:There is a scarcity of data on the association between mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and falls, especially from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where 70% of all older adults reside. Thus, we investigated the association between MCI and fall-related injury among older adults residing in six LMICs (...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2020.111222
更新日期：2020-12-29 00:00:00
abstract：:Accumulating evidence from diverse experiments, including heterochronic parabiosis-the surgical joining of two animals of different ages-has highlighted the importance of systemic factors in the progressive functional decline of various organs and tissues during aging. The major metabolic pathway of tryptophan, an ess...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2019.110793
更新日期：2020-02-01 00:00:00
abstract：:This study was designed to investigate whether the relationship of fiber size and force is maintained with aging and inactivity. We hypothesized that fiber size and fiber force-generating capacity would decrease in parallel, thus resulting in no change in specific force with either age or inactivity. Thirty male Fisch...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.exger.2004.12.002
更新日期：2005-03-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The retrograde response (RR) is a compensatory mechanism by which mutant strains of yeast are able to cope with mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) impairments by up-regulating the expression of the stress-responder nuclear genes and significantly increasing lifespan. Starting from the observation that both mtDNA variability an...
journal_title：Experimental gerontology
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/s0531-5565(00)00169-8
更新日期：2000-09-01 00:00:00
