Dynamic habitat suitability modelling reveals rapid poleward distribution shift in a mobile apex predator.

abstract：:The purpose of this study was to evaluate 10 process-based terrestrial biosphere models that were used for the IPCC fifth Assessment Report. The simulated gross primary productivity (GPP) is compared with flux-tower-based estimates by Jung et al. [Journal of Geophysical Research 116 (2011) G00J07] (JU11). The net prim...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Piao S,Sitch S,Ciais P,Friedlingstein P,Peylin P,Wang X,Ahlström A,Anav A,Canadell JG,Cong N,Huntingford C,Jung M,Levis S,Levy PE,Li J,Lin X,Lomas MR,Lu M,Luo Y,Ma Y,Myneni RB,Poulter B,Sun Z,Wang T,Viovy

更新日期：2013-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Exponentially rising CO2 (currently ~400 μatm) is driving climate change and causing acidification of both marine and freshwater environments. Physiologists have long known that CO2 directly affects acid-base and ion regulation, respiratory function and aerobic performance in aquatic animals. More recently, many studi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ellis RP,Urbina MA,Wilson RW

更新日期：2017-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Output from an earth system model is paired with a size-based food web model to investigate the effects of climate change on the abundance of large fish over the 21st century. The earth system model, forced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special report on emission scenario A2, combines a coupl...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Woodworth-Jefcoats PA,Polovina JJ,Dunne JP,Blanchard JL

更新日期：2013-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Plant community composition and functional traits respond to chronic drivers such as climate change and nitrogen (N) deposition. In contrast, pulse disturbances from ecosystem management can additionally change resources and conditions. Community responses to combined environmental changes may further depend on land-u...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Blondeel H,Perring MP,Depauw L,De Lombaerde E,Landuyt D,De Frenne P,Verheyen K

更新日期：2020-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:It is critical to accurately estimate carbon (C) turnover time as it dominates the uncertainty in ecosystem C sinks and their response to future climate change. In the absence of direct observations of ecosystem C losses, C turnover times are commonly estimated under the steady state assumption (SSA), which has been a...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ge R,He H,Ren X,Zhang L,Yu G,Smallman TL,Zhou T,Yu SY,Luo Y,Xie Z,Wang S,Wang H,Zhou G,Zhang Q,Wang A,Fan Z,Zhang Y,Shen W,Yin H,Lin L

更新日期：2019-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Global climate change poses a serious threat to the future health of coral reef ecosystems. This calls for management strategies that are focused on maximizing the evolutionary potential of coral reefs. Fundamental to this is an accurate understanding of the spatial genetic structure in dominant reef-building coral sp...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Thomas L,Kennington WJ,Evans RD,Kendrick GA,Stat M

更新日期：2017-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The interacting effects of global changes-including increased temperature, altered precipitation, reduced acidification and increased dissolved organic matter loads to lakes-are anticipated to create favourable environmental conditions for cyanobacteria in northern lakes. However, responses of cyanobacteria to these g...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Freeman EC,Creed IF,Jones B,Bergström AK

更新日期：2020-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The relationship between the timing of recurrent biological events and seasonal climatic patterns (i.e., phenology) is a crucial ecological process. Changes in phenology are increasingly linked to global climate change. However, current evidence of phenological responses to recent climate change is subjected to substa...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Diovisalvi N,Odriozola M,Garcia de Souza J,Rojas Molina F,Fontanarrosa MS,Escaray R,Bustingorry J,Sanzano P,Grosman F,Zagarese H

更新日期：2018-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:One widely documented phenological response to climate change is the earlier occurrence of spring-breeding events. While such climate change-driven shifts in phenology are common, their consequences for individuals and populations have rarely been investigated. I addressed this gap in our knowledge by using a multi-ye...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Benard MF

更新日期：2015-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Recent decades have seen profound changes in species abundance and community composition. In the marine environment, the major anthropogenic drivers of change comprise exploitation, invasion by nonindigenous species, and climate change. However, the magnitude of these stressors has been widely debated and we lack empi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Givan O,Edelist D,Sonin O,Belmaker J

更新日期：2018-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Increases in atmospheric CO2 levels and associated ocean changes are expected to have dramatic impacts on marine ecosystems. Although the Southern Ocean is experiencing some of the fastest rates of change, few studies have explored how Antarctic fishes may be affected by co-occurring ocean changes, and even fewer have...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Davis BE,Flynn EE,Miller NA,Nelson FA,Fangue NA,Todgham AE

更新日期：2018-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Autumn phenology plays a critical role in regulating climate-biosphere interactions. However, the climatic drivers of autumn phenology remain unclear. In this study, we applied four methods to estimate the date of the end of the growing season (EOS) across China's temperate biomes based on a 30-year normalized differe...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Liu Q,Fu YH,Zeng Z,Huang M,Li X,Piao S

更新日期：2016-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Global climate change is affecting carbon cycling by driving changes in primary productivity and rates of carbon fixation, release and storage within Earth's vegetated systems. There is, however, limited understanding of how carbon flow between donor and recipient habitats will respond to climatic changes. Macroalgal-...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Pessarrodona A,Moore PJ,Sayer MDJ,Smale DA

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations increase plant productivity and affect soil microbial communities, with possible consequences for the turnover rate of soil carbon (C) pools and feedbacks to the atmosphere. In a previous analysis (Van Groenigen et al., 2014), we used experimental data to inform a one-pool model...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： van Groenigen KJ,Xia J,Osenberg CW,Luo Y,Hungate BA

更新日期：2015-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Controlled experiments have shown that global changes decouple the biogeochemical cycles of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P), resulting in shifting stoichiometry that lies at the core of ecosystem functioning. However, the response of soil stoichiometry to global changes in natural ecosystems with differen...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Yu Z,Wang M,Huang Z,Lin TC,Vadeboncoeur MA,Searle EB,Chen HYH

更新日期：2018-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The impact of climate change on dispersal processes is largely ignored in risk assessments for crop diseases, as inoculum is generally assumed to be ubiquitous and nonlimiting. We suggest that consideration of the impact of climate change on the connectivity of crops for inoculum transmission may provide additional ex...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Skelsey P,Cooke DE,Lynott JS,Lees AK

更新日期：2016-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:As the Earth's temperature continues to rise, coral bleaching events become more frequent. Some of the most affected reef ecosystems are located in poorly monitored waters, and thus, the extent of the damage is unknown. We propose the use of marine heatwaves (MHWs) as a new approach for detecting coral reef zones susc...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Genevier LGC,Jamil T,Raitsos DE,Krokos G,Hoteit I

更新日期：2019-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Predicting the biological effects of climate change presents major challenges due to the interplay of potential biotic and abiotic mechanisms. Climate change can create unexpected outcomes by altering species interactions, and uncertainty over the ability of species to develop in situ tolerance or track environmental ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Amundrud SL,Srivastava DS

更新日期：2019-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are placing spatially divergent stresses on the world's tropical coral reefs through increasing ocean surface temperatures and ocean acidification. We show how these two stressors combine to alter the global habitat suitability for shallow coral reef ecosystems, using statistical ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Couce E,Ridgwell A,Hendy EJ

更新日期：2013-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate variation has been linked to historical and predicted future distributions and dynamics of wildlife populations. However, demographic mechanisms underlying these changes remain poorly understood. Here, we assessed variation and trends in climate (annual snowfall and spring temperature anomalies) and avian demo...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Saracco JF,Siegel RB,Helton L,Stock SL,DeSante DF

更新日期：2019-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Few studies have quantitatively projected changes in demography in response to climate change, yet doing so can provide important insights into the processes that may lead to population declines and changes in species distributions. Using a long-term mark-recapture data set, we examined the influence of multiple direc...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dybala KE,Eadie JM,Gardali T,Seavy NE,Herzog MP

更新日期：2013-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Arctic climate warming will be primarily during winter, resulting in increased snowfall in many regions. Previous tundra research on the impacts of deepened snow has generally been of short duration. Here, we report relatively long-term (7-9 years) effects of experimentally deepened snow on plant community structure, ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Christiansen CT,Lafreniére MJ,Henry GHR,Grogan P

更新日期：2018-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Although only representing 0.05% of global freshwater, or 0.001% of all global water, soil water supports all terrestrial biological life. Soil moisture behaviour in most models is constrained by hydraulic parameters that do not change. Here we argue that biological feedbacks from plants, macro-fauna and the microbiom...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Robinson DA,Hopmans JW,Filipovic V,van der Ploeg M,Lebron I,Jones SB,Reinsch S,Jarvis N,Tuller M

更新日期：2019-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Nitrogen (N) deposition (NDEP ) drives forest carbon (C) sequestration but the size of this effect is still uncertain. In the field, an estimate of these effects can be obtained by applying mineral N fertilizers over the soil or forest canopy. A 15 N label in the fertilizer can be then used to trace the movement of th...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Nair RK,Perks MP,Mencuccini M

更新日期：2017-04-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The rapid global biodiversity loss has led to the decline in ecosystem function. Despite the critical importance of soil respiration (Rs) in the global carbon and nutrient cycles, how plant diversity loss affects Rs remains uncertain. Here we present a meta-analysis using 446 paired observations from 95 published stud...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Chen X,Chen HYH

更新日期：2019-01-06 00:00:00

abstract：:Wheat production will be impacted by increasing concentration of atmospheric CO2 [CO2 ], which is expected to rise from about 400 μmol mol(-1) in 2015 to 550 μmol mol(-1) by 2050. Changes to plant physiology and crop responses from elevated [CO2 ] (e[CO2 ]) are well documented for some environments, but field-level re...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Fitzgerald GJ,Tausz M,O'Leary G,Mollah MR,Tausz-Posch S,Seneweera S,Mock I,Löw M,Partington DL,McNeil D,Norton RM

更新日期：2016-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Invasive alien plant species threaten native biodiversity, disrupt ecosystem functions and can cause large economic damage. Plant invasions have been predicted to further increase under ongoing global environmental change. Numerous case studies have compared the performance of invasive and native plant species in resp...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Liu Y,Oduor AMO,Zhang Z,Manea A,Tooth IM,Leishman MR,Xu X,van Kleunen M

更新日期：2017-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The maximum rate of carboxylation (Vcmax ) is an essential leaf trait determining the photosynthetic capacity of plants. Existing approaches for estimating Vcmax at large scale mainly rely on empirical relationships with proxies such as leaf nitrogen/chlorophyll content or hyperspectral reflectance, or on complicated ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jiang C,Ryu Y,Wang H,Keenan TF

更新日期：2020-07-12 00:00:00

abstract：:Summer temperature on the Cape Churchill Peninsula (Manitoba, Canada) has increased rapidly over the past 75 years, and flowering phenology of the plant community is advanced in years with warmer temperatures (higher cumulative growing degree days). Despite this, there has been no overall shift in flowering phenology ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mulder CP,Iles DT,Rockwell RF

更新日期：2017-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Coastal wetlands are among the most productive and carbon-rich ecosystems on Earth. Long-term carbon storage in coastal wetlands occurs primarily belowground as soil organic matter (SOM). In addition to serving as a carbon sink, SOM influences wetland ecosystem structure, function, and stability. To anticipate and mit...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Osland MJ,Gabler CA,Grace JB,Day RH,McCoy ML,McLeod JL,From AS,Enwright NM,Feher LC,Stagg CL,Hartley SB

更新日期：2018-11-01 00:00:00