Abstract:
:Despite decades of work on climate change biology, the scientific community remains uncertain about where and when most species distributions will respond to altered climates. A major barrier is the spatial mismatch between the size of organisms and the scale at which climate data are collected and modeled. Using a meta-analysis of published literature, we show that grid lengths in species distribution models are, on average, ca. 10 000-fold larger than the animals they study, and ca. 1000-fold larger than the plants they study. And the gap is even worse than these ratios indicate, as most work has focused on organisms that are significantly biased toward large size. This mismatch is problematic because organisms do not experience climate on coarse scales. Rather, they live in microclimates, which can be highly heterogeneous and strongly divergent from surrounding macroclimates. Bridging the spatial gap should be a high priority for research and will require gathering climate data at finer scales, developing better methods for downscaling environmental data to microclimates, and improving our statistical understanding of variation at finer scales. Interdisciplinary collaborations (including ecologists, engineers, climatologists, meteorologists, statisticians, and geographers) will be key to bridging the gap, and ultimately to providing scientifically grounded data and recommendations to conservation biologists and policy makers.
journal_name
Glob Chang Bioljournal_title
Global change biologyauthors
Potter KA,Arthur Woods H,Pincebourde Sdoi
10.1111/gcb.12257subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2013-10-01 00:00:00pages
2932-9issue
10eissn
1354-1013issn
1365-2486journal_volume
19pub_type
杂志文章abstract::In rice cultivation, there are controversial reports on net impacts of nitrogen (N) fertilizers on methane (CH 4 ) emissions. Nitrogen fertilizers increase crop growth as well as alter CH 4 producing (Methanogens) and consuming (Methanotrophs) microbes, and thereby produce complex effects on CH 4 emissions. Objectives...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02762.x
更新日期:2012-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15143
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14090
更新日期:2018-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12414
更新日期:2014-04-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14652
更新日期:2019-07-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02797.x
更新日期:2013-01-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15008
更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13428
更新日期:2017-04-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13515
更新日期:2017-06-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12720
更新日期:2015-03-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12358
更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Nitrogen (N) fixation in moss-associated cyanobacteria is one of the main sources of available N for N-limited ecosystems such as subarctic tundra. Yet, N2 fixation in mosses is strongly influenced by soil moisture and temperature. Thus, temporal scaling up of low-frequency in situ measurements to several weeks, month...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13418
更新日期:2017-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate variation has been linked to historical and predicted future distributions and dynamics of wildlife populations. However, demographic mechanisms underlying these changes remain poorly understood. Here, we assessed variation and trends in climate (annual snowfall and spring temperature anomalies) and avian demo...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14538
更新日期:2019-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Data from remote sensing and Eddy towers indicate that forests are not always net sinks for atmospheric CH4 . However, studies describing specific sources within forests and functional analysis of microorganisms on sites with CH4 turnover are scarce. Feather moss stands were considered to be net sinks for carbon dioxi...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13764
更新日期:2017-11-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/gcb.12160
更新日期:2013-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to forecast changes in the spatial distributions of species and communities in response to climate change. However, spatial autocorrelation (SA) is rarely accounted for in these models, despite its ubiquity in broad-scale ecological data. While spatial autocorrelation...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12598
更新日期:2014-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::The permafrost organic carbon (OC) stock is of global significance because of its large pool size and the potential positive feedback to climate warming. However, due to the lack of systematic field observations and appropriate upscaling methodologies, substantial uncertainties exist in the permafrost OC budget, which...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13257
更新日期:2016-08-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13129
更新日期:2016-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Cities are natural laboratories for studying vegetation responses to global environmental changes because of their climate, atmospheric, and biogeochemical conditions. However, few holistic studies have been conducted on the impact of urbanization on vegetation growth. We decomposed the overall impacts of urbanization...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14317
更新日期:2018-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Unprecedented rates of climate warming over the past century have resulted in increased forest stress and mortality worldwide. Decreased tree growth in association with increasing temperatures is generally accepted as a signal of temperature-induced drought stress. However, variations in tree growth alone do not revea...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12893
更新日期:2015-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Coccolithophores are important oceanic primary producers not only in terms of photosynthesis but also because they produce calcite plates called coccoliths. Ongoing ocean acidification associated with changing seawater carbonate chemistry may impair calcification and other metabolic functions in coccolithophores. Whil...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14065
更新日期:2018-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::The impact of climate change and of other anthropogenic pressures on the structure and composition of phytoplankton communities of large European rivers remains poorly documented. Here we report the findings of a study of the changes in the phytoplankton community of the middle segment of the river Loire over the past...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12139
更新日期:2013-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14588
更新日期:2019-07-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14641
更新日期:2019-07-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12998
更新日期:2015-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::South Asia experienced a weakening of summer monsoon circulation in the past several decades, resulting in rainfall decline in wet regions. In comparison with other tropical ecosystems, quantitative assessments of the extent and triggers of vegetation change are lacking in assessing climate-change impacts over South A...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13762
更新日期:2017-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Microbial-derived nitrogen (N) is now recognized as an important source of soil organic N. However, the mechanisms that govern the production of microbial necromass N, its turnover, and stabilization in soil remain poorly understood. To assess the effects of elevated temperature on bacterial and fungal necromass N pro...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15206
更新日期:2020-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate warming is currently advancing spring leaf-out of temperate and boreal trees, enhancing net primary productivity (NPP) of forests. However, it remains unclear whether this trend will continue, preventing for accurate projections of ecosystem functioning and climate feedbacks. Several ecophysiological mechanism...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15098
更新日期:2020-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::One striking feature of coral reef ecosystems is the complex benthic architecture which supports diverse and abundant fauna, particularly of reef fish. Reef-building corals are in decline worldwide, with a corresponding loss of live coral cover resulting in a loss of architectural complexity. Understanding the dynamic...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12698
更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The northern boundary of boreal forest and the ranges of tree species are expected to shift northward in response to climate warming, which will result in a decrease in the albedo of areas currently covered by tundra vegetation, an increase in terrestrial carbon sequestration, and an alteration of biodiversity in the ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02769.x
更新日期:2012-10-01 00:00:00