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Persistent drying in the tropics linked to natural forcing.

Abstract：

:Approximately half of the world's population lives in the tropics, and future changes in the hydrological cycle will impact not just the freshwater supplies but also energy production in areas dependent upon hydroelectric power. It is vital that we understand the mechanisms/processes that affect tropical precipitation and the eventual surface hydrological response to better assess projected future regional precipitation trends and variability. Paleo-climate proxies are well suited for this purpose as they provide long time series that pre-date and complement the present, often short instrumental observations. Here we present paleo-precipitation data from a speleothem located in Mesoamerica that reveal large multi-decadal declines in regional precipitation, whose onset coincides with clusters of large volcanic eruptions during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. This reconstruction provides new independent evidence of long-lasting volcanic effects on climate and elucidates key aspects of the causal chain of physical processes determining the tropical climate response to global radiative forcing.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Winter A,Zanchettin D,Miller T,Kushnir Y,Black D,Lohmann G,Burnett A,Haug GH,Estrella-Martínez J,Breitenbach SF,Beaufort L,Rubino A,Cheng H

doi

10.1038/ncomms8627

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2015-07-14 00:00:00

pages

7627

issn

2041-1723

pii

ncomms8627

journal_volume

6

pub_type

杂志文章

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