Likelihood ratios for mixed stains when the number of donors cannot be agreed.

Abstract:

:Suppose that part of the prosecution's evidence in some crime case is analysis of a blood stain, and that the traits E discovered in the stain suggest multiple donors. Then the prosecution will probably allege some specific inculpatory hypothesis H0 about the sources of the stain, and P (E [symbol: see text] H0) can be calculated. It is desirable to use this as the numerator of a likelihood ratio. However, in general the obvious denominator P (E [symbol: see text] approximately H0) cannot be calculated, so unless the defense is sufficiently obliging as to stipulate to a specific choice among the potentially infinite number of more or less exculpatory alternative hypotheses, the desired likelihood ratio can't be evaluated. We show that nonetheless, in most cases there is an adequate inequality.

journal_name

Int J Legal Med

authors

Brenner CH,Fimmers R,Baur MP

doi

10.1007/BF01225523

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1996-01-01 00:00:00

pages

218-9

issue

4

eissn

0937-9827

issn

1437-1596

journal_volume

109

pub_type

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