Abstract:
:Changes in rocky shore community composition as responses to climatic fluctuations and anthropogenic warming can be shown by changes in average species thermal affinities. In this study, we derived thermal affinities for European Atlantic rocky intertidal species by matching their known distributions to patterns in average annual sea surface temperature. Average thermal affinities (the Community Temperature Index, CTI) tracked patterns in sea surface temperature from Portugal to Norway, but CTI for communities of macroalgae and plant species changed less than those composed of animal species. This reduced response was in line with the expectation that communities with a smaller range of thermal affinities among species would change less in composition along thermal gradients and over time. Local-scale patterns in CTI over wave exposure gradients suggested that canopy macroalgae allow species with ranges centred in cooler than local temperatures ('cold-affinity') to persist in otherwise too-warm conditions. In annual surveys of rocky shores, communities of animal species in Shetland showed a shift in dominance towards warm-affinity species ('thermophilization') with local warming from 1980 to 2018 but the community of plant and macroalgal species did not. From 2002 to 2018, communities in southwest Britain showed the reverse trend in CTI: declining average thermal affinities over a period of modest temperature decline. Despite the cooling, trends in species abundance were in line with the general mechanism of direction and magnitude of long-term trends depending on the difference between species thermal affinities and local temperatures. Cold-affinity species increased during cooling and warm-affinity ones decreased. The consistency of responses across different communities and with general expectations based on species thermal characteristics suggests strong predictive accuracy of responses of community composition to anthropogenic warming.
journal_name
Glob Chang Bioljournal_title
Global change biologyauthors
Burrows MT,Hawkins SJ,Moore JJ,Adams L,Sugden H,Firth L,Mieszkowska Ndoi
10.1111/gcb.14968subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2019-12-20 00:00:00eissn
1354-1013issn
1365-2486pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Plant water-use efficiency (WUE, the carbon gained through photosynthesis per unit of water lost through transpiration) is a tracer of the plant physiological controls on the exchange of water and carbon dioxide between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere. At the leaf level, rising CO2 concentrations tend to inc...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/gcb.14634
更新日期:2019-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Although climate warming is affecting most marine ecosystems, the Mediterranean is showing earlier impacts. Foundation seagrasses are already experiencing a well-documented regression in the Mediterranean which could be aggravated by climate change. Here, we forecast distributions of two seagrasses and contrast predic...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14401
更新日期:2018-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Time series of environmental measurements are essential for detecting, measuring and understanding changes in the Earth system and its biological communities. Observational series have accumulated over the past 2-5 decades from measurements across the world's estuaries, bays, lagoons, inland seas and shelf waters infl...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/gcb.13059
更新日期:2016-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Human demand for livestock products has increased rapidly during the past few decades largely due to dietary transition and population growth, with significant impact on climate and the environment. The contribution of ruminant livestock to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions has been investigated extensively at various sc...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13709
更新日期:2017-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Studies have documented changes in animal body sizes over the last century, but very little is known about changes in plant sizes, even though reduced plant productivity is potentially responsible for declines in size of other organisms. Here, I ask whether warming trends in the Great Basin have affected plant size by...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12208
更新日期:2013-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Both elevated ozone (O(3)) and limiting soil nitrogen (N) availability negatively affect crop performance. However, less is known about how the combination of elevated O(3) and limiting N affect crop growth and metabolism. In this study, we grew tobacco (Nicotiana sylvestris) in ambient and elevated O(3) at two N leve...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12237
更新日期:2013-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The terrestrial forest ecosystems in the northern high latitude region have been experiencing significant warming rates over several decades. These forests are considered crucial to the climate system and global carbon cycle and are particularly vulnerable to climate change. To obtain an improved estimate of the respo...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14135
更新日期:2018-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::As the ocean warms, thermal tolerance of developmental stages may be a key driver of changes in the geographical distributions and abundance of marine invertebrates. Additional stressors such as ocean acidification may influence developmental thermal windows and are therefore important considerations for predicting di...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13452
更新日期:2017-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Many arctic ecological processes are regulated by soil temperature that is tightly interconnected with snow cover distribution and persistence. Recently, various climate-induced changes have been observed in arctic tundra ecosystems, e.g. shrub expansion, resulting in reduction in albedo and greater C fixation in abov...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13294
更新日期:2016-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Biological invasions are one of the biggest threats to global biodiversity. Marine artificial structures are proliferating worldwide and provide a haven for marine invasive species. Such structures disrupt local hydrodynamics, which can lead to the formation of oxygen-depleted microsites. The extent to which native fa...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13668
更新日期:2017-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Accounting for water stress-induced tree mortality in forest productivity models remains a challenge due to uncertainty in stress tolerance of tree populations. In this study, logistic regression models were developed to assess species-specific relationships between probability of mortality (Pm ) and drought, drawing ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13428
更新日期:2017-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Soil CO2 concentrations and emissions from tropical forests are modulated seasonally by precipitation. However, subseasonal responses to meteorological events (e.g., storms, drought) are less well known. Here, we present the effects of meteorological variability on short-term (hours to months) dynamics of soil CO2 con...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15194
更新日期:2020-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::In the forest-tundra ecotone of the North Fennoscandian inland, summer and winter temperatures have increased by two to three centigrades since 1965, which is expected to result in major vegetation changes. To document the expected expansion of woodlands and scrublands and its impact on the arctic vegetation, we repea...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13710
更新日期:2017-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Continental margins are disproportionally important for global primary production, fisheries and CO2 uptake. However, across the Northeast Atlantic shelves, there has been an ongoing summertime decline of key biota-large diatoms, dinoflagellates and copepods-that traditionally fuel higher tropic levels such as fish, s...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15161
更新日期:2020-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::A global warming-induced transition from glacial to periglacial processes has been identified in mountainous regions around the world. Degrading permafrost in pristine periglacial environments can produce acid rock drainage (ARD) and cause severe ecological damage in areas underlain by sulfide-bearing bedrock. Limnolo...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13985
更新日期:2018-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Amazonian forests continuously accumulate carbon (C) in biomass and in soil, representing a carbon sink of 0.42-0.65 GtC yr-1 . In recent decades, more than 15% of Amazonian forests have been converted into pastures, resulting in net C emissions (~200 tC ha-1 ) due to biomass burning and litter mineralization in the f...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13573
更新日期:2017-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Growth-climate relationships were investigated in Greek firs from Ainos Mountain on the island of Cephalonia in western Greece, using dendrochronology. The goal was to test whether tree growth is sensitive to moisture stress, whether such sensitivity has been stable through time, and whether changes in growth-moisture...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12053
更新日期:2013-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Carbon emissions from land-use changes in tropical dry forest systems are poorly understood, although they are likely globally significant. The South American Chaco has recently emerged as a hot spot of agricultural expansion and intensification, as cattle ranching and soybean cultivation expand into forests, and as s...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13521
更新日期:2017-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Animals must balance a series of costs and benefits while trying to maximize their fitness. For example, an individual may need to choose how much energy to allocate to reproduction versus growth, or how much time to spend on vigilance versus foraging. Their decisions depend on complex interactions between environment...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14681
更新日期:2019-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Autumn senescence regulates multiple aspects of ecosystem function, along with associated feedbacks to the climate system. Despite its importance, current understanding of the drivers of senescence is limited, leading to a large spread in predictions of how the timing of senescence, and thus the length of the growing ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12890
更新日期:2015-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Changes in peak photosynthesis timing (PPT) could substantially change the seasonality of the terrestrial carbon cycle. Spring PPT in dry regions has been documented for some individual plant species on a stand scale, but both the spatio-temporal pattern of shifting PPT on a continental scale and its determinants rema...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13224
更新日期:2016-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Human and natural systems have adapted to and evolved within historical climatic conditions. Anthropogenic climate change has the potential to alter these conditions such that onset of unprecedented climatic extremes will outpace evolutionary and adaptive capabilities. To assess whether and when future climate extreme...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14329
更新日期:2018-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The northern boundary of boreal forest and the ranges of tree species are expected to shift northward in response to climate warming, which will result in a decrease in the albedo of areas currently covered by tundra vegetation, an increase in terrestrial carbon sequestration, and an alteration of biodiversity in the ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02769.x
更新日期:2012-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The impact of climate change and of other anthropogenic pressures on the structure and composition of phytoplankton communities of large European rivers remains poorly documented. Here we report the findings of a study of the changes in the phytoplankton community of the middle segment of the river Loire over the past...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12139
更新日期:2013-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Accurate assessments of forest response to current and future climate and human actions are needed at regional scales. Predicting future impacts on forests will require improved analysis of species-level adaptation, resilience, and vulnerability to mortality. Land system models can be enhanced by creating trait-based ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12651
更新日期:2014-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate change is increasingly impacting marine protected areas (MPAs) and MPA networks, yet adaptation strategies are rarely incorporated into MPA design and management plans according to the primary scientific literature. Here we review the state of knowledge for adapting existing and future MPAs to climate change a...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/gcb.15094
更新日期:2020-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Changes in evapotranspiration (ET) from terrestrial ecosystems affect their water yield (WY), with considerable ecological and economic consequences. Increases in surface runoff observed over the past century have been attributed to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations resulting in reduced ET by terrestrial ecosy...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14363
更新日期:2018-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate change likely will lead to increasingly favourable environmental conditions for many parasites. However, predictions regarding parasitism's impacts often fail to account for the likely variability in host distribution and how this may alter parasite occurrence. Here, we investigate potential distributional shi...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12255
更新日期:2013-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Summer temperature on the Cape Churchill Peninsula (Manitoba, Canada) has increased rapidly over the past 75 years, and flowering phenology of the plant community is advanced in years with warmer temperatures (higher cumulative growing degree days). Despite this, there has been no overall shift in flowering phenology ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13386
更新日期:2017-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::With the rapidly expanding ecological footprint of agriculture, the design of farmed landscapes will play an increasingly important role for both carbon storage and biodiversity protection. Carbon and biodiversity can be enhanced by integrating natural habitats into agricultural lands, but a key question is whether be...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12482
更新日期:2014-07-01 00:00:00