Abstract:
:Accurate assessments of forest response to current and future climate and human actions are needed at regional scales. Predicting future impacts on forests will require improved analysis of species-level adaptation, resilience, and vulnerability to mortality. Land system models can be enhanced by creating trait-based groupings of species that better represent climate sensitivity, such as risk of hydraulic failure from drought. This emphasizes the need for more coordinated in situ and remote sensing observations to track changes in ecosystem function, and to improve model inputs, spatio-temporal diagnosis, and predictions of future conditions, including implications of actions to mitigate climate change.
journal_name
Glob Chang Bioljournal_title
Global change biologyauthors
Law BEdoi
10.1111/gcb.12651subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2014-12-01 00:00:00pages
3595-9issue
12eissn
1354-1013issn
1365-2486journal_volume
20pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Some recent modelling papers projecting smaller fish sizes and catches in a warmer future are based on erroneous assumptions regarding (i) the scaling of gills with body mass and (ii) the energetic cost of 'maintenance'. Assumption (i) posits that insurmountable geometric constraints prevent respiratory surface areas ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13652
更新日期:2017-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Many migrant bird species that breed in the Northern Hemisphere show advancement in spring arrival dates. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index is one of the climatic variables that have been most often investigated and shown to be correlated with these changes in spring arrival. Although the NAO is often claimed...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14023
更新日期:2018-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Global change is affecting terrestrial carbon (C) balances. The effect of climate on ecosystem C balance has been largely explored, but the roles of other concurrently changing factors, such as diversity and nutrient availability, remain elusive. We used eddy-covariance C-flux measurements from 62 ecosystems from whic...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15385
更新日期:2020-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::The combination of global and local stressors is leading to a decline in coral reef health globally. In the case of eutrophication, increased concentrations of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and phosphorus (DIP) are largely attributed to local land use changes. From the global perspective, increased atmospheric CO...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12035
更新日期:2013-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Although only representing 0.05% of global freshwater, or 0.001% of all global water, soil water supports all terrestrial biological life. Soil moisture behaviour in most models is constrained by hydraulic parameters that do not change. Here we argue that biological feedbacks from plants, macro-fauna and the microbiom...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14626
更新日期:2019-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Ecosystem models play a crucial role in understanding and evaluating the combined impacts of rising atmospheric CO2 concentration and changing climate on terrestrial ecosystems. However, we are not aware of any studies where the capacity of models to simulate intra- and inter-annual variation in responses to elevated ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12358
更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Crop production will likely face enormous challenges against the occurrences of extreme climatic events projected under future climate change. Heat waves that occur at critical stages of the reproductive phase have detrimental impacts on the grain yield formation of rice (Oryza sativa). Accurate estimates of these imp...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15393
更新日期:2021-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::In order to adequately monitor biodiversity trends through time and their responses to natural or anthropogenic impacts, researchers require long time series that are often unavailable. This general lack of datasets that are several decades or longer makes establishing a background or baseline of diversity metrics dif...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13047
更新日期:2016-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Carbon release from thawing permafrost soils could significantly exacerbate global warming as the active-layer deepens, exposing more carbon to decay. Plant community and soil properties provide a major control on this by influencing the maximum depth of thaw each summer (active-layer thickness; ALT), but a quantitati...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13248
更新日期:2016-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Carbon emissions from land-use changes in tropical dry forest systems are poorly understood, although they are likely globally significant. The South American Chaco has recently emerged as a hot spot of agricultural expansion and intensification, as cattle ranching and soybean cultivation expand into forests, and as s...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13521
更新日期:2017-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Studies have documented changes in animal body sizes over the last century, but very little is known about changes in plant sizes, even though reduced plant productivity is potentially responsible for declines in size of other organisms. Here, I ask whether warming trends in the Great Basin have affected plant size by...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12208
更新日期:2013-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Broadacre livestock production is a major but highly diverse component of agriculture in Australia that will be significantly exposed to predicted changes in climate over coming decades. We used the GRAZPLAN simulation models to assess the impacts of climate change under the SRES A2 scenario across southern Australia....
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12150
更新日期:2013-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Most North American forests are at some stage of post-disturbance regrowth, subject to a changing climate, and exhibit growth and mortality patterns that may not be closely coupled to annual environmental conditions. Distinguishing the possibly interacting effects of these processes is necessary to put short-term stud...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12404
更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate change is increasingly impacting marine protected areas (MPAs) and MPA networks, yet adaptation strategies are rarely incorporated into MPA design and management plans according to the primary scientific literature. Here we review the state of knowledge for adapting existing and future MPAs to climate change a...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1111/gcb.15094
更新日期:2020-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::The impact of climate change and of other anthropogenic pressures on the structure and composition of phytoplankton communities of large European rivers remains poorly documented. Here we report the findings of a study of the changes in the phytoplankton community of the middle segment of the river Loire over the past...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12139
更新日期:2013-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Agricultural expansion has resulted in both land use and land cover change (LULCC) across the tropics. However, the spatial and temporal patterns of such change and their resulting impacts are poorly understood, particularly for the presatellite era. Here, we quantify the LULCC history across the 33.9 million ha water...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13218
更新日期:2016-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Atmospheric CO2 concentrations are now 1.7 times higher than the preindustrial values. Although photosynthetic rates are hypothesized to increase in response to rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations, results from in situ experiments are inconsistent in supporting a CO2 fertilization effect of tree growth. Tree-ring da...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14561
更新日期:2018-12-27 00:00:00
abstract::Phosphorus (P) is an essential macro-nutrient required for plant metabolism and growth. Low P availability could potentially limit plant responses to elevated carbon dioxide (eCO2 ), but consensus has yet to be reached on the extent of this limitation. Here, based on data from experiments that manipulated both CO2 and...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析
doi:10.1111/gcb.15277
更新日期:2020-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The acclimation capacity of leading edge tree populations is crucially important in a warming climate. Theoretical considerations suggest that adaptation through genetic change is needed, but this may be a slow process. Both positive and catastrophic outcomes have been predicted, while empirical studies have lagged be...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13956
更新日期:2018-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Comprehending ecological dynamics requires not only knowledge of modern communities but also detailed reconstructions of ecosystem history. Ancient DNA (aDNA) metabarcoding allows biodiversity responses to major climatic change to be explored at different spatial and temporal scales. We extracted aDNA preserved in fos...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14583
更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::How ocean acidification affects marine life is a major concern for science and society. However, its impacts on encrusting biofouling communities, that are both the initial colonizers of hard substrata and of great economic importance, are almost unknown. We showed that community composition changed significantly, fro...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12841
更新日期:2015-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Long-term trends in ecosystem resource use efficiencies (RUEs) and their controlling factors are key pieces of information for understanding how an ecosystem responds to climate change. We used continuous eddy covariance and microclimate data over the period 1999-2017 from a 120-year-old black spruce stand in central ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14674
更新日期:2019-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Tree populations usually show adaptations to their local environments as a result of natural selection. As climates change, populations can become locally maladapted and decline in fitness. Evaluating the expected degree of genetic maladaptation due to climate change will allow forest managers to assess forest vulnera...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13802
更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are placing spatially divergent stresses on the world's tropical coral reefs through increasing ocean surface temperatures and ocean acidification. We show how these two stressors combine to alter the global habitat suitability for shallow coral reef ecosystems, using statistical ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12335
更新日期:2013-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::The establishment of either forest or grassland on degraded cropland has been proposed as an effective method for climate change mitigation because these land use types can increase soil carbon (C) stocks. This paper synthesized 135 recent publications (844 observations at 181 sites) focused on the conversion from cro...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12508
更新日期:2014-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::The interacting effects of global changes-including increased temperature, altered precipitation, reduced acidification and increased dissolved organic matter loads to lakes-are anticipated to create favourable environmental conditions for cyanobacteria in northern lakes. However, responses of cyanobacteria to these g...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.15189
更新日期:2020-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Climate change (CC) and sea level rise (SLR) are phenomena that could have severe impacts on the distribution of coastal dune vegetation. To explore this we modeled the climatic niches of six coastal dunes plant species that grow along the shoreline of the Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula, and projected climat...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12236
更新日期:2013-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Summer temperature on the Cape Churchill Peninsula (Manitoba, Canada) has increased rapidly over the past 75 years, and flowering phenology of the plant community is advanced in years with warmer temperatures (higher cumulative growing degree days). Despite this, there has been no overall shift in flowering phenology ...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.13386
更新日期:2017-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Coastal wetlands are among the most productive and carbon-rich ecosystems on Earth. Long-term carbon storage in coastal wetlands occurs primarily belowground as soil organic matter (SOM). In addition to serving as a carbon sink, SOM influences wetland ecosystem structure, function, and stability. To anticipate and mit...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.14376
更新日期:2018-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Air temperatures in the arid western United States are predicted to increase over the next century. These increases will likely impact the distribution of plant species, particularly dioecious species that show a spatial segregation of the sexes across broad resource gradients. On the basis of spatial segregation patt...
journal_title:Global change biology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1111/gcb.12230
更新日期:2013-11-01 00:00:00