Abstract:
OBJECTIVE:Individuals with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) are at high risk for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We examined which characteristics at baseline predicted the development of T2DM versus maintenance of IGT or conversion to normal glucose tolerance. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS:We studied 228 subjects at high risk with IGT who received treatment with placebo in ACT NOW and who underwent baseline anthropometric measures and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) at baseline and after a mean follow-up of 2.4 years. RESULTS:In a univariate analysis, 45 of 228 (19.7%) IGT individuals developed diabetes. After adjusting for age, sex, and center, increased fasting plasma glucose, 2-h plasma glucose, G0-120 during OGTT, HbA1c, adipocyte insulin resistance index, ln fasting plasma insulin, and ln I0-120, as well as family history of diabetes and presence of metabolic syndrome, were associated with increased risk of diabetes. At baseline, higher insulin secretion (ln [I0-120/G0-120]) during the OGTT was associated with decreased risk of diabetes. Higher β-cell function (insulin secretion/insulin resistance or disposition index; ln [I0-120/G0-120 × Matsuda index of insulin sensitivity]; odds ratio 0.11; P < 0.0001) was the variable most closely associated with reduced risk of diabetes. CONCLUSIONS:In a stepwise multiple-variable analysis, only HbA1c and β-cell function (ln insulin secretion/insulin resistance index) predicted the development of diabetes (r = 0.49; P < 0.0001).
journal_name
Diabetes Carejournal_title
Diabetes careauthors
Defronzo RA,Tripathy D,Schwenke DC,Banerji M,Bray GA,Buchanan TA,Clement SC,Henry RR,Kitabchi AE,Mudaliar S,Ratner RE,Stentz FB,Musi N,Reaven PD,Gastaldelli A,ACT NOW Study.doi
10.2337/dc13-0520subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2013-11-01 00:00:00pages
3607-12issue
11eissn
0149-5992issn
1935-5548pii
dc13-0520journal_volume
36pub_type
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