Modeling optimal intervention strategies for cholera.

Abstract:

:While cholera has been a recognized disease for two centuries, there is no strategy for its effective control. We formulate a mathematical model to include essential components such as a hyperinfectious, short-lived bacterial state, a separate class for mild human infections, and waning disease immunity. A new result quantifies contributions to the basic reproductive number from multiple infectious classes. Using optimal control theory, parameter sensitivity analysis, and numerical simulations, a cost-effective balance of multiple intervention methods is compared for two endemic populations. Results provide a framework for designing cost-effective strategies for diseases with multiple intervention methods.

journal_name

Bull Math Biol

authors

Miller Neilan RL,Schaefer E,Gaff H,Fister KR,Lenhart S

doi

10.1007/s11538-010-9521-8

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2010-11-01 00:00:00

pages

2004-18

issue

8

eissn

0092-8240

issn

1522-9602

journal_volume

72

pub_type

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