Population trends influence species ability to track climate change.

abstract：:Landscape fire is a key but poorly understood component of the global carbon cycle. Predicting biomass consumption by fire at large spatial scales is essential to understanding carbon dynamics and hence how fire management can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase ecosystem carbon storage. An Australia-wide fie...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Murphy BP,Prior LD,Cochrane MA,Williamson GJ,Bowman DMJS

更新日期：2019-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The greenhouse gas (GHG) balance of European grasslands (EU-28 plus Norway and Switzerland), including CO2 , CH4 and N2 O, is estimated using the new process-based biogeochemical model ORCHIDEE-GM over the period 1961-2010. The model includes the following: (1) a mechanistic representation of the spatial distribution ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Chang J,Ciais P,Viovy N,Vuichard N,Sultan B,Soussana JF

更新日期：2015-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Biodiversity studies of global change mainly focus on direct impacts such as losses in species numbers or ecosystem functions. In this study, we focus on the long-term effects of recent land-cover conversion and subsequent ecological isolation of Kilimanjaro on biodiversity in a paleobiogeographical context, linking o...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Hemp A,Hemp C

更新日期：2018-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Data from remote sensing and Eddy towers indicate that forests are not always net sinks for atmospheric CH4 . However, studies describing specific sources within forests and functional analysis of microorganisms on sites with CH4 turnover are scarce. Feather moss stands were considered to be net sinks for carbon dioxi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Kanaparthi D,Reim A,Martinson GO,Pommerenke B,Conrad R

更新日期：2017-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The Mediterranean region is projected to be extremely vulnerable to global change, which will affect the distribution of typical forest types such as native oak forests. However, our understanding of Mediterranean oak forest responses to future conditions is still very limited by the lack of knowledge on oak forest dy...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Acácio V,Dias FS,Catry FX,Rocha M,Moreira F

更新日期：2017-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Soil carbon cycling processes potentially play a large role in biotic feedbacks to climate change, but little agreement exists at present on what the core of numerical soil C cycling models should look like. In contrast, most canopy models of photosynthesis and leaf gas exchange share a common 'Farquhaur-model' core s...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Davidson EA,Savage KE,Finzi AC

更新日期：2014-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The European spruce bark beetle Ips typographus is the most important insect pest in Central European forests. Under climate change, its phenology is presumed to be changing and mass infestations becoming more likely. While several studies have investigated climate effects across a latitudinal gradient, it remains an ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jakoby O,Lischke H,Wermelinger B

更新日期：2019-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Accelerated mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet leads to glacier retreat and an increasing input of glacial meltwater to the fjords and coastal waters around Greenland. These high latitude ecosystems are highly productive and sustain important fisheries, yet it remains uncertain how they will respond to future chan...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Meire L,Mortensen J,Meire P,Juul-Pedersen T,Sejr MK,Rysgaard S,Nygaard R,Huybrechts P,Meysman FJR

更新日期：2017-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate warming will affect terrestrial ecosystems in many ways, and warming-induced changes in terrestrial carbon (C) cycling could accelerate or slow future warming. So far, warming experiments have shown a wide range of C flux responses, across and within biome types. However, past meta-analyses of C flux responses...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wang N,Quesada B,Xia L,Butterbach-Bahl K,Goodale CL,Kiese R

更新日期：2019-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change can modify ecological interactions, but whether it can have cascading effects throughout ecological networks of multiple interacting species remains poorly studied. Climate-driven alterations in the intensity of plant-herbivore interactions may have particularly profound effects on the larger community ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Auer SK,Martin TE

更新日期：2013-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Salt marshes can play a vital role in mitigating the effects of global environmental change by dissipating incident storm wave energy and, through accretion, tracking increasing water depths consequent upon sea level rise. Atmospheric CO2 concentrations and nutrient availability are two key variables that can affect t...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Reef R,Spencer T,Mӧller I,Lovelock CE,Christie EK,McIvor AL,Evans BR,Tempest JA

更新日期：2017-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change is projected to push the limits of cropping systems and has the potential to disrupt the agricultural sector from local to global scales. This article introduces the Coordinated Climate-Crop Modeling Project (C3MP), an initiative of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ruane AC,McDermid S,Rosenzweig C,Baigorria GA,Jones JW,Romero CC,Dewayne Cecil L

更新日期：2014-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Comprehending ecological dynamics requires not only knowledge of modern communities but also detailed reconstructions of ecosystem history. Ancient DNA (aDNA) metabarcoding allows biodiversity responses to major climatic change to be explored at different spatial and temporal scales. We extracted aDNA preserved in fos...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Díaz FP,Latorre C,Carrasco-Puga G,Wood JR,Wilmshurst JM,Soto DC,Cole TL,Gutiérrez RA

更新日期：2019-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Cities are natural laboratories for studying vegetation responses to global environmental changes because of their climate, atmospheric, and biogeochemical conditions. However, few holistic studies have been conducted on the impact of urbanization on vegetation growth. We decomposed the overall impacts of urbanization...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jia W,Zhao S,Liu S

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Changes in rocky shore community composition as responses to climatic fluctuations and anthropogenic warming can be shown by changes in average species thermal affinities. In this study, we derived thermal affinities for European Atlantic rocky intertidal species by matching their known distributions to patterns in av...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Burrows MT,Hawkins SJ,Moore JJ,Adams L,Sugden H,Firth L,Mieszkowska N

更新日期：2019-12-20 00:00:00

abstract：:In the face of increasing cumulative effects from human and natural disturbances, sustaining coral reefs will require a deeper understanding of the drivers of coral resilience in space and time. Here we develop a high-resolution, spatially explicit model of coral dynamics on Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR). Our m...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mellin C,Matthews S,Anthony KRN,Brown SC,Caley MJ,Johns KA,Osborne K,Puotinen M,Thompson A,Wolff NH,Fordham DA,MacNeil MA

更新日期：2019-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Despite decades of work on climate change biology, the scientific community remains uncertain about where and when most species distributions will respond to altered climates. A major barrier is the spatial mismatch between the size of organisms and the scale at which climate data are collected and modeled. Using a me...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Potter KA,Arthur Woods H,Pincebourde S

更新日期：2013-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In Boulanger et al. (2018), we investigated the effects of ungulates on forest plant diversity. By suggesting a revisit of our conclusions regarding ecosystem dynamics since the late Pleistocene, Fløjgaard et al. (2018) came to the conclusion that moderate grazing in forest should be a conservation target. Since major...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Boulanger V,Dupouey JL,Archaux F,Badeau V,Baltzinger C,Chevalier R,Corcket E,Dumas Y,Forgeard F,Mårell A,Montpied P,Paillet Y,Saïd S,Ulrich E

更新日期：2018-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:A growing body of literature seeks to explain variation in range shifts using species' ecological and life-history traits, with expectations that shifts should be greater in species with greater dispersal ability, reproductive potential, and ecological generalization. Despite strong theoretical support for species' tr...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： MacLean SA,Beissinger SR

更新日期：2017-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Mechanistic photosynthesis models are at the heart of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) simulating the daily, monthly, annual and decadal rhythms of carbon assimilation (A). These models are founded on robust mathematical hypotheses that describe how A responds to changes in light and atmospheric CO2 concentration. ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Walker AP,Johnson AL,Rogers A,Anderson J,Bridges RA,Fisher RA,Lu D,Ricciuto DM,Serbin SP,Ye M

更新日期：2021-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In recent decades, the final frost dates of winter have advanced throughout North America, and many angiosperm taxa have simultaneously advanced their flowering times as the climate has warmed. Phenological advancement may reduce plant fitness, as flowering prior to the final frost date of the winter/spring transition...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Park IW,Ramirez-Parada T,Mazer SJ

更新日期：2021-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Many studies of individual sites have revealed biotic changes consistent with climate warming (e.g., upward elevational distribution shifts), but our understanding of the tremendous variation among studies in the magnitude of such biotic changes is minimal. In this study, we resurveyed forest vegetation plots 40 years...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Becker-Scarpitta A,Vissault S,Vellend M

更新日期：2019-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Sequestration of soil organic carbon (SOC) has been recognized as an opportunity to off-set global carbon dioxide (CO2 ) emissions. Flipping (full inversion to 1-3 m) is a practice used on New Zealand's South Island West Coast to eliminate water-logging in highly podzolized sandy soils. Flipping results in burial of S...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Schiedung M,Tregurtha CS,Beare MH,Thomas SM,Don A

更新日期：2019-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Globally, spatial distributions of fish stocks are shifting but although the role of climate change in range shifts is increasingly appreciated, little remains known of the likely additional impact that high levels of fishing pressure might have on distribution. For North Sea cod, we show for the first time and in gre...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Engelhard GH,Righton DA,Pinnegar JK

更新日期：2014-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The impact of climate change on dispersal processes is largely ignored in risk assessments for crop diseases, as inoculum is generally assumed to be ubiquitous and nonlimiting. We suggest that consideration of the impact of climate change on the connectivity of crops for inoculum transmission may provide additional ex...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Skelsey P,Cooke DE,Lynott JS,Lees AK

更新日期：2016-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:South Asia experienced a weakening of summer monsoon circulation in the past several decades, resulting in rainfall decline in wet regions. In comparison with other tropical ecosystems, quantitative assessments of the extent and triggers of vegetation change are lacking in assessing climate-change impacts over South A...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wang X,Wang T,Liu D,Guo H,Huang H,Zhao Y

更新日期：2017-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are placing spatially divergent stresses on the world's tropical coral reefs through increasing ocean surface temperatures and ocean acidification. We show how these two stressors combine to alter the global habitat suitability for shallow coral reef ecosystems, using statistical ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Couce E,Ridgwell A,Hendy EJ

更新日期：2013-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The northern boundary of boreal forest and the ranges of tree species are expected to shift northward in response to climate warming, which will result in a decrease in the albedo of areas currently covered by tundra vegetation, an increase in terrestrial carbon sequestration, and an alteration of biodiversity in the ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Walker X,Henry GHR,McLeod K,Hofgaard A

更新日期：2012-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Efforts to limit global warming to below 2°C in relation to the pre-industrial level are under way, in accordance with the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, most impact research on agriculture to date has focused on impacts of warming >2°C on mean crop yields, and many previous studies did not focus sufficiently on extre...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Liu B,Martre P,Ewert F,Porter JR,Challinor AJ,Müller C,Ruane AC,Waha K,Thorburn PJ,Aggarwal PK,Ahmed M,Balkovič J,Basso B,Biernath C,Bindi M,Cammarano D,De Sanctis G,Dumont B,Espadafor M,Eyshi Rezaei E,Ferrise R,

更新日期：2018-12-07 00:00:00

abstract：:Carbon emissions from drained peatlands converted to agriculture in South-East Asia (i.e., Peninsular Malaysia, Sumatra and Borneo) are globally significant and increasing. Here, we map the growth of South-East Asian peatland agriculture and estimate CO2 emissions due to peat drainage in relation to official land-use ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wijedasa LS,Sloan S,Page SE,Clements GR,Lupascu M,Evans TA

更新日期：2018-10-01 00:00:00