Abstract:
:Soil organic carbon (SOC) stored in permafrost across the high-latitude/altitude Northern Hemisphere represents an important potential carbon source under future warming. Here, we provide a comprehensive investigation on the spatiotemporal dynamics of SOC over the high-altitude Tibetan Plateau (TP), which has received less attention compared with the circum-Arctic region. The permafrost region covers ~42% of the entire TP and contains ~37.21 Pg perennially frozen SOC at the baseline period (2006-2015). With continuous warming, the active layer is projected to further deepen, resulting in ~1.86 ± 0.49 Pg and ~3.80 ± 0.76 Pg permafrost carbon thawing by 2100 under moderate and high representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), respectively. This could largely offset the regional carbon sink and even potentially turn the region into a net carbon source. Our findings also highlight the importance of deep permafrost thawing that is generally ignored in current Earth system models.
journal_name
Sci Advjournal_title
Science advancesauthors
Wang T,Yang D,Yang Y,Piao S,Li X,Cheng G,Fu Bdoi
10.1126/sciadv.aaz3513subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-05-06 00:00:00pages
eaaz3513issue
19issn
2375-2548pii
aaz3513journal_volume
6pub_type
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