Quantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communities.

Abstract:

:Changing climate will impact species' ranges only when environmental variability directly impacts the demography of local populations. However, measurement of demographic responses to climate change has largely been limited to single species and locations. Here we show that amphibian communities are responsive to climatic variability, using >500,000 time-series observations for 81 species across 86 North American study areas. The effect of climate on local colonization and persistence probabilities varies among eco-regions and depends on local climate, species life-histories, and taxonomic classification. We found that local species richness is most sensitive to changes in water availability during breeding and changes in winter conditions. Based on the relationships we measure, recent changes in climate cannot explain why local species richness of North American amphibians has rapidly declined. However, changing climate does explain why some populations are declining faster than others. Our results provide important insights into how amphibians respond to climate and a general framework for measuring climate impacts on species richness.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Miller DAW,Grant EHC,Muths E,Amburgey SM,Adams MJ,Joseph MB,Waddle JH,Johnson PTJ,Ryan ME,Schmidt BR,Calhoun DL,Davis CL,Fisher RN,Green DM,Hossack BR,Rittenhouse TAG,Walls SC,Bailey LL,Cruickshank SS,Fellers GM,G

doi

10.1038/s41467-018-06157-6

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-09-25 00:00:00

pages

3926

issue

1

issn

2041-1723

pii

10.1038/s41467-018-06157-6

journal_volume

9

pub_type

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