A global strategy to mitigate the environmental impact of China's ruminant consumption boom.

Abstract:

:Rising demand for ruminant meat and dairy products in developing countries is expected to double anthropogenic greenhouse gas and ammonia emissions from livestock by 2050. Mitigation strategies are urgently needed to meet demand while minimizing environmental impacts. Here, we develop scenarios for mitigating emissions under local vs global supply policies using data from 308 livestock farms across mainland China, where emissions intensities are ~50% higher than those in developed nations. Intensification of domestic production and globalized expansion through increased trade result in reductions in global emissions by nearly 30% over a business-as-usual scenario, but at the expense of trading partners absorbing the associated negative externalities of environmental degradation. Only adoption of a mixed strategy combining global best-practice in sustainable intensification of domestic production, with increased green-source trading as a short-term coping strategy, can meet 2050 demand while minimizing the local and global environmental footprint of China's ruminant consumption boom.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Du Y,Ge Y,Ren Y,Fan X,Pan K,Lin L,Wu X,Min Y,Meyerson LA,Heino M,Chang SX,Liu X,Mao F,Yang G,Peng C,Qu Z,Chang J,Didham RK

doi

10.1038/s41467-018-06381-0

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-10-08 00:00:00

pages

4133

issue

1

issn

2041-1723

pii

10.1038/s41467-018-06381-0

journal_volume

9

pub_type

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