Observations from old forests underestimate climate change effects on tree mortality.

Abstract:

:Understanding climate change-associated tree mortality is central to linking climate change impacts and forest structure and function. However, whether temporal increases in tree mortality are attributed to climate change or stand developmental processes remains uncertain. Furthermore, interpreting the climate change-associated tree mortality estimated from old forests for regional forests rests on an un-tested assumption that the effects of climate change are the same for young and old forests. Here we disentangle the effects of climate change and stand developmental processes on tree mortality. We show that both climate change and forest development processes influence temporal mortality increases, climate change-associated increases are significantly higher in young than old forests, and higher increases in younger forests are a result of their higher sensitivity to regional warming and drought. We anticipate our analysis to be a starting point for more comprehensive examinations of how forest ecosystems might respond to climate change.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Luo Y,Chen HY

doi

10.1038/ncomms2681

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2013-01-01 00:00:00

pages

1655

issn

2041-1723

pii

ncomms2681

journal_volume

4

pub_type

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