Long-term perspective on wildfires in the western USA.

Abstract:

:Understanding the causes and consequences of wildfires in forests of the western United States requires integrated information about fire, climate changes, and human activity on multiple temporal scales. We use sedimentary charcoal accumulation rates to construct long-term variations in fire during the past 3,000 y in the American West and compare this record to independent fire-history data from historical records and fire scars. There has been a slight decline in burning over the past 3,000 y, with the lowest levels attained during the 20th century and during the Little Ice Age (LIA, ca. 1400-1700 CE [Common Era]). Prominent peaks in forest fires occurred during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (ca. 950-1250 CE) and during the 1800s. Analysis of climate reconstructions beginning from 500 CE and population data show that temperature and drought predict changes in biomass burning up to the late 1800s CE. Since the late 1800s , human activities and the ecological effects of recent high fire activity caused a large, abrupt decline in burning similar to the LIA fire decline. Consequently, there is now a forest "fire deficit" in the western United States attributable to the combined effects of human activities, ecological, and climate changes. Large fires in the late 20th and 21st century fires have begun to address the fire deficit, but it is continuing to grow.

authors

Marlon JR,Bartlein PJ,Gavin DG,Long CJ,Anderson RS,Briles CE,Brown KJ,Colombaroli D,Hallett DJ,Power MJ,Scharf EA,Walsh MK

doi

10.1073/pnas.1112839109

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2012-02-28 00:00:00

pages

E535-43

issue

9

eissn

0027-8424

issn

1091-6490

pii

1112839109

journal_volume

109

pub_type

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