Abstract:
:China is the world's most populous country and a major emitter of greenhouse gases. Consequently, much research has focused on China's influence on climate change but somewhat less has been written about the impact of climate change on China. China experienced explosive economic growth in recent decades, but with only 7% of the world's arable land available to feed 22% of the world's population, China's economy may be vulnerable to climate change itself. We find, however, that notwithstanding the clear warming that has occurred in China in recent decades, current understanding does not allow a clear assessment of the impact of anthropogenic climate change on China's water resources and agriculture and therefore China's ability to feed its people. To reach a more definitive conclusion, future work must improve regional climate simulations-especially of precipitation-and develop a better understanding of the managed and unmanaged responses of crops to changes in climate, diseases, pests and atmospheric constituents.
journal_name
Naturejournal_title
Natureauthors
Piao S,Ciais P,Huang Y,Shen Z,Peng S,Li J,Zhou L,Liu H,Ma Y,Ding Y,Friedlingstein P,Liu C,Tan K,Yu Y,Zhang T,Fang Jdoi
10.1038/nature09364subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2010-09-02 00:00:00pages
43-51issue
7311eissn
0028-0836issn
1476-4687pii
nature09364journal_volume
467pub_type
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