Modeling daily flowering probabilities: expected impact of climate change on Japanese cherry phenology.

abstract：:Anthropogenic landscapes are associated with biodiversity loss and large shifts in species composition and traits. These changes predict the identities of winners and losers of future global change, and also reveal which environmental variables drive a taxon's response to land use change. We explored how the biodivers...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Harrison T,Gibbs J,Winfree R

更新日期：2018-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Observed ecological responses to climate change are highly individualistic across species and locations, and understanding the drivers of this variability is essential for management and conservation efforts. While it is clear that differences in exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity all contribute to heterogen...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Kling MM,Auer SL,Comer PJ,Ackerly DD,Hamilton H

更新日期：2020-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The northern boundary of boreal forest and the ranges of tree species are expected to shift northward in response to climate warming, which will result in a decrease in the albedo of areas currently covered by tundra vegetation, an increase in terrestrial carbon sequestration, and an alteration of biodiversity in the ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Walker X,Henry GHR,McLeod K,Hofgaard A

更新日期：2012-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Soil carbon transformation and sequestration have received significant interest in recent years due to a growing need for quantitating its role in mitigating climate change. Even though our understanding of the nature of soil organic matter has recently been substantially revised, fundamental uncertainty remains about...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Liang C,Amelung W,Lehmann J,Kästner M

更新日期：2019-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Pollinators provide crucial ecosystem services that underpin to wild plant reproduction and yields of insect-pollinated crops. Understanding the relative impacts of anthropogenic pressures and climate on the structure of plant-pollinator interaction networks is vital considering ongoing global change and pollinator de...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Doré M,Fontaine C,Thébault E

更新日期：2020-12-03 00:00:00

abstract：:Tidal marshes have a large capacity for producing and storing organic matter, making their role in the global carbon budget disproportionate to land area. Most of the organic matter stored in these systems is in soils where it contributes 2-5 times more to surface accretion than an equal mass of minerals. Soil organic...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mueller P,Jensen K,Megonigal JP

更新日期：2016-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Although only representing 0.05% of global freshwater, or 0.001% of all global water, soil water supports all terrestrial biological life. Soil moisture behaviour in most models is constrained by hydraulic parameters that do not change. Here we argue that biological feedbacks from plants, macro-fauna and the microbiom...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Robinson DA,Hopmans JW,Filipovic V,van der Ploeg M,Lebron I,Jones SB,Reinsch S,Jarvis N,Tuller M

更新日期：2019-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Maps of continental-scale land cover are utilized by a range of diverse users but whilst a range of products exist that describe present and recent land cover in Europe, there are currently no datasets that describe past variations over long time-scales. User groups with an interest in past land cover include the clim...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Fyfe RM,Woodbridge J,Roberts N

更新日期：2015-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In recent decades, the final frost dates of winter have advanced throughout North America, and many angiosperm taxa have simultaneously advanced their flowering times as the climate has warmed. Phenological advancement may reduce plant fitness, as flowering prior to the final frost date of the winter/spring transition...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Park IW,Ramirez-Parada T,Mazer SJ

更新日期：2021-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The snow-masking effect of vegetation exerts strong control on albedo in northern high latitude ecosystems. Large-scale changes in the distribution and stature of vegetation in this region will thus have important feedbacks to climate. The snow-albedo feedback is controlled largely by the contrast between snow-covered...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Loranty MM,Berner LT,Goetz SJ,Jin Y,Randerson JT

更新日期：2014-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:To avoid submergence during sea-level rise, coastal wetlands build soil surfaces vertically through accumulation of inorganic sediment and organic matter. At climatic boundaries where mangroves are expanding and replacing salt marsh, wetland capacity to respond to sea-level rise may change. To compare how well mangrov...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： McKee KL,Vervaeke WC

更新日期：2018-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Lakes at high altitude and latitude are typically unproductive ecosystems where external factors outweigh the relative importance of in-lake processes, making them ideal sentinels of climate change. Climate change is inducing upward vegetation shifts at high altitude and latitude regions that translate into changes in...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Rofner C,Peter H,Catalán N,Drewes F,Sommaruga R,Pérez MT

更新日期：2017-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The global soil carbon pool is approximately three times larger than the contemporary atmospheric pool, therefore even minor changes to its integrity may have major implications for atmospheric CO2 concentrations. While theory predicts that the chemical composition of organic matter should constitute a master control ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Erhagen B,Öquist M,Sparrman T,Haei M,Ilstedt U,Hedenström M,Schleucher J,Nilsson MB

更新日期：2013-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Comparisons among ecosystem models or ecosystem dynamics along environmental gradients commonly rely on metrics that integrate different processes into a useful diagnostic. Terms such as age, turnover, residence, and transit times are often used for this purpose; however, these terms are variably defined in the litera...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Sierra CA,Müller M,Metzler H,Manzoni S,Trumbore SE

更新日期：2017-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Under climate change, the reduction of frost risk, onset of warm temperatures and depletion of soil moisture are all likely to occur earlier in the year in many temperate regions. The resilience of tree species will depend on their ability to track these changes in climate with shifts in phenology that lead to earlier...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ford KR,Harrington CA,Bansal S,Gould PJ,St Clair JB

更新日期：2016-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change is projected to push the limits of cropping systems and has the potential to disrupt the agricultural sector from local to global scales. This article introduces the Coordinated Climate-Crop Modeling Project (C3MP), an initiative of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ruane AC,McDermid S,Rosenzweig C,Baigorria GA,Jones JW,Romero CC,Dewayne Cecil L

更新日期：2014-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Autumn phenology plays a critical role in regulating climate-biosphere interactions. However, the climatic drivers of autumn phenology remain unclear. In this study, we applied four methods to estimate the date of the end of the growing season (EOS) across China's temperate biomes based on a 30-year normalized differe...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Liu Q,Fu YH,Zeng Z,Huang M,Li X,Piao S

更新日期：2016-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Asseng S,Martre P,Maiorano A,Rötter RP,O'Leary GJ,Fitzgerald GJ,Girousse C,Motzo R,Giunta F,Babar MA,Reynolds MP,Kheir AMS,Thorburn PJ,Waha K,Ruane AC,Aggarwal PK,Ahmed M,Balkovič J,Basso B,Biernath C,Bindi M,Ca

更新日期：2019-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Recently, there have been several studies using open top chambers (OTCs) or cloches to examine the response of Arctic plant communities to artificially elevated temperatures. Few, however, have investigated multitrophic systems, or the effects of both temperature and vertebrate grazing treatments on invertebrates. Thi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Gillespie MA,Jónsdóttir IS,Hodkinson ID,Cooper EJ

更新日期：2013-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition has frequently been observed to increase soil carbon (C) storage in forests, but the underlying mechanisms still remain unclear. Changes in microbial community composition and substrate use are hypothesized to be one of the key mechanisms affected by N inputs. Here, we investigated ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Griepentrog M,Bodé S,Boeckx P,Hagedorn F,Heim A,Schmidt MW

更新日期：2014-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The role of tree mortality in the global carbon balance is complicated by strong spatial and temporal heterogeneity that arises from the stochastic nature of carbon loss through disturbance. Characterizing spatio-temporal variation in mortality (including disturbance) and its effects on forest and carbon dynamics is t...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Vanderwel MC,Coomes DA,Purves DW

更新日期：2013-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change threatens the provisioning of forest ecosystem services and biodiversity (ESB). The climate sensitivity of ESB may vary with forest development from young to old-growth conditions as structure and composition shift over time and space. This study addresses knowledge gaps hindering implementation of adap...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Thom D,Golivets M,Edling L,Meigs GW,Gourevitch JD,Sonter LJ,Galford GL,Keeton WS

更新日期：2019-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Global climate change is affecting carbon cycling by driving changes in primary productivity and rates of carbon fixation, release and storage within Earth's vegetated systems. There is, however, limited understanding of how carbon flow between donor and recipient habitats will respond to climatic changes. Macroalgal-...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Pessarrodona A,Moore PJ,Sayer MDJ,Smale DA

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The terrestrial forest ecosystems in the northern high latitude region have been experiencing significant warming rates over several decades. These forests are considered crucial to the climate system and global carbon cycle and are particularly vulnerable to climate change. To obtain an improved estimate of the respo...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Tei S,Sugimoto A

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Recent decades have seen profound changes in species abundance and community composition. In the marine environment, the major anthropogenic drivers of change comprise exploitation, invasion by nonindigenous species, and climate change. However, the magnitude of these stressors has been widely debated and we lack empi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Givan O,Edelist D,Sonin O,Belmaker J

更新日期：2018-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Cities are natural laboratories for studying vegetation responses to global environmental changes because of their climate, atmospheric, and biogeochemical conditions. However, few holistic studies have been conducted on the impact of urbanization on vegetation growth. We decomposed the overall impacts of urbanization...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jia W,Zhao S,Liu S

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The impact of climate change and of other anthropogenic pressures on the structure and composition of phytoplankton communities of large European rivers remains poorly documented. Here we report the findings of a study of the changes in the phytoplankton community of the middle segment of the river Loire over the past...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Larroudé S,Massei N,Reyes-Marchant P,Delattre C,Humbert JF

更新日期：2013-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Many migrant bird species that breed in the Northern Hemisphere show advancement in spring arrival dates. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index is one of the climatic variables that have been most often investigated and shown to be correlated with these changes in spring arrival. Although the NAO is often claimed...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Haest B,Hüppop O,Bairlein F

更新日期：2018-04-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Changing climates are altering wildlife habitats and wildlife behavior in complex ways. Here, we examine how changing spring snow cover dynamics and early season forage availability are altering grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) behavior postden emergence. Telemetry data were used to identify spring activity dates for 48 in...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Rickbeil GJM,Coops NC,Berman EE,McClelland CJR,Bolton DK,Stenhouse GB

更新日期：2020-07-28 00:00:00

abstract：:Sea-level rise (SLR) due to global warming will result in the loss of many coastal areas. The direct or primary effects due to inundation and erosion from SLR are currently being assessed; however, the indirect or secondary ecological effects, such as changes caused by the displacement of human populations, have not b...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wetzel FT,Kissling WD,Beissmann H,Penn DJ

更新日期：2012-09-01 00:00:00