Possible demographic consequences of AIDS in developing countries.

Abstract:

:Simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of HIV that incorporate demographic and epidemiological processes to assess the potential impact of AIDS on human population growth and structure in developing countries suggest that AIDS is capable of changing population growth rates from positive to negative values over timescales of a few decades. The disease is predicted to have little if any impact on the dependency ratio of a population, defined as the number of children below age 15 years and elderly people over 64 years, divided by the number of adults between 15 to 64 years.

journal_name

Nature

journal_title

Nature

authors

Anderson RM,May RM,McLean AR

doi

10.1038/332228a0

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1988-03-17 00:00:00

pages

228-34

issue

6161

eissn

0028-0836

issn

1476-4687

journal_volume

332

pub_type

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