Abstract：
:Tipping point dynamics are fundamental drivers for sustainable transition pathways of social-ecological systems (SES). Current research predominantly analyzes how crossing tipping points causes regime shifts, however, the analysis of potential transition pathways from these social and ecological tipping points is often overlooked. In this paper, we analyze transition pathways and the potential outcomes that these may lead to via a stylized model of a system composed of interacting agents exploiting resources and, by extension, the overall ecosystem. Interactions between the social and the ecological system are based on a perception-exploitation framework. We show that the presence of tipping points in SES may yield counter-intuitive social-ecological transition pathways. For example, the high perception of an alarming ecological state among agents can provide short-term ecological benefits, but can be less effective in the long term, compared to a low-perception condition. This work also highlights how understanding non-linear interactions is critical for defining suitable transition pathways of any SES.
journal_name
Sci Repjournal_title
Scientific reportsauthors
Mathias JD,Anderies JM,Baggio J,Hodbod J,Huet S,Janssen MA,Milkoreit M,Schoon Mdoi
10.1038/s41598-020-59713-wsubject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-03-05 00:00:00pages
4136issue
1issn
2045-2322pii
10.1038/s41598-020-59713-wjournal_volume
10pub_type
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