Probabilistic Prognostic Estimates of Survival in Metastatic Cancer Patients (PPES-Met) Utilizing Free-Text Clinical Narratives.

Abstract:

:We propose a deep learning model - Probabilistic Prognostic Estimates of Survival in Metastatic Cancer Patients (PPES-Met) for estimating short-term life expectancy (>3 months) of the patients by analyzing free-text clinical notes in the electronic medical record, while maintaining the temporal visit sequence. In a single framework, we integrated semantic data mapping and neural embedding technique to produce a text processing method that extracts relevant information from heterogeneous types of clinical notes in an unsupervised manner, and we designed a recurrent neural network to model the temporal dependency of the patient visits. The model was trained on a large dataset (10,293 patients) and validated on a separated dataset (1818 patients). Our method achieved an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.89. To provide explain-ability, we developed an interactive graphical tool that may improve physician understanding of the basis for the model's predictions. The high accuracy and explain-ability of the PPES-Met model may enable our model to be used as a decision support tool to personalize metastatic cancer treatment and provide valuable assistance to the physicians.

journal_name

Sci Rep

journal_title

Scientific reports

authors

Banerjee I,Gensheimer MF,Wood DJ,Henry S,Aggarwal S,Chang DT,Rubin DL

doi

10.1038/s41598-018-27946-5

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-07-03 00:00:00

pages

10037

issue

1

issn

2045-2322

pii

10.1038/s41598-018-27946-5

journal_volume

8

pub_type

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