Holocene shifts in the assembly of plant and animal communities implicate human impacts.

Abstract:

:Understanding how ecological communities are organized and how they change through time is critical to predicting the effects of climate change. Recent work documenting the co-occurrence structure of modern communities found that most significant species pairs co-occur less frequently than would be expected by chance. However, little is known about how co-occurrence structure changes through time. Here we evaluate changes in plant and animal community organization over geological time by quantifying the co-occurrence structure of 359,896 unique taxon pairs in 80 assemblages spanning the past 300 million years. Co-occurrences of most taxon pairs were statistically random, but a significant fraction were spatially aggregated or segregated. Aggregated pairs dominated from the Carboniferous period (307 million years ago) to the early Holocene epoch (11,700 years before present), when there was a pronounced shift to more segregated pairs, a trend that continues in modern assemblages. The shift began during the Holocene and coincided with increasing human population size and the spread of agriculture in North America. Before the shift, an average of 64% of significant pairs were aggregated; after the shift, the average dropped to 37%. The organization of modern and late Holocene plant and animal assemblages differs fundamentally from that of assemblages over the past 300 million years that predate the large-scale impacts of humans. Our results suggest that the rules governing the assembly of communities have recently been changed by human activity.

journal_name

Nature

journal_title

Nature

authors

Lyons SK,Amatangelo KL,Behrensmeyer AK,Bercovici A,Blois JL,Davis M,DiMichele WA,Du A,Eronen JT,Faith JT,Graves GR,Jud N,Labandeira C,Looy CV,McGill B,Miller JH,Patterson D,Pineda-Munoz S,Potts R,Riddle B,Terry R

doi

10.1038/nature16447

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2016-01-07 00:00:00

pages

80-3

issue

7584

eissn

0028-0836

issn

1476-4687

pii

nature16447

journal_volume

529

pub_type

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