Abstract:
:Periodical cicadas are well known for their prime-numbered life cycles (17 and 13 years) and their mass periodical emergences. The origination and persistence of prime-numbered cycles are explained by the hybridization hypothesis on the basis of their lower likelihood of hybridization with other cycles. Recently, we showed by using an integer-based numerical model that prime-numbered cycles are indeed selected for among 10- to 20-year cycles. Here, we develop a real-number-based model to investigate the factors affecting the selection of prime-numbered cycles. We include an Allee effect in our model, such that a critical population size is set as an extinction threshold. We compare the real-number models with and without the Allee effect. The results show that in the presence of an Allee effect, prime-numbered life cycles are most likely to persist and to be selected under a wide range of extinction thresholds.
journal_name
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S Aauthors
Tanaka Y,Yoshimura J,Simon C,Cooley JR,Tainaka Kdoi
10.1073/pnas.0900215106subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2009-06-02 00:00:00pages
8975-9issue
22eissn
0027-8424issn
1091-6490pii
0900215106journal_volume
106pub_type
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