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Axial growth and refractive change in white European children and young adults: predictive factors for myopia.

Abstract：

:This report describes development of spherical equivalent refraction (SER) and axial length (AL) in two population-based cohorts of white, European children. Predictive factors for myopic growth were explored. Participants were aged 6-7- (n = 390) and 12-13-years (n = 657) at baseline. SER and AL were assessed at baseline and 3, 6 and 9 years prospectively. Between 6 and 16 years: latent growth mixture modelling identified four SER classes (Persistent Emmetropes-PEMM, Persistent Moderate Hyperopes-PMHYP, Persistent High Hyperopes-PHHYP and Emerging Myopes-EMYO) as optimal to characterise refractive progression and two classes to characterise AL. Between 12 and 22-years: five SER classes (PHHYP, PMHYP, PEMM, Low Progressing Myopes-LPMYO and High Progressing Myopes-HPMYO) and four AL classes were identified. EMYO had significantly longer baseline AL (≥ 23.19 mm) (OR 2.5, CI 1.05-5.97) and at least one myopic parent (OR 6.28, CI 1.01-38.93). More myopic SER at 6-7 years (≤ + 0.19D) signalled risk for earlier myopia onset by 10-years in comparison to baseline SER of those who became myopic by 13 or 16 years (p ≤ 0.02). SER and AL progressed more slowly in myopes aged 12-22-years (- 0.16D, 0.15 mm) compared to 6-16-years (- 0.41D, 0.30 mm). These growth trajectories and risk criteria allow prediction of abnormal myopigenic growth and constitute an important resource for developing and testing anti-myopia interventions.

journal_name

Sci Rep

journal_title

Scientific reports

authors

McCullough S,Adamson G,Breslin KMM,McClelland JF,Doyle L,Saunders KJ

doi

10.1038/s41598-020-72240-y

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-09-16 00:00:00

pages

15189

issue

1

issn

2045-2322

pii

10.1038/s41598-020-72240-y

journal_volume

10

pub_type

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