Abstract:
:Thermoelectric power production in the United States primarily relies on wet-cooled plants, which in turn require water below prescribed design temperatures, both for cooling and operational efficiency. Thus, power production in US remains particularly vulnerable to water scarcity and rising stream temperatures under climate change and variability. Previous studies on the climate-water-energy nexus have primarily focused on mid- to end-century horizons and have not considered the full range of uncertainty in climate projections. Technology managers and energy policy makers are increasingly interested in the decadal time scales to understand adaptation challenges and investment strategies. Here we develop a new approach that relies on a novel multivariate water stress index, which considers the joint probability of warmer and scarcer water, and computes uncertainties arising from climate model imperfections and intrinsic variability. Our assessments over contiguous US suggest consistent increase in water stress for power production with about 27% of the production severely impacted by 2030s.
journal_name
Sci Repjournal_title
Scientific reportsauthors
Ganguli P,Kumar D,Ganguly ARdoi
10.1038/s41598-017-12133-9subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2017-09-20 00:00:00pages
11983issue
1issn
2045-2322pii
10.1038/s41598-017-12133-9journal_volume
7pub_type
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