Potential increase in coastal wetland vulnerability to sea-level rise suggested by considering hydrodynamic attenuation effects.

Abstract:

:The future of coastal wetlands and their ecological value depend on their capacity to adapt to the interacting effects of human impacts and sea-level rise. Even though extensive wetland loss due to submergence is a possible scenario, its magnitude is highly uncertain due to limited understanding of hydrodynamic and bio-geomorphic interactions over time. In particular, the effect of man-made drainage modifications on hydrodynamic attenuation and consequent wetland evolution is poorly understood. Predictions are further complicated by the presence of a number of vegetation types that change over time and also contribute to flow attenuation. Here, we show that flow attenuation affects wetland vegetation by modifying its wetting-drying regime and inundation depth, increasing its vulnerability to sea-level rise. Our simulations for an Australian subtropical wetland predict much faster wetland loss than commonly used models that do not consider flow attenuation.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Rodríguez JF,Saco PM,Sandi S,Saintilan N,Riccardi G

doi

10.1038/ncomms16094

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-07-13 00:00:00

pages

16094

issn

2041-1723

pii

ncomms16094

journal_volume

8

pub_type

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