Asthma prediction in school children; the value of combined IgE-antibodies and obstructive airways disease severity score.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:Allergic sensitisation increases the risk for asthma development. In this prospective birth cohort (Environment and Childhood Asthma) study, we hypothesized that combining quantitative measures of IgE antibodies (Sigma-IgE) and Severity score of obstructive airways disease (OAD) at 2 years of age (Severity score) is superior to predict current asthma (CA) at 10 years than either measure alone. Secondarily, we assessed if gender modified the prediction of CA. METHODS:A follow-up study at 10 years of age was performed in 371 2-year-old children with recurrent (n = 219) or no (n = 152) bronchial obstruction with available serum analysed for Sigma-IgE to common food and inhalant allergens through a panel test, Phadiatop Infant) (Phadia, Uppsala, Sweden). Clinical variables included allergic sensitisation and exercise testing to characterise children with CA vs not CA at 10 years and the Severity score (0-12, 0 indicating no OAD) was used to assess risk modification. RESULTS:Severity score alone explained 24% (Nagelkerke R(2) = 0.24) of the variation in CA, whereas Sigma-IgE explained only 6% (R(2) = 0.06). Combining the two increased the explanatory capacity to R(2) = 0.30. Gender interacted significantly with Sigma-IgE; whereas Severity score predicted CA in both genders, the predictive capacity of Sigma-IgE for CA at 10 years was significant in boys only. CONCLUSION:Combining Sigma-IgE to inhalant allergens and Severity score at 2 years was superior to predict asthma at 10 years than either alone. Severity score predicted CA in both genders, whereas Sigma-IgE significantly predicted CA in boys only.

journal_name

Allergy

journal_title

Allergy

authors

Lødrup Carlsen KC,Söderström L,Mowinckel P,Håland G,Pettersen M,Munthe Kaas MC,Devulapalli CS,Buchmann M,Ahlstedt S,Carlsen KH

doi

10.1111/j.1398-9995.2010.02344.x

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2010-09-01 00:00:00

pages

1134-40

issue

9

eissn

0105-4538

issn

1398-9995

pii

ALL2344

journal_volume

65

pub_type

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