Warming temperatures could expose more than 1.3 billion new people to Zika virus risk by 2050.

abstract：:Summer temperature on the Cape Churchill Peninsula (Manitoba, Canada) has increased rapidly over the past 75 years, and flowering phenology of the plant community is advanced in years with warmer temperatures (higher cumulative growing degree days). Despite this, there has been no overall shift in flowering phenology ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mulder CP,Iles DT,Rockwell RF

更新日期：2017-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Light in the marine environment is a key environmental variable coupling physics to marine biogeochemistry and ecology. Weak light penetration reduces light available for photosynthesis, changing energy fluxes through the marine food web. Based on published and unpublished data, this study shows that the central and s...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Capuzzo E,Stephens D,Silva T,Barry J,Forster RM

更新日期：2015-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Changes in evapotranspiration (ET) from terrestrial ecosystems affect their water yield (WY), with considerable ecological and economic consequences. Increases in surface runoff observed over the past century have been attributed to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations resulting in reduced ET by terrestrial ecosy...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ward EJ,Oren R,Seok Kim H,Kim D,Tor-Ngern P,Ewers BE,McCarthy HR,Oishi AC,Pataki DE,Palmroth S,Phillips NG,Schäfer KVR

更新日期：2018-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Global climate change is affecting carbon cycling by driving changes in primary productivity and rates of carbon fixation, release and storage within Earth's vegetated systems. There is, however, limited understanding of how carbon flow between donor and recipient habitats will respond to climatic changes. Macroalgal-...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Pessarrodona A,Moore PJ,Sayer MDJ,Smale DA

更新日期：2018-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Carbon emissions from drained peatlands converted to agriculture in South-East Asia (i.e., Peninsular Malaysia, Sumatra and Borneo) are globally significant and increasing. Here, we map the growth of South-East Asian peatland agriculture and estimate CO2 emissions due to peat drainage in relation to official land-use ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wijedasa LS,Sloan S,Page SE,Clements GR,Lupascu M,Evans TA

更新日期：2018-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Most tree roots on Earth form a symbiosis with either ecto- or arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. Nitrogen fertilization is hypothesized to favor arbuscular mycorrhizal tree species at the expense of ectomycorrhizal species due to differences in fungal nitrogen acquisition strategies, and this may alter soil carbon balance...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Averill C,Dietze MC,Bhatnagar JM

更新日期：2018-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In the forest-tundra ecotone of the North Fennoscandian inland, summer and winter temperatures have increased by two to three centigrades since 1965, which is expected to result in major vegetation changes. To document the expected expansion of woodlands and scrublands and its impact on the arctic vegetation, we repea...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Vuorinen KEM,Oksanen L,Oksanen T,Pyykönen A,Olofsson J,Virtanen R

更新日期：2017-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Coastal wetlands are among the most productive and carbon-rich ecosystems on Earth. Long-term carbon storage in coastal wetlands occurs primarily belowground as soil organic matter (SOM). In addition to serving as a carbon sink, SOM influences wetland ecosystem structure, function, and stability. To anticipate and mit...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Osland MJ,Gabler CA,Grace JB,Day RH,McCoy ML,McLeod JL,From AS,Enwright NM,Feher LC,Stagg CL,Hartley SB

更新日期：2018-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to forecast changes in the spatial distributions of species and communities in response to climate change. However, spatial autocorrelation (SA) is rarely accounted for in these models, despite its ubiquity in broad-scale ecological data. While spatial autocorrelation...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Crase B,Liedloff A,Vesk PA,Fukuda Y,Wintle BA

更新日期：2014-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Shrub densification has been widely reported across the circumpolar arctic and subarctic biomes in recent years. Long-term analyses based on dendrochronological techniques applied to shrubs have linked this phenomenon to climate change. However, the multi-stemmed structure of shrubs makes them difficult to sample and ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ropars P,Angers-Blondin S,Gagnon M,Myers-Smith IH,Lévesque E,Boudreau S

更新日期：2017-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Broadacre livestock production is a major but highly diverse component of agriculture in Australia that will be significantly exposed to predicted changes in climate over coming decades. We used the GRAZPLAN simulation models to assess the impacts of climate change under the SRES A2 scenario across southern Australia....

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Moore AD,Ghahramani A

更新日期：2013-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change, land-use change and introductions of non-native species are key determinants of biodiversity change worldwide. However, the extent to which anthropogenic drivers of environmental change interact to affect biological communities is largely unknown, especially over longer time periods. Here, we show that...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Auffret AG,Thomas CD

更新日期：2019-12-01 00:00:00

abstract：:China has an ever-increasing thirst for milk, with a predicted 3.2-fold increase in demand by 2050 compared to the production level in 2010. What are the environmental implications of meeting this demand, and what is the preferred pathway? We addressed these questions by using a nexus approach, to examine the interdep...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Bai Z,Lee MRF,Ma L,Ledgard S,Oenema O,Velthof GL,Ma W,Guo M,Zhao Z,Wei S,Li S,Liu X,Havlík P,Luo J,Hu C,Zhang F

更新日期：2018-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Improving nitrogen (N) management for greater agricultural output while minimizing unintended environmental consequences is critical in the endeavor of feeding the growing population sustainably amid climate change. Enhanced-efficiency fertilizers (EEFs) have been developed to better synchronize fertilizer N release w...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Li T,Zhang W,Yin J,Chadwick D,Norse D,Lu Y,Liu X,Chen X,Zhang F,Powlson D,Dou Z

更新日期：2018-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Feeding 9-10 billion people by 2050 and preventing dangerous climate change are two of the greatest challenges facing humanity. Both challenges must be met while reducing the impact of land management on ecosystem services that deliver vital goods and services, and support human health and well-being. Few studies to d...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Smith P,Haberl H,Popp A,Erb KH,Lauk C,Harper R,Tubiello FN,de Siqueira Pinto A,Jafari M,Sohi S,Masera O,Böttcher H,Berndes G,Bustamante M,Ahammad H,Clark H,Dong H,Elsiddig EA,Mbow C,Ravindranath NH,Rice CW,Roble

更新日期：2013-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Sustainable intensification of agriculture is one of the main strategies to provide global food security. However, its implementation raises enormous political, technological, and social challenges. Meeting these challenges will require, among other things, accurate information on the spatial and temporal patterns of ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dias LC,Pimenta FM,Santos AB,Costa MH,Ladle RJ

更新日期：2016-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Recent findings indicate that atmospheric warming increases the persistence of weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, resulting in sequences of longer dry and wet periods compared to historic averages. The alternation of progressively longer dry and wet extremes could increasingly select for species with a broad envir...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Reynaert S,De Boeck HJ,Verbruggen E,Verlinden M,Flowers N,Nijs I

更新日期：2020-12-23 00:00:00

abstract：:Changes in peak photosynthesis timing (PPT) could substantially change the seasonality of the terrestrial carbon cycle. Spring PPT in dry regions has been documented for some individual plant species on a stand scale, but both the spatio-temporal pattern of shifting PPT on a continental scale and its determinants rema...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Xu C,Liu H,Williams AP,Yin Y,Wu X

更新日期：2016-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Shifts in nitrogen (N) mineralization and nitrification rates due to global changes can influence nutrient availability, which can affect terrestrial productivity and climate change feedbacks. While many single-factor studies have examined the effects of environmental changes on N mineralization and nitrification, few...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Novem Auyeung DS,Suseela V,Dukes JS

更新日期：2013-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Comparisons among ecosystem models or ecosystem dynamics along environmental gradients commonly rely on metrics that integrate different processes into a useful diagnostic. Terms such as age, turnover, residence, and transit times are often used for this purpose; however, these terms are variably defined in the litera...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Sierra CA,Müller M,Metzler H,Manzoni S,Trumbore SE

更新日期：2017-05-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Many arctic ecological processes are regulated by soil temperature that is tightly interconnected with snow cover distribution and persistence. Recently, various climate-induced changes have been observed in arctic tundra ecosystems, e.g. shrub expansion, resulting in reduction in albedo and greater C fixation in abov...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Morgado LN,Semenova TA,Welker JM,Walker MD,Smets E,Geml J

更新日期：2016-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The maximum rate of carboxylation (Vcmax ) is an essential leaf trait determining the photosynthetic capacity of plants. Existing approaches for estimating Vcmax at large scale mainly rely on empirical relationships with proxies such as leaf nitrogen/chlorophyll content or hyperspectral reflectance, or on complicated ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jiang C,Ryu Y,Wang H,Keenan TF

更新日期：2020-07-12 00:00:00

abstract：:Plant community composition and functional traits respond to chronic drivers such as climate change and nitrogen (N) deposition. In contrast, pulse disturbances from ecosystem management can additionally change resources and conditions. Community responses to combined environmental changes may further depend on land-u...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Blondeel H,Perring MP,Depauw L,De Lombaerde E,Landuyt D,De Frenne P,Verheyen K

更新日期：2020-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The tropical peat swamp forests of South-East Asia are being rapidly converted to agricultural plantations of oil palm and Acacia creating a significant global "hot-spot" for CO2 emissions. However, the effect of this major perturbation has yet to be quantified in terms of global warming potential (GWP) and the Earth'...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dommain R,Frolking S,Jeltsch-Thömmes A,Joos F,Couwenberg J,Glaser PH

更新日期：2018-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:To thrive in a time of rapid sea-level rise, tidal marshes will need to migrate upslope into adjacent uplands. Yet little is known about the mechanics of this process, especially in urbanized estuaries, where the adjacent upland is likely to be a mowed lawn rather than a wooded natural area. We studied marsh migration...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Anisfeld SC,Cooper KR,Kemp AC

更新日期：2017-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Migration of plant populations is a potential survival response to climate change that depends critically on seed dispersal. Biological and physical factors determine dispersal and migration of wind-dispersed species. Recent field and wind tunnel studies demonstrate biological adaptations that bias seed release toward...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Thompson SE,Katul GG

更新日期：2013-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Agricultural drainage of organic soils has resulted in vast soil subsidence and contributed to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta in California was drained over a century ago for agriculture and human settlement and has since experienced subsidence rates that ar...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Knox SH,Sturtevant C,Matthes JH,Koteen L,Verfaillie J,Baldocchi D

更新日期：2015-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In recent decades, the final frost dates of winter have advanced throughout North America, and many angiosperm taxa have simultaneously advanced their flowering times as the climate has warmed. Phenological advancement may reduce plant fitness, as flowering prior to the final frost date of the winter/spring transition...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Park IW,Ramirez-Parada T,Mazer SJ

更新日期：2021-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Biological soil crusts across the desert regions play a key role in regional ecological security and ecological health. They are vital biotic components of desert ecosystems that maintain soil stability, fix carbon and nitrogen, influence the establishment of vascular plants, and serve as habitats for a large number o...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Li XR,Jia RL,Zhang ZS,Zhang P,Hui R

更新日期：2018-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Terrestrial ecosystems contribute most of the interannual variability (IAV) in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2 ) concentrations, but processes driving the IAV of net ecosystem CO2 exchange (NEE) remain elusive. For a predictive understanding of the global C cycle, it is imperative to identify indicators associated wit...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Fu Z,Stoy PC,Poulter B,Gerken T,Zhang Z,Wakbulcho G,Niu S

更新日期：2019-10-01 00:00:00