Abstract:
BACKGROUND:There are currently two million cancer survivors in the United Kingdom, and in recent years this number has grown by 3% per annum. The aim of this paper is to provide long-term projections of cancer prevalence in the United Kingdom. METHODS:National cancer registry data for England were used to estimate cancer prevalence in the United Kingdom in 2009. Using a model of prevalence as a function of incidence, survival and population demographics, projections were made to 2040. Different scenarios of future incidence and survival, and their effects on cancer prevalence, were also considered. Colorectal, lung, prostate, female breast and all cancers combined (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer) were analysed separately. RESULTS:Assuming that existing trends in incidence and survival continue, the number of cancer survivors in the United Kingdom is projected to increase by approximately one million per decade from 2010 to 2040. Particularly large increases are anticipated in the oldest age groups, and in the number of long-term survivors. By 2040, almost a quarter of people aged at least 65 will be cancer survivors. CONCLUSION:Increasing cancer survival and the growing/ageing population of the United Kingdom mean that the population of survivors is likely to grow substantially in the coming decades, as are the related demands upon the health service. Plans must, therefore, be laid to ensure that the varied needs of cancer survivors can be met in the future.
journal_name
Br J Cancerjournal_title
British journal of cancerauthors
Maddams J,Utley M,Møller Hdoi
10.1038/bjc.2012.366subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2012-09-25 00:00:00pages
1195-202issue
7eissn
0007-0920issn
1532-1827pii
bjc2012366journal_volume
107pub_type
杂志文章abstract::There is a need to evaluate cancer services and provide a baseline on current treatment success and organization. This study shows that this process may be severely hindered by case note destruction or inaccessibility and incomplete information. This is an ongoing problem that needs to be addressed now. ...
journal_title:British journal of cancer
pub_type: 杂志文章
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pub_type: 已发布勘误
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pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,多中心研究
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abstract:BACKGROUND:It has been a challenge to determine breast cancer clonality accurately. The aim of the present study was to assess methods using formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue to differentiate new primary tumours from true recurrences that are associated with poorer prognoses and often require more aggressi...
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journal_title:British journal of cancer
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
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journal_title:British journal of cancer
pub_type: 杂志文章
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pub_type: 杂志文章
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journal_title:British journal of cancer
pub_type: 杂志文章
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pub_type: 杂志文章
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pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
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journal_title:British journal of cancer
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章
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