Vaginal birth after cesarean delivery: are there useful and valid predictors of success or failure?

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE:Before parturition are there useful and valid predictors of successful or unsuccessful vaginal birth after previous cesarean birth that could be used to enhance the obstetric care of a patient and her pregnancy? STUDY DESIGN:The clinical course and outcome of all patients who attempted vaginal birth after cesarean delivery at one level III center during 1989 were evaluated to identify factors prognostic of a successful or unsuccessful patient group; use of this information in stepwise logistic regression and cluster analysis was disappointing. RESULTS:No single criterion or optimal clusters of factors were found and no equation achieved greater than 75% predictability of outcome with acceptable sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSIONS:Before parturition prediction of outcome of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery is tenuous regardless of past obstetric history or recent clinical parameters. Thus it seems appropriate to encourage a trial of labor in almost all patients with a prior low-segment uterine incision (transverse or vertical) unless there is a strong physician or patient-derived contraindication to such an undertaking.

journal_name

Am J Obstet Gynecol

authors

Pickhardt MG,Martin JN Jr,Meydrech EF,Blake PG,Martin RW,Perry KG Jr,Morrison JC

doi

10.1016/0002-9378(92)91572-r

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1992-06-01 00:00:00

pages

1811-5; discussion 1815-9

issue

6 Pt 1

eissn

0002-9378

issn

1097-6868

pii

0002-9378(92)91572-R

journal_volume

166

pub_type

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