Abstract:
:The rapidly expanding network of roads into the Amazon is permanently altering the world's largest tropical forest. Most proposed road projects lack rigorous impact assessments or even basic economic justification. This study analyzes the expected environmental, social and economic impacts of 75 road projects, totaling 12 thousand kilometers of planned roads, in the region. We find that all projects, although in different magnitudes, will negatively impact the environment. Forty-five percent will also generate economic losses, even without accounting for social and environmental externalities. Canceling economically unjustified projects would avoid 1.1 million hectares of deforestation and US$ 7.6 billion in wasted funding for development projects. For projects that exceed a basic economic viability threshold, we identify the ones that are comparatively better not only in terms of economic return but also have lower social and environmental impacts. We find that a smaller set of carefully chosen projects could deliver 77% of the economic benefit at 10% of the environmental and social damage, showing that it is possible to have efficient tradeoff decisions informed by legitimately determined national priorities.
journal_name
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S Aauthors
Vilela T,Malky Harb A,Bruner A,Laísa da Silva Arruda V,Ribeiro V,Auxiliadora Costa Alencar A,Julissa Escobedo Grandez A,Rojas A,Laina A,Botero Rdoi
10.1073/pnas.1910853117subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-03-31 00:00:00pages
7095-7102issue
13eissn
0027-8424issn
1091-6490pii
1910853117journal_volume
117pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Resting- or baseline-state low-frequency (0.01-0.2 Hz) brain activity is observed in fMRI, EEG, and local field potential recordings. These fluctuations were found to be correlated across brain regions and are thought to reflect neuronal activity fluctuations between functionally connected areas of the brain. However,...
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journal_title:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
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