The influence of prevalent cohort bias in the association between periodontal disease progression and incident coronary heart disease.

Abstract:

PURPOSE:In longitudinal studies, the onset of the index condition (e.g. exposure) does not always coincide with the start of a study's observation period, leading to the possibility of bias in estimation that derives from studying prevalent exposure rather than new exposure. We investigate the possible role of this bias in the relationship between periodontitis progression and coronary heart disease (CHD) among a cohort of men participating in the Veterans Administration Dental Longitudinal Study. METHODS:At baseline, there were 298 men with existing (i.e., prevalent) periodontitis. During follow-up, routine dental inspection identified 163 new (i.e., incident) cases of periodontitis. Change in mean alveolar bone loss score (MBLS) served as the measure of disease progression. Tabular analyses were performed to obtain crude, stratified, and adjusted measures of the association for periodontitis cases overall and separately for prevalent and incident cases. Potential bias was evaluated by comparing estimates across these subcohorts. RESULTS:Among all periodontitis cases, increasing MBLS was associated with increasing risk of CHD event. Subdividing periodontal cases into new and prevalent cases revealed that the relationship was most pronounced among incident periodontitis cases (incident rate ratio for MBLS change >0.5 = 5.4), compared with prevalent cases (incident rate ratio for MBLS change >0.5 = 2.5). CONCLUSIONS:Studying prevalent cases of periodontitis underestimates the association between incidence periodontitis and CHD.

journal_name

Ann Epidemiol

journal_title

Annals of epidemiology

authors

Heaton B,Applebaum KM,Rothman KJ,Brooks DR,Heeren T,Dietrich T,Garcia RI

doi

10.1016/j.annepidem.2014.07.006

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2014-10-01 00:00:00

pages

741-6

issue

10

eissn

1047-2797

issn

1873-2585

pii

S1047-2797(14)00351-2

journal_volume

24

pub_type

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