Abstract:
BACKGROUND:Identification of individuals at risk for developing atrial fibrillation (AF) will help to target screening and preventive interventions. We aimed to validate the CHARGE-AF model (including variables age, race, height, weight, blood pressure, smoking, antihypertensive medication, diabetes, myocardial infarction and heart failure) for prediction of five-year incident AF in a representative European population with a wide age range. METHODS AND RESULTS:The CHARGE-AF model was calculated in 24,020 participants of the population-based EPIC Norfolk study with 236 cases of hospitalization with diagnosis of AF within five years. The model showed good discrimination (c-statistic 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.75-0.85), but weak calibration (Chi(2)-statistic 142) with an almost two-fold overestimation of AF incidence. A recalibration to characteristics of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) Norfolk cohort improved calibration considerably (Chi(2)-statistic 13.3), with acceptable discrimination in participants both >65 and ≤65 years of age (c-statistics 0.70, 95% CI 0.61-0.77 and 0.83, 95% CI 0.74-0.88). The recalibrated model also showed good discrimination in participants free of cardiovascular disease (c-statistics 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.84). Categories of predicted risk (<2.5%, 2.5-5% or >5%) showed good concordance with observed five-year AF incidence of 0.62%, 3.49% and 8.74% (log rank test p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION:A recalibration of the CHARGE-AF model is necessary for accurate predictions of five-year risk of AF in the EPIC Norfolk population. The recalibrated model showed good discrimination across a wide age range and in individuals free of cardiovascular disease, and hence is broadly applicable in primary care to identify people at risk for development of AF.
journal_name
Eur J Prev Cardioljournal_title
European journal of preventive cardiologyauthors
Pfister R,Brägelmann J,Michels G,Wareham NJ,Luben R,Khaw KTdoi
10.1177/2047487314544045subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2015-07-01 00:00:00pages
932-9issue
7eissn
2047-4873issn
2047-4881pii
2047487314544045journal_volume
22pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Background In view of the increasing heart failure epidemic and awareness of the adverse impact of environmental pollution on human health, we investigated the association of left ventricular structure and function with air pollutants in a general population. Methods In 671 randomly recruited Flemish (51.7% women; mea...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487317715109
更新日期:2017-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Exercise-induced ischemic preconditioning (IPC) can be assessed with the second exercise stress test during sequential testing. Exercise-induced IPC is defined as the time to 1 mm ST segment depression (STD), the rate-pressure product (RPP) at 1 mm STD, the maximal ST depression and the rate-pressure product at peak e...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487313502447
更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:While associations of smoking and preterm birth (PTB) with maternal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks have been established, it is unknown whether the coexistence of these two conditions could synergistically increase the risks. METHODS:We linked birth records of 902,008 mothers with singleton infants duri...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487315593836
更新日期:2016-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The Traveller community are an indigenous minority group in Great Britain and Ireland who experience premature mortality. While minority populations worldwide are known to have high rates of risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD), Traveller CVD risk has not previously been defined. DESIGN:All-Ireland...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826711428059
更新日期:2012-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Intermittent claudication, defined as fatigue or pain in the legs while walking, is a common symptom in peripheral arterial disease. Although exercise effectively improves function and manages symptoms, adherence rates are not ideal. The high levels of pain experienced in traditional exercise programmes may ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487319846997
更新日期:2019-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The multiple connections that exist between the cardiovascular system and the kidney lead to a complex cardiovascular and renal medicine relationship. It is well established in the literature that chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an important and independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). The prevalence ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487312462826
更新日期:2014-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Aims Extracellular matrix remodelling may influence atherosclerotic progression and plaque stability. We hypothesized that evaluation of extracellular matrix markers, with potentially different roles during atherogenesis, could provide information on underlying mechanisms and risk of myocardial infarction (MI) in appa...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi:10.1177/2047487317703826
更新日期:2017-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Background This study examined the association between cardiac structure and function and the deterioration in activities of daily living (ADLs) in an age-homogenous, community-dwelling population of patients born in 1920-1921 over a five-year follow-up period. Design Longitudinal cohort study. Methods Patients were r...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487317744365
更新日期:2018-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Background Exercise rehabilitation is highly recommended by current guidelines on prevention of cardiovascular disease, but its implementation is still poor. Many clinicians experience difficulties in prescribing exercise in the presence of different concomitant cardiovascular diseases and risk factors within the same...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,实务指引,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487317702042
更新日期:2017-07-01 00:00:00
abstract:AIMS:Due to improving cancer treatment results, non-cancer mortality is an important issue for cancer survivors. Cardiovascular diseases are the leading causes of death in Korea and globally. In addition to lowering the risk of cardiovascular disease, the use of statins has led to an overall reduction in cancer mortali...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487320905722
更新日期:2020-02-23 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:This study investigates secular trends in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke mortality by socioeconomic status (SES) in Australia to determine if absolute and relative differences between low and high SES areas have changed over time. METHODS:IHD and stroke mortality data for adults aged 35-74 years a...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826711427505
更新日期:2012-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Cancer and cardiovascular diseases are the leading causes of death in high-income countries. Cardiovascular complications can be found in cancer patients, being the result of so-called 'cardio-toxicity'. Therefore, it becomes essential to thoroughly investigate the origin of cardiac damage and the strategy to prevent ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487319874900
更新日期:2019-10-06 00:00:00
abstract::Background Statin treatment in association with physical exercise can substantially reduce mortality in dyslipidaemic individuals. However, the available data to compare the efficacy and safety of statins and exercise combination therapy with statin monotherapy are limited. Design Systematic review and meta-analysis. ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487317691874
更新日期:2017-06-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:We are unaware of any previous investigation that has compared the relationship of key cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) variables to various measures of pathophysiology between heart failure-reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and HF-preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) cohorts that are well matched with ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487313476962
更新日期:2014-07-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Extracellular vesicles are released upon cellular activation and mediate inter-cellular communication. Individual species of extracellular vesicles might have divergent roles in vascular homeostasis and may show different responses to therapies such as exercise training. AIMS:We examine endothelial effects ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487320919894
更新日期:2020-05-07 00:00:00
abstract:AIMS:Exercise is recommended as prevention, management, and control of all stages of hypertension. There are still controversies about the optimal training dose, frequency, and intensity. We aimed to study the effect of aerobic interval training on blood pressure and myocardial function in hypertensive patients. METHO...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi:10.1177/1741826711400512
更新日期:2012-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:To assess the practices of physicians in 12 European countries in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS:In 2009, 806 physicians from 12 European countries answered a questionnaire, delivered electronically or by post, regarding their assessment of patients with cardiovascular risk ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi:10.1177/1741826711407705
更新日期:2012-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Background Few data are available on risk factors and associations with outcomes in symptomatic peripheral artery disease (PAD) populations in primary care. We assessed characteristics and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with and those without symptomatic peripheral artery disease in UK primary care, and quantifie...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/2047487317736824
更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Blood pressure (BP) variations occurring after hospital discharge in a population of older hypertensives have not been previously investigated. DESIGN:elderly (≥65 years) hypertensives admitted to the geriatric acute ward of a university-teaching hospital were enrolled in this prospective observational stud...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826711403067
更新日期:2012-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Numerous molecular screening strategies have recently been developed to measure the chemical diversity of a population's biofluids with the ultimate aim to provide clinicians, medical scientists and epidemiologists with a clearer picture of the presence and severity of cardiovascular disease; prognosis; and response t...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
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更新日期:2016-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487317728766
更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Urban middle-socioeconomic status (SES) subjects have high burden of cardiovascular risk factors in low-income countries. To determine secular trends in risk factors among this population and to correlate risks with educational status we performed epidemiological studies in India. METHODS:Five cross-section...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826711424567
更新日期:2012-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The complexity of treatment regimens, costs and pill burden decrease the medication adherence and contribute to shortfall in cardiovascular preventive drug coverage. The polypill, a fixed dose combination pill of established drugs, is expected to increase adherence and reduce the costs whilst preventing majo...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
doi:10.1177/2047487314550803
更新日期:2015-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus suffer from dysregulation of a plethora of cardiovascular and metabolic functions, including dysglycaemia, dyslipidaemia, arterial hypertension, obesity and a reduced cardiorespiratory fitness. Exercise training has the potential to improve many of these functions, such as insuli...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,实务指引
doi:10.1177/2047487318820420
更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:This study aimed to examine the mediating role of psychological distress in the relationship between the physical health component of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of coronary heart disease patients and their socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. METHODS:This was a cross-sectional study c...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi:10.1177/2047487312451541
更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Several selected population-based studies have emphasized the significance of resting heart rate as an independent cardiovascular risk factor. However, there are no data available for using resting heart rate as a cardiovascular risk predictor in contemporary primary care. Thus, the aim of our analysis was t...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826710394304
更新日期:2012-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Worldwide, each year more than 7 million people experience myocardial infarction, in which one-year mortality rates are now in the range of 10%, but vary with patient characteristics. The consequences are even more dramatic: among patients who survive, 20% suffer a second cardiovascular event in the first year and app...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487316663873
更新日期:2016-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Background Epidemiological studies on smoking and atrial fibrillation have been inconsistent, with some studies showing a positive association while others have found no association. It is also unclear whether there is a dose-response relationship between the number of cigarettes smoked or pack-years and the risk of a...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析
doi:10.1177/2047487318780435
更新日期:2018-09-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:In order to improve national cardiovascular disease (CVD) epidemiology and prevention, we systematically reviewed and analyzed the relevant literature produced in the last three decades for Spain. DESIGN:Systematic Review. METHODS:We searched for all the articles aiming to monitor CVD clinical endpoints an...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/2047487312455314
更新日期:2013-08-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Although the mortality of coronary heart disease (CHD) has declined in Western countries during the last decades, studies have suggested that the prevention and treatment of CHD may not have been as effective in women as in men. We examined gender- and age-specific trends in incidence, case fatality and the ...
journal_title:European journal of preventive cardiology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/1741826711421081
更新日期:2012-10-01 00:00:00