Climate change hastens population extinctions.

Abstract:

:Climate change is expected to alter the distribution and abundance of many species. Predictions of climate-induced population extinctions are supported by geographic range shifts that correspond to climatic warming, but few extinctions have been linked mechanistically to climate change. Here we show that extinctions of two populations of a checkerspot butterfly were hastened by increasing variability in precipitation, a phenomenon predicted by global climate models. We model checkerspot populations to show that changes in precipitation amplified population fluctuations, leading to rapid extinctions. As populations of checkerspots and other species become further isolated by habitat loss, climate change is likely to cause more extinctions, threatening both species diversity and critical ecosystem services.

authors

McLaughlin JF,Hellmann JJ,Boggs CL,Ehrlich PR

doi

10.1073/pnas.052131199

keywords:

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2002-04-30 00:00:00

pages

6070-4

issue

9

eissn

0027-8424

issn

1091-6490

pii

052131199

journal_volume

99

pub_type

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