Abstract:
OBJECTIVE:To explore excess paediatric mortality after discharge from Kilifi District Hospital, Kenya, and its duration and risk factors. METHODS:Hospital and demographic data were used to describe post-discharge mortality and survival probability in children aged < 15 years, by age group and clinical syndrome. Cox regression models were developed to identify risk factors. FINDINGS:In 2004-2008, approximately 111,000 children were followed for 555,000 person-years. We analysed 14,971 discharges and 535 deaths occurring within 365 days of discharge. Mortality was higher in the post-discharge cohort than in the community cohort (age-adjusted rate ratio, RR: 7.7; 95% confidence interval, CI: 6.6-8.9) and declined little over time. An increased post-discharge mortality hazard was found in children aged < 5 years with the following: weight-for-age Z score < -4 (hazard ratio, HR: 6.5); weight-for-age Z score > -4 but < -3 (HR: 3.4); hypoxia (HR: 2.3); bacteraemia (HR: 1.8); hepatomegaly (HR: 2.3); jaundice (HR: 1.8); hospital stay > 13 days (HR: 1.8). Older age was protective (reference < 1 month): 6-23 months, HR: 0.8; 2-4 years, HR: 0.6. Children with at least one risk factor accounted for 545 (33%) of the 1655 annual discharges and for 39 (47%) of the 83 discharge-associated deaths. CONCLUSION:Hospital admission selects vulnerable children with a sustained increased risk of dying. The risk factors identified provide an empiric basis for effective outpatient follow-up.
journal_name
Bull World Health Organjournal_title
Bulletin of the World Health Organizationauthors
Moïsi JC,Gatakaa H,Berkley JA,Maitland K,Mturi N,Newton CR,Njuguna P,Nokes J,Ojal J,Bauni E,Tsofa B,Peshu N,Marsh K,Williams TN,Scott JAdoi
10.2471/BLT.11.089235subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2011-10-01 00:00:00pages
725-32, 732Aissue
10eissn
0042-9686issn
1564-0604pii
BLT.11.089235journal_volume
89pub_type
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journal_title:Bulletin of the World Health Organization
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journal_title:Bulletin of the World Health Organization
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journal_title:Bulletin of the World Health Organization
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