The impact of non-blinding in critical care medicine trials.

Abstract:

PURPOSE:It is uncertain whether, in critical care medicine, non-blinded trials are associated with a bias toward a different effect size. The aim of our study was to assess if conducting non-blinded/open label studies leads to greater effect size than blinded studies, and to provide an estimate of the weight of this difference. MATERIALS AND METHODS:We systematically searched all papers published in peer-reviewed journals between January 2000 and December 2015, dealing with non surgical interventions in critically ill adults and reporting a statistically significant difference in mortality. We assessed the number needed to treat (NNT) of each trial to estimate the treatment effect size and we divided studies into non-blinded, single-blinded and double-blinded. We searched for correlation between the treatment effect size and blinding, and adjusted for the other trial variables. RESULTS:We identified 119 critically ill randomized controlled trials. Of these, 69 studies were non-blinded and 50 were blinded. The median NNT in non-blinded studies was 5 [IQR 4-7] while it was 7 [IQR 5-7] in the blinded studies (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS:The NNT for blinded studies is 40% higher than for unblinded studies. This should be taken into account when planning and interpreting the findings of non-blinded studies performed in critically ill settings.

journal_name

J Crit Care

journal_title

Journal of critical care

authors

Baiardo Redaelli M,Belletti A,Monti G,Lembo R,Ortalda A,Landoni G,Bellomo R

doi

10.1016/j.jcrc.2018.09.031

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-12-01 00:00:00

pages

414-417

eissn

0883-9441

issn

1557-8615

pii

S0883-9441(18)31128-6

journal_volume

48

pub_type

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