Physical activity trajectories and subsequent fall risk: ARIC Study.

Abstract:

:To examine the impact of moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) trajectories during midlife and older adulthood with subsequent fall risk in later life. Cross-temporal analyses were conducted in 15,792 participants (27% black, 55% women) aged 45 to 64 years enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. MVPA was collected at Exams 1 (1987-89), 3 (1993-95) and 5 (2011-13) using the ARIC/Baecke questionnaire. Latent class growth analysis was used to identify the MVPA trajectory groups. Reported falls outcomes were collected in 2013-14, 2015-16, and 2016-17. Generalized Linear Models were used to estimate associations of baseline predictors with trajectory class membership, as well as associations of trajectory classes with any falling (adjusted incident relative risks, aIRR) and with number of falls (adjusted relative rates, aRR). Four primary trajectory classes emerged, reflecting longitudinal patterns of maintained high (48%), maintained low (22%), increasing (14%) and decreasing (15%) MVPA. After adjustment for covariates, the decreasing MVPA trajectory group had a 14% higher risk of reporting any falling compared to the maintained high MVPA group [aIRR = 1.14 (1.01, 1.28)]. When compared to the maintained high MVPA group, the maintained low and decreasing group had a 28% [aRR = 1.28 (1.14, 1.44)] and 27% [aRR = 1.27 (1.17, 1.38)] higher rate in the reported number of falls, respectively. Findings support public health campaigns targeting habitual MVPA or exercise for fall prevention and suggest that interventions should be initiated in midlife; a time when individuals may be more able and willing to change behavior.

journal_name

Prev Med

journal_title

Preventive medicine

authors

Pettee Gabriel K,Griswold ME,Wang W,Conway SH,Windham BG,Palta P,Kucharska-Newton A,Pompeii LA

doi

10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.02.007

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-04-01 00:00:00

pages

40-46

eissn

0091-7435

issn

1096-0260

pii

S0091-7435(19)30046-5

journal_volume

121

pub_type

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