Modelling food safety and economic consequences of surveillance and control strategies for Salmonella in pigs and pork.

Abstract:

:Targets for maximum acceptable levels of Salmonella in pigs and pork are to be decided. A stochastic simulation model accounting for herd and abattoir information was used to evaluate food safety and economic consequences of different surveillance and control strategies, based among others on Danish surveillance data. An epidemiological module simulated the Salmonella carcass prevalence for different scenarios. Cost-effectiveness analysis was used to compare the costs of the different scenarios with their expected effectiveness. Herd interventions were not found sufficient to attain Salmonella carcass prevalence <1%. The cost-effectiveness of abattoir interventions changed with abattoir size. The most cost-effective strategy included the use of steam vacuum and steam ultrasound. Given uncertainty of the effect of steam vacuum and steam ultrasound, model results should be updated as more information becomes available. This framework contributes to informed decision-making for a more cost-effective surveillance and control of Salmonella in pigs and pork.

journal_name

Epidemiol Infect

authors

Baptista FM,Halasa T,Alban L,Nielsen LR

doi

10.1017/S0950268810001767

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2011-05-01 00:00:00

pages

754-64

issue

5

eissn

0950-2688

issn

1469-4409

pii

S0950268810001767

journal_volume

139

pub_type

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