Computerized projection of future heroin epidemics: a necessity for the 21st century?

Abstract:

:Although U.K. has seen significant advances in knowledge since the onset of its last major heroin epidemic in the early 1980s, it is still the case that most assessments of the extent of drug misuse are based on old data. Recognition of this problem is evidenced by the many attempts elsewhere to reduce the lag between data collection and data use in such programs as DAWN, ADAM, and PULSE CHECK. Such programs are an improvement, but they are nevertheless still estimates of unknown reliability, and still about the past rather than about the future. Building on the pioneering work of Hunt and Chambers in the 1970s, the authors present the output of a computerized model that attempts to forecast the heroin epidemics of the future.

journal_name

Subst Use Misuse

journal_title

Substance use & misuse

authors

Ditton J,Frischer M

doi

10.1081/ja-100000233

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2001-01-01 00:00:00

pages

151-66

issue

1-2

eissn

1082-6084

issn

1532-2491

journal_volume

36

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Revision of the Self-Administered Alcoholism Screening Test (SAAST-R): a pilot study.

    abstract::The original Self-Administered Alcoholism Screening Test (SAAST; Swenson and Morse, 1975) is a self-report alcoholism screening measure intended for use with adult medical patients. However, the SAAST does not indicate the recency of alcohol use-related problems, not all items use the appropriate verb tense for assess...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1081/ja-200030662

    authors: Vickers-Douglas KS,Patten CA,Decker PA,Offord KP,Colligan RC,Islam-Zwart KA,Wolter TD,Croghan IT,Hall-Flavin D,Hurt RD

    更新日期:2005-01-01 00:00:00

  • Not Only When Feeling Down: The Relationship Between Mood Intensity and Smoking Behavior.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:There is substantial empirical evidence that negative mood triggers smoking behavior, and less support for the similar effect of positive mood. However, the relationship between the intensity of mood and smoking remains relatively under-researched. OBJECTIVES:The present study explored the association betwe...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2016.1245334

    authors: Pavlović M,Zezelj I

    更新日期:2017-03-21 00:00:00

  • Alcohol drinking problems among New York City residents after the September 11 terrorist attacks.

    abstract::Recent studies have shown an increase in alcohol use in New York City in the months after the September 11 terrorist attacks; thus far there have been no studies documenting changes in drinking problems. In 2002, a random digit dial phone survey was conducted of residents of New York City. This study provided us with ...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826080600754900

    authors: Vlahov D,Galea S,Ahern J,Rudenstine S,Resnick H,Kilpatrick D,Crum RM

    更新日期:2006-01-01 00:00:00

  • Differences in the marijuana expectancies of adolescents in relation to marijuana use.

    abstract::Marijuana use continues to be a problem among youth. Outcome expectancies influence substance-using behavior in both children and adults. Expectancy interventions are empirically supported. Despite their success, there is a lack of information regarding marijuana expectancies in youth from which to develop these inter...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826080701212386

    authors: Alfonso J,Dunn ME

    更新日期:2007-01-01 00:00:00

  • Illicit substance use among adolescents: a matrix of prospective predictors.

    abstract::This paper reviews findings from 58 prospective studies of illicit substance use (ISU) among adolescents. It arranges 384 findings according to three types of influence (viz., social, attitudinal, and intrapersonal) and four levels of influence (viz., ultimate, distal, proximal, and immediate). The bulk of evidence re...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.3109/10826089809059341

    authors: Petraitis J,Flay BR,Miller TQ,Torpy EJ,Greiner B

    更新日期:1998-11-01 00:00:00

  • An evaluation of the stress-negative affect model in explaining alcohol use: the role of components of negative affect and coping style.

    abstract::The stress-negative affect model for alcohol use was examined. The mediating roles of different components of negative affect were tested in the context of coping style. Data from 1,057 drinking adults (Mage = 44.45) and 352 drinking college students (Mage = 19.07) collected during 2001-2005 and in 2010, respectively,...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2012.761713

    authors: Dermody SS,Cheong J,Manuck S

    更新日期:2013-03-01 00:00:00

  • Women in recovery from drug misuse: an exploratory study of their social networks and social support.

    abstract::This cross-sectional research examined the effects of ethnicity, age, and primary drug (alcohol or other drug) on recovering women's social network size and social support. Study participants included 21 African-American, 39 Anglo-American, and 3 Mexican-American women in continuous recovery for a minimum of 6 months....

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826089809058952

    authors: O'Dell KJ,Turner NH,Weaver GD

    更新日期:1998-06-01 00:00:00

  • Drug identity change processes, race, and gender. III. Macrolevel opportunity concepts.

    abstract::Throughout the 20th century, scholars studying drug misuse have pinpointed various macrolevel (broad cultural and social structural) influences on the problem. The drug identity change model includes two such macrolevel factors. It maintains that social climates conducive to drug use (availability and popularity of dr...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826089809059347

    authors: Anderson TL

    更新日期:1998-12-01 00:00:00

  • Forbidden fruit and the prediction of cigarette smoking.

    abstract::The concept of "forbidden fruit" has been popularly associated with adolescent cigarette smoking in the US. However, only a few empirical studies have been conducted to investigate how this construct operates among adolescents. We examined the concurrent and prospective relationships between two related concepts of fo...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826081003682230

    authors: Sussman S,Grana R,Pokhrel P,Rohrbach LA,Sun P

    更新日期:2010-08-01 00:00:00

  • Recovery: with and without self-help.

    abstract::Although self-help/mutual-help groups, like Alcoholics Anonymous, are important factors in the recovery of many chemically dependent individuals, the large dropout rates from such groups and the awareness that many who drop out do not return to dependent behavior raises interesting questions about other paths to susta...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826089709027316

    authors: Godlaski TM,Leukefeld C,Cloud R

    更新日期:1997-04-01 00:00:00

  • Cue Exposure Therapy for Alcohol Use Disorders: What Can Be Learned from Exposure Therapy for Anxiety Disorders?

    abstract::Background: Cue Exposure Therapy (CET) has shown efficacy for treating alcohol use disorders (AUDs). Exposure therapy is highly effective for treating anxiety. Both techniques involve repeated, controlled exposures to alcohol or fear-related stimuli. Objectives: We considered the mechanisms of CET for AUDs by comparin...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2019.1618328

    authors: Byrne SP,Haber P,Baillie A,Giannopolous V,Morley K

    更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00

  • Retention in treatment--indicator or illusion: an essay.

    abstract::This article poses questions about the meaning of retention in substance user treatment. Retention has become a "gold standard" for substance user-treatment programs, suggesting it has become more than an indicator of positive outcomes, but a positive treatment outcome in its own right. Retention has been studied in n...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1080/10826080802525967

    authors: Walker R

    更新日期:2009-01-01 00:00:00

  • Smack, crack, and score: two decades of NIDA-funded drugs and crime research at NDRI 1974-1994.

    abstract::Since 1972, National Development and Research Institutes (NDRI) has been fortunate to have on its staff outstanding researchers involved in studying the relationship between drugs and criminality. This paper describes federally-funded research conducted by them. The drug-crime nexus has been an ongoing focus along wit...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.3109/10826089809059322

    authors: Lipton DS,Johnson BD

    更新日期:1998-07-01 00:00:00

  • Exercise addiction: symptoms, diagnosis, epidemiology, and etiology.

    abstract::Regular physical activity plays a crucial role in health maintenance and disease prevention. However, excessive exercise has the potential to have adverse effects on both physical and mental health. The scholastic and empirical discussion of excessive physical activity focuses on obsessive and compulsive exercising, a...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2011.639120

    authors: Berczik K,Szabó A,Griffiths MD,Kurimay T,Kun B,Urbán R,Demetrovics Z

    更新日期:2012-03-01 00:00:00

  • Determinants of inhalant (whitener) use among street children in a South Indian city.

    abstract::A cross-sectional study was conducted in the year 2008 among 174 children in observation homes in Hyderabad, India, to estimate the distribution of inhalant (whitener) use among this population. Data were collected using an instrument developed for this purpose. About 61% of the children were boys and their mean age w...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2011.644844

    authors: Praveen D,Maulik PK,Raghavendra B,Khan M,Guggilla RK,Bhatia P

    更新日期:2012-08-01 00:00:00

  • Investigating Betel Nut Use, Antecedents and Consequences: A Review of Literature.

    abstract::Background: Betel nut use is a public health issue in the Asia-Pacific region that is often neglected. To control betel nut use, understanding of the adverse effects of betel nut use and evidence-based policies and strategies is necessary. Objectives: This narrative review aims to characterize the current situation on...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2019.1666144

    authors: Joo YJ,Newcombe D,Nosa V,Bullen C

    更新日期:2020-01-01 00:00:00

  • Mind the gap! Failure in understanding key dimensions of a drug user's life.

    abstract::This article discusses the failure to succeed in the treatment of the heterogeneous population of substance users, in terms of too little, or a total absence of, necessary available knowledge from an ethnographic perspective of the user's mental geographies. I suggest three dimensions that are critical to be knowledge...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2012.705693

    authors: Hellman M

    更新日期:2012-11-01 00:00:00

  • Using Bayesian space-time models to understand the substance use environment and risk for being referred to child protective services.

    abstract::Parental substance misuse has often been cited as a cause of children being referred for investigation of child abuse and neglect. Research on how the substance use environment might affect this relationship is still in its infancy with primarily only cross-sectional studies finding a positive relationship of alcohol ...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826080701690649

    authors: Freisthler B,Weiss RE

    更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00

  • Identifying Risk Factors for Drug Use in an Iranian Treatment Sample: A Prediction Approach Using Decision Trees.

    abstract:INTRODUCTION AND AIM:Substance abuse exacts considerable social and health care burdens throughout the world. The aim of this study was to create a prediction model to better identify risk factors for drug use. DESIGN AND METHODS:A prospective cross-sectional study was conducted in South Khorasan Province, Iran. Of th...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2017.1392981

    authors: Amirabadizadeh A,Nezami H,Vaughn MG,Nakhaee S,Mehrpour O

    更新日期:2018-05-12 00:00:00

  • The Role of Acculturation and Alcohol Problems on Frequency of Cannabis Use Among Latinas at Risk of an Alcohol-Exposed Pregnancy.

    abstract::Background: Along with alcohol, cannabis is one of the most commonly used substances among women of childbearing age. Recent studies indicate detrimental effects of prenatal cannabis use. Because many women use these substances before realizing they are pregnant, these serious health consequences for women and their o...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2019.1625399

    authors: Hernandez M,von Sternberg KL,Castro Y,Velasquez MM

    更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00

  • Netnography of Female Use of the Synthetic Growth Hormone CJC-1295: Pulses and Potions.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Communal online folk pharmacology fuels the drive for short cuts in attaining muscle enhancement, fat loss, and youthful skin. OBJECTIVES:The study used "netnography" to explore female use of CJC-1295, a synthetic growth hormone analogue from the perspectives contained in Internet forum activity. METHODS:A...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2015.1082595

    authors: Van Hout MC,Hearne E

    更新日期:2016-01-02 00:00:00

  • Identifying Risk Factors for Late-Onset (50+) Alcohol Use Disorder and Heavy Drinking: A Systematic Review.

    abstract::This systematic review seeks to expand the description and understanding of late-onset AUD and asks "Which risk factors have been reported for late-onset heavy drinking and AUD?" METHOD:Using PRISMA guidelines, a literature review and search was performed on May 19, 2015 using the following databases: MEDLINE, EMBASE...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2017.1293102

    authors: Emiliussen J,Nielsen AS,Andersen K

    更新日期:2017-10-15 00:00:00

  • Jello shot consumption among older adolescents: a pilot study of a newly identified public health problem.

    abstract::We investigated the extent of jello shot consumption among underage youths. We conducted a pilot study among a nonrandom national sample of 108 drinkers, aged 16-20 years, recruited from the Knowledge Networks Internet panel in 2010 by using consecutive sampling. The prevalence of past 30-day jello shot consumption am...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2010.538886

    authors: Binakonsky J,Giga N,Ross C,Siegel M

    更新日期:2011-01-01 00:00:00

  • Intention to quit tobacco use among clients in substance use disorder treatment settings.

    abstract::The purpose of this study was to investigate the influence of age, gender, tobacco-related knowledge, treatment modality, and changes in smoking patterns on intention to quit tobacco use among individuals participating in substance use disorder (SUD) treatment in Ohio. Of the 791 SUD program attendees, 91.7% currently...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826080701202528

    authors: Moore D,Langlois M,Gerber BM,Gaddis R,Hallam JS,Arnold R

    更新日期:2007-01-01 00:00:00

  • Performance of a Predictive Model versus Prescription-Based Thresholds in Identifying Patients at Risk of Fatal Opioid Overdose.

    abstract::Background: Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs (PDMPs) collect controlled substance prescriptions dispensed within a state. Many PDMP programs perform targeted outreach (i.e., "unsolicited reporting") for patients who exceed numerical thresholds, however, the degree to which patients at highest risk of fatal opioid...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2020.1868520

    authors: Ferris LM,Saloner B,Jackson K,Lyons BC,Murthy V,Kharrazi H,Latimore A,Stuart EA,Weiner JP

    更新日期:2021-01-15 00:00:00

  • Validation of the Comprehensive Effects of Alcohol Questionnaire in Older Adults.

    abstract::Background: Alcohol expectancies have been established as an important construct in the prediction of alcohol use among younger adults, but there is little understanding about the perceived expected effects of consuming alcohol in older adults. Beliefs about the expected effects of alcohol may be quite different in ol...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2019.1627558

    authors: Gilson KM,Judd F,Bryant C

    更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00

  • Development and longitudinal test of an instrument to measure behavioral stages of smoking initiation.

    abstract::A dearth of longitudinal research has been observed regarding the measurement of the behavioral process of adolescent smoking initiation. The present study operationalizes the leading model on the process of smoking initiation, including two stages of nonpersistent smoking behavior that were previously unlabelled. An ...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1081/ja-120028489

    authors: Kremers SP,Mudde AN,de Vries H

    更新日期:2004-01-01 00:00:00

  • Association Between Perceived Discrimination and Alcohol and Tobacco Consumption in ELSA-Brasil Cohort: Focusing on Gender Differences.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Discrimination is detrimental to physical and mental health, particularly insofar as health-risk behaviors are concerned. Particular attention has been paid to excess alcohol consumption and smoking in view of the ready availability of these substances in Western societies. OBJECTIVES:To determine whether a...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10826084.2019.1573838

    authors: Patrão AL,Almeida MDC,Matos SMA,Goes EF,Nogueira C,Aquino EML

    更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00

  • Nursing Care in Alcohol and Drug User Treatment Facilities.

    abstract::Registered and advanced practice nurses are employed in substance user treatment facilities across the US and in most industrialized countries. Patterns of employment and job descriptions for nurses, however, are highly inconsistent and seriously flawed. Many regulatory system, legislative and government agency factor...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2015.1007681

    authors: Naegle MA

    更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00

  • The Role of Social Capital in African Americans' Attempts to Reduce and Quit Cocaine Use.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Research examining substance users' recovery has focused on individual-level outcomes while paying limited attention to the contexts within which individuals are embedded, and the social processes involved in recovery. OBJECTIVES:This paper examines factors underlying African American cocaine users' decisio...

    journal_title:Substance use & misuse

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.3109/10826084.2016.1155606

    authors: Cheney AM,Booth BM,Borders TF,Curran GM

    更新日期:2016-05-11 00:00:00