Sampling--how big a sample?

Abstract:

:It is thought that, in a consignment of discrete units, a certain proportion of the units contain illegal material. A sample of the consignment is to be inspected. Various methods for the determination of the sample size are compared. The consignment will be considered as a random sample from some super-population of units, a certain proportion of which contain drugs. For large consignments, a probability distribution, known as the beta distribution, for the proportion of the consignment which contains illegal material is obtained. This distribution is based on prior beliefs about the proportion. Under certain specific conditions the beta distribution gives the same numerical results as an approach based on the binomial distribution. The binomial distribution provides a probability for the number of units in a sample which contain illegal material, conditional on knowing the proportion of the consignment which contains illegal material. This is in contrast to the beta distribution which provides probabilities for the proportion of a consignment which contains illegal material, conditional on knowing the number of units in the sample which contain illegal material. The interpretation when the beta distribution is used is much more intuitively satisfactory. It is also much more flexible in its ability to cater for prior beliefs which may vary given the different circumstances of different crimes. For small consignments, a distribution, known as the beta-binomial distribution, for the number of units in the consignment which are found to contain illegal material, is obtained, based on prior beliefs about the number of units in the consignment which are thought to contain illegal material. As with the beta and binomial distributions for large samples, it is shown that, in certain specific conditions, the beta-binomial and hypergeometric distributions give the same numerical results. However, the beta-binomial distribution, as with the beta distribution, has a more intuitively satisfactory interpretation and greater flexibility. The beta and the beta-binomial distributions provide methods for the determination of the minimum sample size to be taken from a consignment in order to satisfy a certain criterion. The criterion requires the specification of a proportion and a probability.

journal_name

J Forensic Sci

authors

Aitken CG

keywords:

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1999-07-01 00:00:00

pages

750-60

issue

4

eissn

0022-1198

issn

1556-4029

journal_volume

44

pub_type

杂志文章
  • National and international standards pertaining to noise and speech.

    abstract::There has been considerable recent activity in the development of standards relating to bioacoustics, especially in the areas of noise, hearing, and speech. Most of these national and international standards are written within the framework of the Bioacoustic Committee, S3, of the American National Standards Institute...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Yost WA

    更新日期:1981-01-01 00:00:00

  • Classification of black powder toners on the basis of integrated analytical information provided by Fourier transform infrared spectrometry and X-ray fluorescence spectrometry.

    abstract::Differentiating between black powder toners used in laser printers and copiers can be challenging for forensic examiners. One hundred and sixty-two samples from 82 different types of cartridges produced by 21 manufacturers that are currently available on the Polish market were studied using Fourier transform infrared ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2006.00167.x

    authors: Trzcińska BM

    更新日期:2006-07-01 00:00:00

  • Toxicology and sudden infant death.

    abstract::One hundred thirty cases of sudden infant death occurring in Wayne County, Michigan, (population 2.7 million) were analyzed for possible drugs. The toxicological protocol has been outlined. Six cases were found to be positive, and in five of these the drugs found had been prescribed for a variety of illnesses. In one ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Smialek JE,Monforte JR

    更新日期:1977-10-01 00:00:00

  • Sleepwalking disorder and mens rea: a review and case report. Maricopa County Superior Court.

    abstract::This paper examines complications of sleepwalking disorder (DSM-IV 307.46), an arousal disorder or parasomnia, in relationship to mens rea, or culpable mental state necessary to a finding of criminal responsibility. The legal history of criminal intent and insanity is reviewed. A case of indecent exposure is discussed...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:

    authors: Thomas TN

    更新日期:1997-01-01 00:00:00

  • Adapting the Chumbley Score to Match Striae on Land Engraved Areas (LEAs) of Bullets.

    abstract::The same-source problem remains a major challenge in forensic toolmark and firearm examination. Here, we investigate the applicability of the Chumbley method (J Forensic Sci, 2018, 63, 849; J Forensic Sci, 2010, 55, 953) (10,12), developed for screwdriver markings, for same-source identification of striations on bulle...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.13950

    authors: Krishnan G,Hofmann H

    更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00

  • Bite marks: physical properties of ring adhesion to skin-phase 1.

    abstract::Unsupported excised skin may shrink by as much as 50% or more. In 1981, a method was developed for ring adhesion to skin with the goal of minimizing tissue distortion upon excision. Five modified versions of the technique bearing the author's name followed (Dorion types I, II, III, IV, and V). The scientific literatur...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2010.01604.x

    authors: Desranleau S,Dorion RB

    更新日期:2011-01-01 00:00:00

  • An improved means of enzyme typing of hair roots using isoelectric focusing.

    abstract::An improved method of grouping hair, based on the alleles of PGM observed by isoelectric focusing, has been described. The increased discriminating power of this system (0.77) compared to that obtained by the starch gel technique (0.55) provides a new and more sensitive means of typing hair. ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Burgess RM,Sutton JG,Whitehead PH

    更新日期:1979-04-01 00:00:00

  • Postmortem diffusion of tracheal lidocaine into heart blood following intubation for cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

    abstract::This study investigated the postmortem diffusion of tracheal lidocaine into the blood after intubation in three individuals whose heart beat was not restored by cardiopulmonary resuscitation. The results are compared with those obtained in animal experiments using rabbits. The first human subject was a 3.5-month-old f...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Moriya F,Hashimoto Y

    更新日期:1997-03-01 00:00:00

  • Chorionic villus sampling prior to pregnancy termination, a tool for forensic paternity testing.

    abstract::Chorionic villus sampling (CVS), prior to pregnancy termination (pre-termination CVS), is suggested as a tool for forensic paternity testing. Unlike the abortion material, which consists of ruptured tissues of fetal and maternal origin, extra-embryonic membranes obtained through CVS can provide an uncontaminated sourc...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Reshef A,Brauner P,Shpitzen M,Gallili N,Marbach A,Motro U,Shmueli E,Meiner V

    更新日期:1999-09-01 00:00:00

  • Biotransformation of acetone to isopropanol observed in a motorist involved in a sobriety check.

    abstract::We report the identification of acetone (0.45 mg/mL) and isopropanol (0.17 mg/mL) but without the presence of ethanol in a blood sample from a man suspected of driving under the influence of alcohol. A preliminary breath screening test with an electrochemical instrument (Alcolmeter S-L2) was positive and an evidential...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Jones AW,Andersson L

    更新日期:1995-07-01 00:00:00

  • Postmortem concentrations of citalopram.

    abstract::The postmortem concentrations of citalopram in blood, bile, liver, and vitreous humour were investigated in 14 cases using a specially developed high performance liquid chromatography assay. Concentrations from drug and non-drug related deaths were categorized to determine a postmortem therapeutic and toxic range. The...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Anastos N,McIntyre IM,Lynch MJ,Drummer OH

    更新日期:2002-07-01 00:00:00

  • Postmortem Changes of Female External Genitalia and Their Importance in Suspected Sexual Abuse.

    abstract::Examination of the female external genitalia to assess for sexual abuse is performed in living individuals, and the interpretation of the findings is based on evidence-based studies. However, in the deceased, no such studies are available, and postmortem changes could present as suspicious findings that can be mistake...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.14462

    authors: Al-Saif DM,Al-Farayedhi MA,Al-Shamsi GA,Al-Bayat MI,Almadani OM,Kharoshah MA

    更新日期:2020-09-01 00:00:00

  • Assessment of walkway tribometer readings in evaluating slip resistance: a gait-based approach.

    abstract::The purpose of this study was to assess the viability of using slip risk (as quantified during human subject walking trials) to create a reference standard against which tribometer readings could be compared. First, human subjects (N=84) were used to rank objectively the slipperiness of three different surfaces with a...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2007.00386.x

    authors: Powers CM,Brault JR,Stefanou MA,Tsai YJ,Flynn J,Siegmund GP

    更新日期:2007-03-01 00:00:00

  • Fatal brodifacoum rodenticide poisoning: autopsy and toxicologic findings.

    abstract::This report details the pathologic and toxicologic findings in the case of a 15-year-old girl who deliberately and fatally ingested brodifacoum, a commonly used rodenticide. The mechanism of death, massive pulmonary hemorrhage, has not been previously reported. Brodifacoum was quantitated in liver, spleen, lung, brain...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Palmer RB,Alakija P,de Baca JE,Nolte KB

    更新日期:1999-07-01 00:00:00

  • Fatal falls from a height: two case studies.

    abstract::Two case studies are presented involving fatal falls of adult females from a height. One involved a launch at low speed from a balcony, and one involved a launch at high speed from the top of a cliff. Crime scene evidence obtained on the balcony itself provided a strong indication of homicide, but subsequent investiga...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2005.00026.x

    authors: Cross R

    更新日期:2006-01-01 00:00:00

  • Population data on the loci LDLR, GYPA, HBGG, D7S8, and GC in three southwest European populations.

    abstract::Three Southwest European populations: Galicia (NW Spain), a mixed Spanish population from the rest of Spain (outside Galicia), and a population sample from the Coimbra area (Centre of Portugal) have been studied for the Low Density Lipoprotein Receptor (LDLR), Glycophorin A (GYPA), Hemoglobin G Gammaglobin (HBGG), D7S...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Rodriguez-Calvo MS,Bellas S,Souto L,Vide C,Valverde E,Carracedo A

    更新日期:1996-03-01 00:00:00

  • A quantitative comparison of smokeless measurements.

    abstract::Measurements of the type and concentration of propellant and stabilizer additives in smokeless gunpowder are used by forensic scientists investigating the source of explosives and by military laboratories assuring the safety and efficacy of munitions. The National Institute of Standards and Technology recently assesse...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: MacCrehan WA,Reardon MR,Duewer DL

    更新日期:2002-11-01 00:00:00

  • A middle-aged female serial killer.

    abstract::The case of a 48-year-old woman accused of killing at least 12 elderly women and attempting to kill another one during the last 3 years is presented. Extensive neuropsychological, electrophysiological, and neuropsychiatric testing showed no evidence of a DSM-IV-TR Axis I diagnosis, but a decrease in executive function...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2008.00803.x

    authors: Ostrosky-Solís F,Vélez-García A,Santana-Vargas D,Pérez M,Ardila A

    更新日期:2008-09-01 00:00:00

  • Virtual determination of sex: metric and nonmetric traits of the adult pelvis from 3D computed tomography models.

    abstract::Examination of the adult os coxae and sacrum is one of the most common methods of sex estimation from bone. Medical imaging, such as computed tomography (CT), provides the opportunity for three-dimensional (3D) imaging of the skeleton from clinical scans of known individuals in situ. In this study, a randomly selected...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2011.01803.x

    authors: Decker SJ,Davy-Jow SL,Ford JM,Hilbelink DR

    更新日期:2011-09-01 00:00:00

  • Accumulation of explosives in hair--Part 3: Binding site study.

    abstract::This study extends previous work on the sorption of explosives to the hair matrix. Specifically, we have studied the interaction of 2,4,6-trinitrotoluene (TNT) and triacetone triperoxide (TATP) as a function of chemical pretreatment with acetonitrile, neutral and alkaline hydrogen peroxide, methanolic KOH and potassiu...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2011.02020.x

    authors: Oxley JC,Smith JL,Kirschenbaum LJ,Marimiganti S,Efremenko I,Zach R,Zeiri Y

    更新日期:2012-05-01 00:00:00

  • Withdrawal: Torsello A, et al. Congenital Peritoneal Encapsulation and Nephrotic Syndrome. J Forensic Sci 2020 (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1556-4029.14292).

    abstract::The above article, published online on January 27, 2020, in Wiley Online Library, has been withdrawn by agreement between the authors, the JFS Editor in Chief (Dr. Michael Peat), and John Wiley & Sons Ltd. The withdrawal has been agreed by all parties given the ongoing confidential legal proceeding concerning the deat...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 撤回出版物

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.14292

    authors:

    更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00

  • Complex autoerotic death with full body wrapping in a plastic body bag.

    abstract::Autoerotic deaths are normally classified as accidental deaths occurring during individual, and usually solitary, sexual activity in which a device, apparatus, or prop used to enhance sexual stimulation of the deceased somehow causes unintended death. The most common methods of autoerotic practices are asphyxia by han...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2007.00496.x

    authors: Schellenberg M,Racette S,Sauvageau A

    更新日期:2007-07-01 00:00:00

  • A technique to enhance fingerprinting of mummified fingers.

    abstract::This report details a fingerprinting technique for softening mummified fingers and hands using Metaflow and Restorative, a fluid for rehydration of desiccated tissue. This procedure has proven successful in cases of extreme desiccation and has allowed for good fingerprint detail to be developed. ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Haglund WD

    更新日期:1988-09-01 00:00:00

  • A Y-chromosomal haplotype with two short tandem repeat mutations.

    abstract::The male-specific Y-chromosomal short tandem repeat (STR) is a useful tool in forensic casework. The Y haplotype comprised of 16 loci, which is amplified simultaneously by AmpFlSTR(®) Yfiler(TM) PCR kit and provides strong exculpatory evidence in individual identification. We reported a rare Y-STR profile with a null ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/j.1556-4029.2012.02145.x

    authors: Ma Y,Kuang JZ,Zhu W,Yang Z,Wang YJ,Nie TG,Li C,Hou YP

    更新日期:2012-11-01 00:00:00

  • A Test of the DSP Sexing Method on CT Images from a Modern French Sample.

    abstract::The hip bone is considered to be one of the most reliable indicators in sex determination. The aim of this study was to test the reliability of the DSP method for the hip bone proposed by Murail et al. (Bull Mem Soc Anthropol Paris, 17, 2005, 167) on a sample from a present-day population in France (52 males and 54 fe...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.12817

    authors: Mestekova S,Bruzek J,Veleminska J,Chaumoitre K

    更新日期:2015-09-01 00:00:00

  • A capillary tube method for the Lewis typing of red blood cells.

    abstract::A simple and inexpensive capillary tube procedure, which can be applied in the forensic science laboratory, is described for the detection of the Lewisa (Lea) and Lewisb (Leb) antigens on red blood cells. This procedure will permit approximately 4000 tests to be performed from a single 2-mL bottle of Lewis antiserum. ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Mudd JL

    更新日期:1983-01-01 00:00:00

  • Novel paternity testing by distinguishing parental alleles at a VNTR locus in the differentially methylated region upstream of the human H19 gene.

    abstract::Conventional PCR-based genotyping is useful for forensic testing but cannot be used to determine parental origins of alleles in DNA specimens. Here we describe a novel method of combined conventional genotyping and PIA typing (parentally imprinted allele typing) at a minisatellite region upstream from the H19 locus. T...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Naito E,Dewa K,Fukuda M,Sumi H,Wakabayashi Y,Umetsu K,Yuasa I,Yamanouchi H

    更新日期:2003-11-01 00:00:00

  • The Base Rate Study: Developing Base Rates for Risk Factors and Indicators for Engagement in Violent Extremism.

    abstract::Improvements have been made in identifying the prevalence of risk factors/indicators for violent extremism. A consistent problem is the lack of base rates. How to develop base rates is of equal concern. This study has two aims: (i) compare two methods for developing base rates; the Unmatched Count Technique (UCT) and ...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.14282

    authors: Clemmow C,Schumann S,Salman NL,Gill P

    更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00

  • Fatal falls from height in Taiwan.

    abstract::This study conducts an investigation of fatal falls from height, examines gender differences, and compares our findings with those of Western countries. We review deaths in Taiwan caused by falls from height that underwent forensic autopsy from 1994 to 2010. Among the examined cases, 182 were suicide, 156 were acciden...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/1556-4029.12445

    authors: Peng TA,Lee CC,Lin JC,Shun CT,Shaw KP,Weng TI

    更新日期:2014-07-01 00:00:00

  • Improved gas chromatography/mass spectrometry analysis of barbiturates in urine using centrifuge-based solid-phase extraction, methylation, with d5-pentobarbital as internal standard.

    abstract::Effective solid-phase extraction, derivatization, and GC/MS procedures are developed for the simultaneous determinations of butalbital, amobarbital, pentobarbital, and secobarbital, using a deuterated pentobarbital (d5-pentobarbital) as the internal standard. Buffered (pH 7) urine samples were extracted with Bond Elut...

    journal_title:Journal of forensic sciences

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:

    authors: Liu RH,McKeehan AM,Edwards C,Foster G,Bensley WD,Langner JG,Walia AS

    更新日期:1994-11-01 00:00:00