Abstract:
:Bayesian inference is usually presented as a method for determining how scientific belief should be modified by data. Although Bayesian methodology has been one of the most active areas of statistical development in the past 20 years, medical researchers have been reluctant to embrace what they perceive as a subjective approach to data analysis. It is little understood that Bayesian methods have a data-based core, which can be used as a calculus of evidence. This core is the Bayes factor, which in its simplest form is also called a likelihood ratio. The minimum Bayes factor is objective and can be used in lieu of the P value as a measure of the evidential strength. Unlike P values, Bayes factors have a sound theoretical foundation and an interpretation that allows their use in both inference and decision making. Bayes factors show that P values greatly overstate the evidence against the null hypothesis. Most important, Bayes factors require the addition of background knowledge to be transformed into inferences--probabilities that a given conclusion is right or wrong. They make the distinction clear between experimental evidence and inferential conclusions while providing a framework in which to combine prior with current evidence.
journal_name
Ann Intern Medjournal_title
Annals of internal medicineauthors
Goodman SNdoi
10.7326/0003-4819-130-12-199906150-00019subject
Has Abstractpub_date
1999-06-15 00:00:00pages
1005-13issue
12eissn
0003-4819issn
1539-3704pii
199906150-00009journal_volume
130pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Three patients with polymyositis had elevated serum levels of creatine kinase MB isoenzyme. The presence of this isoenzyme is used extensively to diagnose myocardial infarction, but the isoenzyme is also found in sera of patients with primary muscular and neuromuscular disorders. We studied cardiac function in two of ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-94-3-341
更新日期:1981-03-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:To review clinical scenarios in which nonelectrophysiologist physicians may interact with patients who have implantable defibrillators. DATA SOURCES:Peer-reviewed original articles and reviews addressing aspects of implantable defibrillator therapy that are relevant to the clinician. DATA SYNTHESIS:The capaci...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-122-10-199505150-00007
更新日期:1995-05-15 00:00:00
abstract::Important historical changes have occurred both in the content of the periodic health examination and in the legitimacy with which this examination has been viewed. These changes reflect fundamental shifts in the objectives of the examination and in the concerns of its advocates, the most prominent of whom have been p...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 历史文章,杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-127-10-199711150-00010
更新日期:1997-11-15 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:To determine the most effective and safe dose of enoxaparin to prevent deep venous thrombosis in high-risk surgical patients. DESIGN:A double-blind, randomized, multicenter clinical trial. SETTING:Private, university, and government hospitals in the United States. PATIENTS:572 patients having elective hip ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-121-2-199407150-00001
更新日期:1994-07-15 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Many constituents of fruits and vegetables may reduce the risk for coronary heart disease, but data on the relationship between fruit and vegetable consumption and risk for coronary heart disease are sparse. OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the association of fruit and vegetable consumption with risk for coronary hear...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-134-12-200106190-00010
更新日期:2001-06-19 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The appropriate duration of therapy for catheter-associated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia is controversial. Conventional practice dictates that all patients receive prolonged courses of intravenous antibiotics. Some clinicians recommend abbreviated therapeutic courses, but an alternate approach involves p...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-130-10-199905180-00004
更新日期:1999-05-18 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:To critically evaluate the evidence for recommending the screening of asymptomatic men for prostate cancer with a blood test to detect a prostate-specific antigen (PSA). DATA SOURCES:Relevant articles on screening for prostate cancer were identified from MEDLINE searches, from the authors' files, and from th...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 历史文章,杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-119-9-199311010-00009
更新日期:1993-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Three patients with advanced Graves' ophthalmopathy were treated with cyclophosphamide. All had proptosis and diplopia. One patient had disabling iatrogenic Cushing's syndrome from steroid treatment of the ophthalmopathy and had undergone bilateral orbital decompression before cyclophosphamide therapy; steroids could ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-90-6-921
更新日期:1979-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Data on body weight and weight change collected from nationally representative samples of U.S. adults are reviewed. The body mass index (weight [kg]/height [m2]) has a low correlation with height and is used to compare body weights between persons of differing heights. The BMI varies to a greater degree in women than ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-119-7_part_2-199310011-00004
更新日期:1993-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Hyperamylasemia, which has been reported in patients with the eating disorders anorexia nervosa and bulimia, generally has been thought to result from pancreatitis. To evaluate the mechanisms of hyperamylasemia, we measured amylase, lipase, and isoamylase activity in 17 consecutive patients admitted to the eating diso...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-106-1-50
更新日期:1987-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::During the past quarter century, general internal medicine has emerged as a vital discipline. In the realm of patient care, it is the integrating discipline par excellence. Ironically, as general internists face the challenge of integrating advances of dizzying speed and complexity, and as their clinical practice beco...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-134-10-200105150-00013
更新日期:2001-05-15 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:ClinicalTrials.gov requires reporting of result summaries for many drug and device trials. PURPOSE:To evaluate the consistency of reporting of trials that are registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov results database and published in the literature. DATA SOURCES:ClinicalTrials.gov results database and matched ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/M13-0480
更新日期:2014-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:It is currently unknown whether intensive insulin treatment of diabetes decreases the risk for cardiovascular complications by lowering glucose levels or increases the risk by postulated direct atherogenic effects. This article reviews published data from two long-term, randomized clinical trials that compared ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-124-1_part_2-199601011-00005
更新日期:1996-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The accuracy and harms of brief cognitive tests for identifying clinical Alzheimer-type dementia (CATD) are uncertain. PURPOSE:To summarize evidence on accuracy and harms of brief cognitive tests for CATD in older adults with suspected cognitive impairment. DATA SOURCES:Electronic bibliographic databases (...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/M19-3889
更新日期:2020-05-19 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:To document the effects of treatment with famciclovir on the acute signs and symptoms of herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia. DESIGN:A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter trial. SETTING:36 centers in the United States, Canada, and Australia. PATIENTS:419 immunocompetent adults wi...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-123-2-199507150-00002
更新日期:1995-07-15 00:00:00
abstract::The Residency Program in Social Medicine at Montefiore Medical Center is a collaborative, integrated training program for primary care pediatricians, internists, and family physicians within one interdisciplinary organization. Since 1970 we have trained more than 200 physicians, prepared them for board certification i...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-109-4-324
更新日期:1988-08-15 00:00:00
abstract::Because of difficulties in antemortem diagnosis of systemic aspergillosis, a radioimmunoassay to an Aspergillus fumigatus carbohydrate was developed and evaluated in patients with mycotic or bacterial infections. Antigenemia was detected in sera obtained antemortem from four of seven patients with systemic aspergillos...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-92-6-793
更新日期:1980-06-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:An effective national biosurveillance system expedites outbreak recognition and facilitates response coordination at the federal, state, and local levels. The BioSense system, used at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, incorporates chief complaints but not data from the whole encounter note into...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-156-1-201201030-00003
更新日期:2012-01-03 00:00:00
abstract::This paper outlines the clinical, serologic, and immunogenetic differences and similarities of Sjögren's syndrome alone (primary) and Sjögren's syndrome associated with rheumatoid arthritis and systemic lupus erythematosus (secondary). The immunoregulation in Sjögren's syndrome is discussed and the incidence of immune...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-92-2-212
更新日期:1980-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::From 1969 to 1974, 19 cases of Serratia marcescens endocarditis were observed in the San Francisco Bay Area. Seventeen patients were intravenous drug users, and Serratia caused 14% of all addict-associated endocarditis in San Francisco. Serratia strains were nonpigmented and had typical antibiotic sensitivities, excep...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-84-1-29
更新日期:1976-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The latest guidelines from the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association, released in fall 2013, provide a long-anticipated update to the recommendations of the Third Report of the National Cholesterol Education Program Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol ...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/M16-1739
更新日期:2016-12-06 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Prediction of perioperative cardiac complications is important in the medical management of patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Several indices have been developed to aid prediction, but their performance has not been systematically compared. OBJECTIVE:To compare four existing methods for predicting per...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-133-5-200009050-00011
更新日期:2000-09-05 00:00:00
abstract::Congenital adrenal hyperplasia describes a group of inherited autosomal recessive disorders characterized by an enzymatic defect in cortisol biosynthesis, compensatory increases in corticotropin secretion, and adrenocortical hyperplasia. 21-Hydroxylase deficiency is responsible for more than 95% of cases and is one of...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 共识发展会议,杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-136-4-200202190-00012
更新日期:2002-02-19 00:00:00
abstract::Glomerular-fixed antibody was eluted from the kidney of a 17-year-old patient who died 2 weeks after the onset of acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis. Elevated titers of antibodies to streptococcal enzymes were found in the serum but not in the glomerular eluate. Streptococcal M protein and anti-M protein react...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-92-4-478
更新日期:1980-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Prospective data at Framingham and elsewhere have shown conclusively that risk of coronary heart disease in persons younger than age 50 is strikingly related to the serum total cholesterol level. Within so-called normal limits risk has been found to mount over a five-fold range. The impact has been found to be augment...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-90-1-85
更新日期:1979-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Antibiotic-associated diarrhea and colitis were well established soon after antibiotics became available. Early work implicated Staphylococcus aureus, but in 1978 Clostridium difficile became the established pathogen in the vast majority of cases. In the first 5 years (1978 through 1983), the most common cause was cli...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-145-10-200611210-00008
更新日期:2006-11-21 00:00:00
abstract::In an effort to prevent cytomegalovirus infection among seronegative patients having marrow transplants, a globulin with high antibody levels against cytomegalovirus was given before and for 11 weeks after transplantation in a randomized trial. Among 36 patients who received no prophylactic granulocyte transfusions, g...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-98-4-442
更新日期:1983-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:To prospectively study the clinical features, pathophysiology, treatment and prognosis of Wegener granulomatosis. DESIGN:Of the 180 patients with Wegener granulomatosis referred to the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases during the past 24 years, 158 have been followed for 6 months to 24 ye...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-116-6-488
更新日期:1992-03-15 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Adherence to short-term continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) may predict long-term use. Unfortunately, initial CPAP intolerance may lead to poor adherence or abandonment of therapy. OBJECTIVE:To determine whether a short course of eszopiclone at the onset of therapy improves long-term CPAP adherence m...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-151-10-200911170-00006
更新日期:2009-11-17 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The comparative effectiveness of rheumatoid arthritis therapies is uncertain. PURPOSE:To compare the benefits and harms of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) for adults with rheumatoid arthritis. DATA SOURCES:Records limited to the English language and studies of adults were identified by using...
journal_title:Annals of internal medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.7326/0003-4819-148-2-200801150-00192
更新日期:2008-01-15 00:00:00