COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks.

Abstract:

:In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the "small-world" effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by "flattening" the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions.

authors

Schlosser F,Maier BF,Jack O,Hinrichs D,Zachariae A,Brockmann D

doi

10.1073/pnas.2012326117

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-12-29 00:00:00

pages

32883-32890

issue

52

eissn

0027-8424

issn

1091-6490

pii

2012326117

journal_volume

117

pub_type

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