Are the World Junior Championship Finalists for Middle- and Long-Distance Events Currently Competing at International Level?

Abstract:

PURPOSE:To analyze how many finalists of the International Association of Athletics Federations (IAAF) World Junior Championships (WJCs) in the middle- and long-distance track events had dropped out from high-level competitions. METHODS:Starting from 2002, the 8 male and the 8 female finalists in the middle- and long-distance events of 6 editions of the WJC were followed until 2015 to evaluate how many missed the IAAF rankings for 2 consecutive years starting from the year after WJC participation. For those still competing at elite level, their careers were monitored. RESULTS:In 2015, 61% of the 2002, 54.8% of the 2004, 48.3% of the 2006, 37.5% of the 2008, 26.2% of the 2010, and 29% of the 2012 WJC finalists were not present in the IAAF rankings. Of the 368 athletes considered, 75 (20.4%) were able to achieve the IAAF top 10 in 2.4 ± 2.2 y. There is evidence of relationships between dropout and gender (P = .040), WJC edition (P = .000), and nationality (P = .010) and between the possibility to achieve the IAAF top 10 and dropout (P = .000), continent (P = .001), relative age effect (P = .000), and quartile of birth (P = .050). CONCLUSIONS:Even if 23 of the finalists won a medal at the Olympic Games or at the World Championships, it is still not clear if participation at the WJC is a prerequisite to success at a senior level.

authors

Pizzuto F,Bonato M,Vernillo G,La Torre A,Piacentini MF

doi

10.1123/ijspp.2015-0717

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-03-01 00:00:00

pages

316-321

issue

3

eissn

1555-0265

issn

1555-0273

pii

2015-0717

journal_volume

12

pub_type

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