Early prediction of non-survival for patients suffering cardiac arrest--a word of caution. The Belgian Cerebral Resuscitation Study Group.

Abstract:

:A total of 6178 persons with out-of-hospital (70%) and in hospital (30%) cardiac arrests from the first of January 1982 until the end of 1989 were reviewed retrospectively with respect to 4 variables, contributing to a score for specific prediction of poor prognosis (cut-off point: greater than 3 points). These included age, initial ECG, type of respiratory arrest and bystander resuscitation. Presence of ventricular fibrillation, gasping and bystander resuscitation contributes nothing to the score, while presence of asystole or EMD (electromechanical dissociation), apnoea and absence of bystander resuscitation adds one point to it. Of patients scoring 4 or 5 points 44 were awake 14 days post CPR (Class 3). The positive predictive value of the score was 97% (95% CI 96-98%) for the out-of-hospital group and 92.2% (95% CI 88-95%) for the in-hospital group. The specificity was respectively 92.3% (95% CI 89-95%) and 94.2% (95% CI 91-96%). Although the score can weigh the likelihood of no success against that of success, we cannot recommend it for decision making as far as abandoning or continuing cardiopulmonary resuscitation efforts.

journal_name

Intensive Care Med

journal_title

Intensive care medicine

authors

Martens PR,Mullie A,Buylaert W,Calle P,van Hoeyweghen R

doi

10.1007/BF01706419

keywords:

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1992-01-01 00:00:00

pages

11-4

issue

1

eissn

0342-4642

issn

1432-1238

journal_volume

18

pub_type

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