Abstract:
BACKGROUND:The objective of this work was to develop a model to predict malaria incidence in an area of unstable transmission by studying the association between environmental variables and disease dynamics. METHODS:The study was carried out in Karuzi, a province in the Burundi highlands, using time series of monthly notifications of malaria cases from local health facilities, data from rain and temperature records, and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) methodology, a model showing the relation between monthly notifications of malaria cases and the environmental variables was developed. RESULTS:The best forecasting model (R2adj = 82%, p < 0.0001 and 93% forecasting accuracy in the range +/- 4 cases per 100 inhabitants) included the NDVI, mean maximum temperature, rainfall and number of malaria cases in the preceding month. CONCLUSION:This model is a simple and useful tool for producing reasonably reliable forecasts of the malaria incidence rate in the study area.
journal_name
Malar Jjournal_title
Malaria journalauthors
Gomez-Elipe A,Otero A,van Herp M,Aguirre-Jaime Adoi
10.1186/1475-2875-6-129subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2007-09-24 00:00:00pages
129issn
1475-2875pii
1475-2875-6-129journal_volume
6pub_type
杂志文章相关文献
MALARIA JOURNAL文献大全abstract:BACKGROUND:The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) bears a high burden of malaria, which is exacerbated in pregnant women. The VAR2CSA protein plays a crucial role in pregnancy-associated malaria (PAM), and hence quantifying diversity at the var2csa locus in the DRC is important in understanding the basic epidemiolo...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-018-2193-9
更新日期:2018-01-24 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Mutations in the haemoglobin beta-globin (HbB) and glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) genes cause widespread human genetic disorders such as sickle cell diseases and G6PD deficiency. In sub-Saharan Africa, a few predominant polymorphic variants of each gene account for a majority of these deficiencies....
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-4-61
更新日期:2005-12-15 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:There is a need for accurate and field-applicable instruments for the evaluation of the quality of anti-malarial drugs. The aim of this study was to determine the diagnostic accuracy of the NanoRam(®), a handheld Raman spectrometer (RS), to identify anti-malarial drugs. METHODS:In total, 289 anti-malarial d...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1212-y
更新日期:2016-03-15 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The resistance of malaria parasites to sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) in 2007 led to the Malawi Ministry of Health changing to artemether-lumefantrine (AL) as first-line for uncomplicated malaria treatment. This study determined the efficacy and safety of AL for the treatment of uncomplicated Plasmodium fal...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-015-0701-8
更新日期:2015-04-23 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Knowledge of the ecological differences between the molecular forms of Anopheles gambiae and their sibling species, An. arabiensis might lead to understanding their unique contribution to disease transmission and to better vector control as well as to understanding the evolutionary forces that have separated...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-5-19
更新日期:2006-03-22 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The diversity of genotyping markers of Plasmodium falciparum depends on transmission intensity. It has been reported that the diversity of the merozoite surface protein 2 (msp2) is greater in areas of high compared to low endemicity, however, results for msp1 were inconsistent. These previous reports relied ...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-8-250
更新日期:2009-10-30 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Molecular tools for detection of low-density asymptomatic Plasmodium infections are needed in malaria elimination efforts. This study reports results from the hitherto largest implementation of loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) for centralized mass screening of asymptomatic malaria in Zanzibar. ...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-015-0731-2
更新日期:2015-05-17 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Donor financing for malaria has declined since 2010 and this trend is projected to continue for the foreseeable future. These reductions have a significant impact on lower burden countries actively pursuing elimination, which are usually a lesser priority for donors. While domestic spending on malaria has be...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-017-1890-0
更新日期:2017-07-14 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Herbal medicine has been a rich source of new drugs exemplified by quinine and artemisinin. In this study, a variety of Japanese traditional herbal medicine ('Kampo') were examined for their potential anti-malarial activities. METHODS:A comprehensive screening methods were designed to identify novel anti-ma...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-020-03273-x
更新日期:2020-06-08 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Subsistence rice farmers in south-eastern Tanzania are often migratory, spending weeks or months tending to crops in distant fields along the river valleys and living in improvised structures known as Shamba huts, not fully protected from mosquitoes. These farmers also experience poor access to organized pre...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1616-8
更新日期:2016-11-22 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:In a malaria-endemic area the distribution of patients is neither constant in time nor homogeneous in space. The WHO recommends the stratification of malaria risk on a fine geographical scale. In the village of Cacao in French Guiana, the study of the spatial and temporal distribution of malaria cases, durin...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-12-90
更新日期:2013-03-11 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Malaria caused by Plasmodium falciparum in pregnancy can result in adverse maternal and fetal sequelae. This review evaluated the adherence of the national guidelines drawn from World Health Organization (WHO) regions, Africa, Eastern Mediterranean, Southeast Asia, and Western Pacific, to the WHO recommendat...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1186/s12936-020-03565-2
更新日期:2021-01-23 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Kohat district is one of the medium intensity malaria transmission areas in Pakistan where asymptomatic carriers are likely to form a reservoir of infection. This study was done to explore the possibility of using microscopy, rapid diagnostic testing (RDT), real time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and RT...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-018-2191-y
更新日期:2018-01-22 00:00:00
abstract::The goal to eliminate malaria from the Asia-Pacific by 2030 will require the safe and widespread delivery of effective radical cure of malaria. In October 2017, the Asia Pacific Malaria Elimination Network Vivax Working Group met to discuss the impediments to primaquine (PQ) radical cure, how these can be overcome and...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type:
doi:10.1186/s12936-018-2380-8
更新日期:2018-06-20 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Malaria is seasonal and this may influence the number of children being treated as outpatients in hospitals. The objective of this study was to investigate the degree of seasonality in malaria in lakeshore and highland areas of Zomba district Malawi, and influence of climatic factors on incidence of malaria....
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-017-1913-x
更新日期:2017-07-03 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The development of insecticide resistance and the increased outdoor-biting behaviour of malaria vectors reduce the efficiency of indoor vector control methods. Attractive toxic sugar baits (ATSBs), a method targeting the sugar-feeding behaviours of vectors both indoors and outdoors, is a promising supplement...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-015-1012-9
更新日期:2015-12-08 00:00:00
abstract::BACKGROUND: Removal of exhaled air from total body emanations or artificially standardising carbon dioxide (CO2) outputs has previously been shown to eliminate differential attractiveness of humans to certain blackfly (Simuliidae) and mosquito (Culicidae) species. Whether or not breath contributes to between-person di...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-3-1
更新日期:2004-01-29 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Anopheles arabiensis is stereotypical of diverse vectors that mediate residual malaria transmission globally, because it can feed outdoors upon humans or cattle, or enter but then rapidly exit houses without fatal exposure to insecticidal nets or sprays. METHODS:Life histories of a well-characterized An. ar...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1280-z
更新日期:2016-04-19 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:While sub-microscopic malarial infections are frequent and potentially deleterious during pregnancy, routine molecular detection is still not feasible. This study aimed to assess the performance of a Histidine Rich Protein 2 (HRP2)-based ultrasensitive rapid diagnostic test (uRDT, Alere Malaria Ag Pf) for th...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-020-03261-1
更新日期:2020-05-24 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Polymorphism in the pfcrt gene underlies Plasmodium falciparum chloroquine resistance (CQR), as sensitive strains consistently carry lysine (K), while CQR strains carry threonine (T) at the codon 76. Previous studies have shown that microsatellite (MS) haplotype variation can be used to study the evolution o...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-6-34
更新日期:2007-03-21 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:For future eradication strategies of malaria it is important to control the transmission of gametocytes from humans to the anopheline vector which causes the spread of the disease. Sensitive, non-invasive methods to detect gametocytes under field conditions can play a role in monitoring transmission potentia...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-12-438
更新日期:2013-12-04 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Recent progress in malaria control has caused renewed interest in mass drug administration (MDA) as a potential elimination strategy but the evidence base is limited. China has extensive experience with MDA, but it is not well documented. METHODS:An ecological study was conducted to describe the use of MDA ...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-12-383
更新日期:2013-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::The global health community is interested in the health impact of the billions of dollars invested to fight malaria in Africa. A recent publication used trends in malaria cases and deaths based on health facility records to evaluate the impact of malaria control efforts in Rwanda and Ethiopia. Although the authors dem...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-8-209
更新日期:2009-09-03 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:A high prevalence of spherocytes was detected in blood smears of children enrolled in a case control study conducted in the malaria holoendemic Lake Victoria basin. It was speculated that the spherocytes reflect intraerythrocytic removal of malarial parasites with a concurrent removal of RBC membrane through...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-5-64
更新日期:2006-07-31 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Information is needed on the expected durability of insecticidal nets under operational conditions. The persistence of insecticidal efficacy is important to estimate the median serviceable life of nets under field conditions and to plan for net replacement. METHODS:Deltamethrin residue levels were evaluated...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-13-80
更新日期:2014-03-06 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The incidence of malaria in the Amazon basin is closely related to social inequalities, given that precarious economic and socio-environmental conditions represent favourable factors for the transmission of the disease in tropical regions, such as the Brazilian state of Pará. In the present study, an associa...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-13-86
更新日期:2014-03-10 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Malaria control largely depends on availability of highly efficacious drugs, however, over the years, has been threatened by emergence of drug resistance. It is, therefore, important to monitor the impact of recurrent anti-malarial treatment on the long-term efficacy of anti-malarial regimens, especially in ...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi:10.1186/s12936-018-2552-6
更新日期:2018-10-30 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) has been adopted by the World Health Organization as a first-line treatment for uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria. In endemic regions, it has proven more effective in treating the disease, and even in reducing its transmission. Nonetheless, there is a sca...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1408-1
更新日期:2016-07-02 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Malaria is reportedly receding in different epidemiological settings, but local long-term surveys are limited. At Mlomp dispensary in south-western Senegal, an area of moderate malaria transmission, year-round, clinically-suspected malaria was treated with monotherapy as per WHO and national policy in the 19...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-10-203
更新日期:2011-07-25 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Improving the way artemether-lumefantrine (AL) is provided to patients attending clinics is critical to maximize the benefit of this new medicine. In 2007, a new initiative was launched in one part of Kenya to improve malaria case-management through enhanced in-service training and provision of job aids. ME...
journal_title:Malaria journal
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1186/1475-2875-9-261
更新日期:2010-09-18 00:00:00