On generating birth rates from skeletal populations.

Abstract:

:Sattenspiel and Harpending (1983, American Antiquity 48(3): 489-498) have stated that the life expectancy at birth (e0(0] which paleodemographers calculate from skeletal population data is actually the mean age at death (ad) of the population. Yet, only when a population is neither growing or declining (i.e., is stationary) are these two statistics equivalent. They further assert, that the mean age at the death (ad) is more accurately interpreted as a measure of the fertility of the population. While we support their statement that since paleodemographic calculations use skeletal evidence of death, these do not a priori produce life expectancy values, we disagree that the inverse of the birth rate is a substitute for the average age at death (ad). The following pages demonstrate that: 1) An exact expression for the relationship between ad and 1/b can be derived using standard stable population theory, wherein ad = 1/b is shown to be a special case. 2) There are only two cases when ad = 1/b is an identity. 3) Whereas empirically ad and 1/b appear to correspond closely, this is an artifact of heavy mortality at early ages, which is a characteristic of the populations being considered. 4) Without insights into the behavioral dynamics of the situation any assessment of the demographics of the population is questionable.

journal_name

Am J Phys Anthropol

authors

Horowitz S,Armelagos G,Wachter K

doi

10.1002/ajpa.1330760207

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1988-06-01 00:00:00

pages

189-96

issue

2

eissn

0002-9483

issn

1096-8644

journal_volume

76

pub_type

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