Nomogram to predict successful placement in surgical subspecialty fellowships using applicant characteristics.

Abstract:

PURPOSE:The purpose of the study was to develop a model that predicts an individual applicant's probability of successful placement into a surgical subspecialty fellowship program. METHODS:Candidates who applied to surgical fellowships during a 3-year period were identified in a set of databases that included the electronic application materials. RESULTS:Of the 1281 applicants who were available for analysis, 951 applicants (74%) successfully placed into a colon and rectal surgery, thoracic surgery, vascular surgery, or pediatric surgery fellowship. The optimal final prediction model, which was based on a logistic regression, included 14 variables. This model, with a c statistic of 0.74, allowed for the determination of a useful estimate of the probability of placement for an individual candidate. CONCLUSIONS:Of the factors that are available at the time of fellowship application, 14 were used to predict accurately the proportion of applicants who will successfully gain a fellowship position.

journal_name

J Surg Educ

authors

Muffly TM,Barber MD,Karafa MT,Kattan MW,Shniter A,Jelovsek JE

doi

10.1016/j.jsurg.2011.11.006

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2012-05-01 00:00:00

pages

364-70

issue

3

eissn

1931-7204

issn

1878-7452

pii

S1931-7204(11)00313-8

journal_volume

69

pub_type

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