Overinterpretation and misreporting of prognostic factor studies in oncology: a systematic review.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:Cancer prognostic biomarkers have shown disappointing clinical applicability. The objective of this study was to classify and estimate how study results are overinterpreted and misreported in prognostic factor studies in oncology. METHODS:This systematic review focused on 17 oncology journals with an impact factor above 7. PubMed was searched for primary clinical studies published in 2015, evaluating prognostic factors. We developed a classification system, focusing on three domains: misleading reporting (selective, incomplete reporting, misreporting), misleading interpretation (unreliable statistical analysis, spin) and misleading extrapolation of the results (claiming irrelevant clinical applicability, ignoring uncertainty). RESULTS:Our search identified 10,844 articles. The 98 studies included investigated a median of two prognostic factors (Q1-Q3, 1-7). The prognostic factors' effects were selectively and incompletely reported in 35/98 and 24/98 full texts, respectively. Twenty-nine articles used linguistic spin in the form of strong statements. Linguistic spin rejecting non-significant results was found in 34 full-text results and 15 abstract results sections. One in five articles had discussion and/or abstract conclusions that were inconsistent with the study findings. Sixteen reports had discrepancies between their full-text and abstract conclusions. CONCLUSIONS:Our study provides evidence of frequent overinterpretation of findings of prognostic factor assessment in high-impact medical oncology journals.

journal_name

Br J Cancer

authors

Kempf E,de Beyer JA,Cook J,Holmes J,Mohammed S,Nguyên TL,Simera I,Trivella M,Altman DG,Hopewell S,Moons KGM,Porcher R,Reitsma JB,Sauerbrei W,Collins GS

doi

10.1038/s41416-018-0305-5

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-11-01 00:00:00

pages

1288-1296

issue

10

eissn

0007-0920

issn

1532-1827

pii

10.1038/s41416-018-0305-5

journal_volume

119

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Prognostic role of ERBB2, MET and VEGFA expression in metastatic colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-EGFR antibodies.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:High amplification of epiregulin (EREG) and amphireglin (AREG) in tumour tissues has been previously reported to be associated with better outcome in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients who were treated with anti-EGFR antibodies. Here we investigated associations between the expression of other cand...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.2016.74

    authors: Takahashi N,Iwasa S,Taniguchi H,Sasaki Y,Shoji H,Honma Y,Takashima A,Okita N,Kato K,Hamaguchi T,Shimada Y,Yamada Y

    更新日期:2016-04-26 00:00:00

  • Adiposity and risks of colorectal and small intestine cancer in Chinese adults: a prospective study of 0.5 million people.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Uncertainty remains about the associations of adiposity with intestinal cancer in China and by its anatomical subtype. METHODS:The prospective China Kadoorie Biobank recorded 3024 incident cases of colorectal (CRC) and 143 cases of small intestine (SIC) cancer during a 10-year follow-up among 509 568 partic...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/s41416-018-0124-8

    authors: Pang Y,Kartsonaki C,Guo Y,Chen Y,Yang L,Bian Z,Bragg F,Millwood IY,Mao E,Li Y,Shi L,Chen J,Li L,Holmes MV,Chen Z

    更新日期:2018-07-01 00:00:00

  • CYP17 blockade by abiraterone: further evidence for frequent continued hormone-dependence in castration-resistant prostate cancer.

    abstract::The limited prognosis of patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) on existing hormonal manipulation therapies calls out for the urgent need for new management strategies. The novel, orally available, small-molecule compound, abiraterone acetate, is undergoing evaluation in early clinical trials and em...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6604904

    authors: Ang JE,Olmos D,de Bono JS

    更新日期:2009-03-10 00:00:00

  • High-risk human papillomavirus clearance in pregnant women: trends for lower clearance during pregnancy with a catch-up postpartum.

    abstract::We followed 353 women referred with abnormal cervical cytology in a non-intervention cohort study. In 91 pregnant women we compared high-risk human papilloma virus rates in the subsequent trimesters and postpartum in comparison to 262 non-pregnant women. High-risk human papilloma virus clearance was compared with 179 ...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6600367

    authors: Nobbenhuis MA,Helmerhorst TJ,van den Brule AJ,Rozendaal L,Bezemer PD,Voorhorst FJ,Meijer CJ

    更新日期:2002-07-01 00:00:00

  • Gap junction communication dynamics and bystander effects from ultrasoft X-rays.

    abstract::Gap junctions provide a route for small molecules to pass directly between cells. Toxic species may spread through junctions into 'bystander' cells, which may be exploited in chemotherapy and radiotherapy. However, this may be prevented by junction closure, and therefore an understanding of the dose-dependency of inhi...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6601686

    authors: Edwards GO,Botchway SW,Hirst G,Wharton CW,Chipman JK,Meldrum RA

    更新日期:2004-04-05 00:00:00

  • A phase II study of a modified FOLFOX6 regimen as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced gastric cancer.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:We evaluated the efficacy and safety of the modified FOLFOX6 (mFOLFOX6) regimen as a neoadjuvant chemotherapy in gastric cancer patients. METHODS:Seventy-three patients with T2-T4 or N+ were enroled. Preoperative chemotherapy consisted of three cycles of mFOLFOX6. The primary end points were the response ra...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.2016.126

    authors: Wang X,Zhao L,Liu H,Zhong D,Liu W,Shan G,Dong F,Gao W,Bai C,Li X

    更新日期:2016-06-14 00:00:00

  • Paternal occupation and neuroblastoma: a case-control study based on cancer registry data for Great Britain 1962-1999.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Neuroblastoma is the most common malignancy of infancy but little is known about the aetiological factors associated with the development of this tumour. A number of epidemiological studies have previously examined the risk associated with paternal occupational exposures but most have involved small numbers ...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6605504

    authors: MacCarthy A,Bunch KJ,Fear NT,King JC,Vincent TJ,Murphy MF

    更新日期:2010-02-02 00:00:00

  • Met/HGF receptor modulates bcl-w expression and inhibits apoptosis in human colorectal cancers.

    abstract::The met proto-oncogene is the tyrosine kinase growth factor receptor for hepatocyte growth factor. In the present study, we investigated the role of met expression on the modulation of apoptosis in colorectal tumours. The gene expressions of c-met and the anti-apoptotic bcl-2 family, including bcl-2, bcl-x(L)and bcl-w...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1054/bjoc.2000.1301

    authors: Kitamura S,Kondo S,Shinomura Y,Kanayama S,Miyazaki Y,Kiyohara T,Hiraoka S,Matsuzawa Y

    更新日期:2000-09-01 00:00:00

  • Interaction of human serum albumin with anticancer agents in vitro.

    abstract::The influence of human serum albumin (HA) on the biological effects of 13 chemotherapeutic agents was studied in vitro in the human leukaemia cell line MOLT-3. On the basis of changes in biological activity influenced by HA, these drugs may be divided into three types. Type I agents include cis-diamminedichloroplatinu...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1980.103

    authors: Takahashi I,Ohnuma T,Kavy S,Bhardwaj S,Holland JF

    更新日期:1980-04-01 00:00:00

  • Emerging immunotherapies for metastasis.

    abstract::Major advances in cancer immunotherapy have dramatically expanded the potential to manipulate immune cells in cancer patients with metastatic disease to counteract cancer spread and extend patient lifespan. One of the most successful types of immunotherapy is the immune checkpoint inhibitors, such as anti-CTLA-4 and a...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1038/s41416-020-01160-5

    authors: Edwards SC,Hoevenaar WHM,Coffelt SB

    更新日期:2021-01-01 00:00:00

  • Low FOXA1 expression predicts good response to neo-adjuvant chemotherapy resulting in good outcomes for luminal HER2-negative breast cancer cases.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:FOXA1 expression is a good prognostic marker for endocrine therapy in hormone-positive breast cancer. We retrospectively examined breast cancer patients with luminal human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative tumours, as defined by immunohistochemistry, who received neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (N...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.2014.595

    authors: Horimoto Y,Arakawa A,Harada-Shoji N,Sonoue H,Yoshida Y,Himuro T,Igari F,Tokuda E,Mamat O,Tanabe M,Hino O,Saito M

    更新日期:2015-01-20 00:00:00

  • Quality of life in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma treated with temsirolimus or interferon-alpha.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Temsirolimus was approved in Europe as first-line treatment of poor-prognosis advanced renal cell carcinoma (advRCC) based on significant clinical benefits. METHODS:Patients with advRCC and multiple poor-prognostic factors were randomly assigned to receive 25 mg intravenous temsirolimus weekly, interferon-a...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6605647

    authors: Yang S,de Souza P,Alemao E,Purvis J

    更新日期:2010-05-11 00:00:00

  • Interim analyses and stopping rules in cancer clinical trials.

    abstract::A clinical trial conducted according to a schedule of interim analyses written into the protocol, and stopped according to a predetermined rule, is known to statisticians as a sequential clinical trial. This methodology is becoming more widely used in trials concerning life-threatening diseases because of its ability ...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1993.500

    authors: Whitehead J

    更新日期:1993-12-01 00:00:00

  • Influence of pharmacogenetics on response and toxicity in breast cancer patients treated with doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide (AC) therapy is an effective treatment for early-stage breast cancer. Doxorubicin is a substrate for ABCB1 and SLC22A16 transporters. Cyclophosphamide is a prodrug that requires oxidation to 4-hydroxycyclophosphamide, which yields a cytotoxic alkylating agent. The initial oxi...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6605587

    authors: Bray J,Sludden J,Griffin MJ,Cole M,Verrill M,Jamieson D,Boddy AV

    更新日期:2010-03-16 00:00:00

  • The relationship between serum p53 autoantibodies and characteristics of human breast cancer.

    abstract::Sera from 182 newly diagnosed breast cancer patients were assayed for antibodies to p53 using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method, and antibodies were detected in 48 (26%) compared with 1 out of 76 (1.3%) normal control volunteers (P = 0.0001). In breast cancer patients, autoantibodies were found in al...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1994.219

    authors: Mudenda B,Green JA,Green B,Jenkins JR,Robertson L,Tarunina M,Leinster SJ

    更新日期:1994-06-01 00:00:00

  • Isolation and characterisation of a human anti-idiotypic scFv used as a surrogate tumour antigen to elicit an anti-HER-2/neu humoral response in mice.

    abstract::HER-2/neu is a tumour antigen that is overexpressed in human breast tumours. Among the vaccine strategies developed to overcome immune tolerance to self-proteins, vaccination with anti-idiotypic (anti-Id) antibodies has been described as a promising approach for treatment of several malignant diseases. To develop an a...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6601825

    authors: Coelho M,Gauthier P,Pugnière M,Roquet F,Pèlegrin A,Navarro-Teulon I

    更新日期:2004-05-17 00:00:00

  • Phase 2 study of combination SPI-1620 with docetaxel as second-line advanced biliary tract cancer treatment.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:This multicentre, open-label study evaluated the efficacy and safety of SPI-1620, an analogue of endothelin-1, administered in combination with docetaxel as second-line treatment for patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (ABTC). METHODS:Eligible patients received continuous cycles of combination thera...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究

    doi:10.1038/bjc.2017.160

    authors: Kim R,Chiorean EG,Amin M,Rocha-Lima CMS,Gandhi J,Harris WP,Song T,Portnoy D

    更新日期:2017-07-11 00:00:00

  • Overexpression of p53 protein is an independent prognostic indicator in human endometrial carcinoma.

    abstract::The important role of the p53 gene in tumour progression and cellular response to DNA damage has prompted investigation of the clinical significance of alterations to this gene. We examined both p53 overexpression and mutation of the gene in endometrial carcinoma in order to evaluate the prognostic significance of the...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1996.401

    authors: Soong R,Knowles S,Williams KE,Hammond IG,Wysocki SJ,Iacopetta BJ

    更新日期:1996-08-01 00:00:00

  • Continued inadequacies in data sources for the evaluation of cancer services.

    abstract::There is a need to evaluate cancer services and provide a baseline on current treatment success and organization. This study shows that this process may be severely hindered by case note destruction or inaccessibility and incomplete information. This is an ongoing problem that needs to be addressed now. ...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1997.21

    authors: Smith SJ,Muir KR,Wolstenholme JL,Thornhill KG,Zamorski A,Tolley K,Logan RF,Chilvers CE

    更新日期:1997-01-01 00:00:00

  • Screening and the costs of treating colorectal cancer.

    abstract::The objective of this paper is to compare the hospital costs of treating patients with colorectal cancers detected as a result of a faecal occult blood screening programme with those of patients whose cancers present symptomatically (control group). Patient-specific cost estimates are made, using case records and hosp...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1993.462

    authors: Whynes DK,Walker AR,Chamberlain JO,Hardcastle JD

    更新日期:1993-11-01 00:00:00

  • Vitronectin in human hepatic tumours contributes to the recruitment of lymphocytes in an alpha v beta3-independent manner.

    abstract::The degree of lymphocyte infiltration is a prognostic factor in liver cancer, but to date the mechanisms by which lymphocytes infiltrate into and are retained in hepatic tumours are poorly understood. We hypothesised that the extracellular matrix glycoprotein vitronectin, a major component of the stroma of hepatic tum...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6603467

    authors: Edwards S,Lalor PF,Tuncer C,Adams DH

    更新日期:2006-12-04 00:00:00

  • A phase I study of misonidazole and pelvic irradiation in patients with carcinoma of cervix.

    abstract::A Phase I study of oral daily misonidazole (MISO) with conventional pelvic irradiation, has been conducted in patients with carcinoma of the cervix Stages IB, IIB, IIIB and IVA. MISO was administered in daily dosages to sequential groups of patients at doses of 0.15 g/m2, 0.30 g/m2 or 0.45 g/m2 for 22 days over 5 week...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1982.138

    authors: Thomas GM,Rauth AM,Black BE,Cummings BJ,Sorenti VL,Bush RS

    更新日期:1982-06-01 00:00:00

  • Metallothionein expression in human breast cancer.

    abstract::Metallothioneins are ubiquitous low molecular weight proteins characterised by high cysteine content and affinity for binding heavy metals. Abnormal metallothionein function and expression have been implicated in various disease states, including neoplasia. The aim of this study was to investigate metallothionein expr...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1995.443

    authors: Goulding H,Jasani B,Pereira H,Reid A,Galea M,Bell JA,Elston CW,Robertson JF,Blamey RW,Nicholson RA

    更新日期:1995-10-01 00:00:00

  • SupraMolecular BioVectors (SMBV) improve antisense inhibition of erbB-2 expression.

    abstract::New therapeutic strategies are now being developed against adenocarcinoma associated with erbB-2 amplification, particularly by inhibiting p185erbB-2 expression. Antisense oligodeoxynucleotides seem promising for this purpose as long as they are efficiently protected against degradation and targeted into the cells. We...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1998.238

    authors: Allal C,Sixou S,Kravtzoff R,Soulet N,Soula G,Favre G

    更新日期:1998-05-01 00:00:00

  • Combinatorial experimental protocols for Erbicin-derived immunoagents and Herceptin.

    abstract::Erbicin is a human anti-ErbB2 single-chain antibody fragment with high affinity and selectivity for ErbB2-positive cancer cells. Two anti-ErbB2 immunoconjugates, called Erb-hRNase and Erb-hcAb, have been prepared and found to be selectively cytotoxic on ErbB2-positive cancer cells in vitro and vivo. In Erb-hRNase, Erb...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6604022

    authors: De Lorenzo C,Troise F,Cafaro V,D'Alessio G

    更新日期:2007-11-19 00:00:00

  • Improving survival in recurrent medulloblastoma: earlier detection, better treatment or still an impasse?

    abstract::Early detection of relapse has been advocated to improve survival in children with recurrent medulloblastoma. However, the prognostic factors and the longer term outcome of these patients remains unclear. Pattern of recurrences were analysed in three consecutive protocols of the Société Française d'Oncologie Pédiatriq...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,多中心研究

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1998.220

    authors: Bouffet E,Doz F,Demaille MC,Tron P,Roche H,Plantaz D,Thyss A,Stephan JL,Lejars O,Sariban E,Buclon M,Zücker JM,Brunat-Mentigny M,Bernard JL,Gentet JC

    更新日期:1998-04-01 00:00:00

  • Expression of interferon-gamma in human adrenal gland and kidney tumours.

    abstract::It is known that interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma) is produced by activated T and NK lymphoid cells, mononuclear cells, and macrophage and dendritic cells. Our previous studies have shown that IFN-gamma-like immunoreactivity also appears in human adrenal cortical tumour and phaeochromocytoma. To investigate whether human t...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6603870

    authors: Li Q,Zhang XQ,Nie L,Chen GS,Li H,Zhang F,Zhang LY,Hong L,Wang SF,Wang H

    更新日期:2007-08-06 00:00:00

  • A Phase Ib dose-escalation study to evaluate safety and tolerability of the addition of the aminopeptidase inhibitor tosedostat (CHR-2797) to paclitaxel in patients with advanced solid tumours.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:This Phase Ib dose-escalating study investigated safety, maximum tolerated dose (MTD), dose-limiting toxicity (DLT), pharmacokinetics (PK) and clinical antitumour activity of tosedostat (CHR-2797), an orally bioavailable aminopeptidase inhibitor, in combination with paclitaxel. METHODS:A total of 22 patient...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6605917

    authors: van Herpen CM,Eskens FA,de Jonge M,Desar I,Hooftman L,Bone EA,Timmer-Bonte JN,Verweij J

    更新日期:2010-10-26 00:00:00

  • The effect of family size on estimates of the frequency of hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer.

    abstract::Diagnosis of hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC) is currently based on phenotypical analysis of an expanded pedigree. Diagnostic guidelines ('Amsterdam criteria') proposed by the International Collaborative Group on HNPCC are often too stringent for use with small families. There is also the possibility...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/bjc.1995.508

    authors: Percesepe A,Anti M,Roncucci L,Armelao F,Marra G,Pahor M,Coco C,Gasbarrini G,Ponz de Leon M

    更新日期:1995-11-01 00:00:00

  • Mechanisms of nordihydroguaiaretic acid-induced growth inhibition and apoptosis in human cancer cells.

    abstract::Lipoxygenase metabolites of arachidonic acid can act as growth promoting factors for various cancer cell lines. Here we demonstrate that the 5-lipoxygenase inhibitor nordihydroguaiaretic acid potently inhibits anchorage-independent growth of human pancreatic and cervical cancer cells in soft agar and delays growth of ...

    journal_title:British journal of cancer

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6600186

    authors: Seufferlein T,Seckl MJ,Schwarz E,Beil M,v Wichert G,Baust H,Lührs H,Schmid RM,Adler G

    更新日期:2002-04-08 00:00:00