Abstract：
BACKGROUND:The use of synthetic drugs has exceeded heroin to become a major public health concern in China. We aimed to estimate the trend of heroin-only, synthetic drug-only and poly-drug (heroin and synthetic drug) use during 2000-2030 period in China using existing data. METHODS:We used data from the Annual Report on Drug Control in China and peer-reviewed publications. We constructed a mathematical model to estimate the drug use trend based on Monte Carlo simulations. RESULTS:The best calibrated model estimated that the number of drug users would increase from 0.86 million to 3,120,059 (95% CI 2,669,214-3,570,904) during 2000-2030 period. The proportion of heroin-only users among the total drug users will decrease from 96.8% (95% CI, 96.6-97.1%) in 2000 to 36.9% (30.1-40.8%) in 2030, while the proportion of synthetic drug-only users will increase from 1.1% (0.9-1.3%) in 2000 to 57.7% (51.7-65.6%) in 2030. In contrast, the proportion of poly-drug users shared an increasing trend during 2000-2016 (from 2.1% (1.5-2.8%) to 15.1 (13.8-17.1%)) but declined to 5.5% (3.4-7.2%) in 2030. Estimated 46,370 (41,634-51,106) heroin-only users and 3767 (3481-4053) synthetic drug only users initiated poly-drug use in 2000. We observed a cross-over in 2012 where more synthetic drug-only users were initiating heroin use than heroin-only users initiating synthetic drug use. There will be estimated 2,094,052 (1,819,830-2,368,274) synthetic drug-only users and poly-drug users 211,407 (177,150-245,664) in 2030. CONCLUSIONS:Synthetic drug use will become dominant in drug users in China, but poly-drug use of both heroin and synthetic drugs will remain substantial.
journal_name
Addict Behavjournal_title
Addictive behaviorsauthors
Su S,Fairley CK,Mao L,Medland NA,Jing J,Cheng F,Zhang Ldoi
10.1016/j.addbeh.2019.01.022subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2019-06-01 00:00:00pages
65-71eissn
0306-4603issn
1873-6327pii
S0306-4603(18)30709-3journal_volume
93pub_type
杂志文章,评审abstract：AIMS:The cooling and minty flavor of menthol in cigarettes has been hypothesized to mask the harshness of inhaled cigarette smoke, contributing to menthol's appeal and subjective reinforcement and linking menthol use to smoking initiation, progression, nicotine dependence, and difficulty quitting. This study examined d...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2019.106108
更新日期：2020-02-01 00:00:00
abstract：:In 2003 the Thai government announced a radical shift in drug policy with the implementation of a War on Drugs. Although consequences of this controversial measure (e.g. drug dealer deaths) have received widespread attention relatively little work has evaluated changes in substance use. We used two anonymous represent...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2006.12.002
更新日期：2007-08-01 00:00:00
abstract：:There is substantial covariation in the use of alcohol, cigarettes, and hard drugs and it has been suggested that different types of drug use are part of a "syndrome" of behavior that may include other health-related and "problem" behaviors. A critical challenge is the determination of the behaviors included within th...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/0306-4603(84)90028-5
更新日期：1984-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：AIMS:To describe the categories employed by researchers to describe adolescents' smoking behavior and to determine how these various categorizations compare with youths' self-defined smoking status. STUDY SELECTION:A search of the PubMed and Science Direct databases, limited to articles in the English language, publis...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2009.05.012
更新日期：2009-11-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Compared to college women, college men face elevated risks for problematic drinking and negative alcohol-related consequences. These risks highlight the critical need to investigate gender issues and risk factors contributing to intoxication and related problems among men. Theoretical models suggest that conforming to...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2011.04.005
更新日期：2011-09-01 00:00:00
abstract：:This study tested predictions from restraint theory [Herman & Polivy (1984). A boundary model for the regulation of eating. In: A. J. Stunkard, & E. Stellar (Eds.), Eating and its disorders (pp. 141-156) New York: Raven Press.] and the three-factor model of dieting [Psychol. Bull. 114 (1993) 100.] using an eating regu...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(00)00106-4
更新日期：2001-03-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The present longitudinal study investigates baseline assessments of static and dynamic variables, including demographic characteristics, smoking severity, and Transtheoretical Model of Behavior Change (TTM) effort variables (Decisional Balance (i.e. Pros and Cons), Situational Temptations, and Processes of Change) of ...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2014.11.022
更新日期：2015-03-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Individuals with gambling disorder (GD) report much higher rates of post-traumatic stress symptoms and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSS/D) than the general population, and individuals with both PTSS/D and GD often report much greater distress and impairment in daily life in comparison to individuals with GD alone ...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2018.09.035
更新日期：2019-02-01 00:00:00
abstract：INTRODUCTION:Low socio-economic status (SES) is strongly related to smoking, but studies examining the association of SES with nicotine dependence (ND) are scarce. The aim of this study was to examine the associations of SES and marital status with smoking, multiple measures of ND, and cotinine as a nicotine intake bio...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2014.03.005
更新日期：2014-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Intervention efficacy can be increased when the treatment is maximally matched to the needs of the client. One means of achieving such matching is through use of an expert system, a computer-based decision-making system designed to utilize client information to produce unique, matched information and interventions. An...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/0306-4603(93)90029-9
更新日期：1993-05-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of recent (last 12 months) depression in regular young heroin users and to ascertain factors associated with depression in this population, broken down by gender. A sample of 561 participants completed a cross-sectional survey. Eligibility criteria were: age 30 yea...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2011.09.009
更新日期：2012-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Anxiety sensitivity (AS; fear of anxiety and internal sensations) has been implicated in a variety of aspects of smoking, including difficulties achieving and maintaining abstinence during tobacco cessation. However, research has yet to evaluate whether AS impacts premature termination of initiating a quit attempt. Th...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2016.02.017
更新日期：2016-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Although Gamblers Anonymous (GA) is a popular intervention for gamblers, many attendees later present for professional treatment. This study evaluated gambling and psychosocial problems in individuals seeking professional treatment for gambling and compared those with and without a history of GA attendance. At intake ...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(02)00233-2
更新日期：2003-08-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Interventions for smoking cessation have been developed by researchers in a number of distinct disciplines. As a result, a variety of different outcome measures have been developed and employed. This paper will report an analysis that compares four smoking cessation outcome measures on data gathered from three populat...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(03)00084-4
更新日期：2004-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Women with drinking problems are less likely than men to utilize alcohol-specific treatment services; they are comparatively more likely to seek help in general health and mental health care settings. These patterns in service utilization may be attributable, in part, to gender differences in barriers or disincentives...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.1016/0306-4603(95)00041-0
更新日期：1996-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Families play a critical role in supporting adolescents with substance use disorders. Little research has been done to investigate interventions targeting the significant stress of caring for an adolescent with problematic substance use and its subsequent impact on self-compassion in families. The aim of this pilot st...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2019.106223
更新日期：2020-04-01 00:00:00
abstract：INTRODUCTION:Nonmedical tranquilizer use (NMTU) is a concerning and understudied phenomenon in adolescents, despite being the second most prevalent form of nonmedical use in this population. Thus, this work aimed to examine the sociodemographic and substance use correlates of past-year co-ingestion of a prescription tr...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2015.08.002
更新日期：2016-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Treatment studies provide minimal support for nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) with youth; however, survey studies suggest that adolescents use NRT, and may engage in inappropriate use. The current study sought to examine patterns of NRT use and risk factors for use to further aid smoking cessation efforts including...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2009.09.024
更新日期：2010-02-01 00:00:00
abstract：:There has been much research on and debate about the appropriate length of acute treatment for alcohol problems. In the United States, the lengthy and costly treatment programs of only a few years ago have been supplanted by ever-shorter and less intensive protocols, with little evidence that this trend will end soon....
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(98)00029-x
更新日期：1999-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Many studies have shown a relationship between smoking and depression. However, few studies have examined the association between current depression and smoking and even fewer used large cross-sectional data to support these findings. Using the 2006 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data (n=248,800), we compa...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2009.01.005
更新日期：2009-06-01 00:00:00
abstract：BACKGROUND:Major depression is one of the strongest known risk factors for suicide. However, of the estimated 8.5 million adults with serious thoughts of suicide in the past year, only half had a major depressive episode (MDE). Identifying risk factors for suicide in the absence of depression may provide additional tar...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2014.12.005
更新日期：2015-04-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Although occupational burnout has been linked with numerous psychosomatic symptoms and mental health problems, few studies have examined the association between burnout and substance use. This study assessed the contribution of burnout (Emotional Exhaustion--Maslach Burnout Inventory) to the risk of alcohol dependence...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(01)00222-2
更新日期：2003-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The current study was designed to investigate the perceived consequences of cigarette smoking among a sample of college students. Participants (N=206) rated the negative consequences of smoking higher than the positive consequences on both the Decisional Balance Measure and the Smoking Consequences Questionnaire. Whil...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2005.10.007
更新日期：2006-08-01 00:00:00
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journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
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更新日期：1991-01-01 00:00:00
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journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2017.08.027
更新日期：2018-01-01 00:00:00
abstract：BACKGROUND:Few studies have examined the patterns and correlates of polytobacco use among a large, nationally representative population over an extended period of time. METHODS:This study examined 10years of data from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) to establish time trends and correlates for exclus...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2013.12.015
更新日期：2014-04-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Cocaine dependence is a chronically relapsing disorder for which its predominant behavioral therapies are associated with only partial efficacy. The goal of this study was to determine if the N-methyl-d-aspartate (NMDA) glutamate receptor partial agonist and cognitive enhancer, d-cycloserine (DCS), could boost the coc...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2012.03.008
更新日期：2012-08-01 00:00:00
abstract：INTRODUCTION:Young adults' e-cigarette use is associated with perceptions that e-cigarettes are less harmful or addictive than cigarettes, socially acceptable, and appealing. This study developed and tested vaping educational messages addressing these factors: 1) Harm Perceptions, 2) Addictiveness, 3) Social Use, and 4...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2020.106778
更新日期：2021-04-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Several studies have examined the validity of the tension reduction hypothesis as an explanatory model for the development of alcohol problems, but support has been inconsistent. In recent years, researchers have begun to examine how various individual differences variables moderate the relationship between alcohol co...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/s0306-4603(01)00190-3
更新日期：2002-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Arousal-based theories of gambling suggest that excitement gained from gambling reinforces further gambling behavior. However, recent theories of emotion conceptualize mood as comprising both arousal and valence dimensions. Thus, excitement comprises arousal with positive valence. We examined self-reported changes in ...
journal_title：Addictive behaviors
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.1016/j.addbeh.2004.03.030
更新日期：2004-12-01 00:00:00
