A practical introduction to Bayesian estimation of causal effects: Parametric and nonparametric approaches.

Abstract:

:Substantial advances in Bayesian methods for causal inference have been made in recent years. We provide an introduction to Bayesian inference for causal effects for practicing statisticians who have some familiarity with Bayesian models and would like an overview of what it can add to causal estimation in practical settings. In the paper, we demonstrate how priors can induce shrinkage and sparsity in parametric models and be used to perform probabilistic sensitivity analyses around causal assumptions. We provide an overview of nonparametric Bayesian estimation and survey their applications in the causal inference literature. Inference in the point-treatment and time-varying treatment settings are considered. For the latter, we explore both static and dynamic treatment regimes. Throughout, we illustrate implementation using off-the-shelf open source software. We hope to leave the reader with implementation-level knowledge of Bayesian causal inference using both parametric and nonparametric models. All synthetic examples and code used in the paper are publicly available on a companion GitHub repository.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Oganisian A,Roy JA

doi

10.1002/sim.8761

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2021-01-30 00:00:00

pages

518-551

issue

2

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

40

pub_type

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